The Daily Pulse of Bursa Malaysia

Dialog Group: Petronas Contract – A Much-Needed Lift?

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Publish date: Mon, 16 Jun 2025, 08:20 AM
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Dialog Group saw investor sentiment dip after recent disappointing earnings. However, a newly secured 14-year Production Sharing Contract (PSC) from Petronas for the Mutiara Cluster in Sabah offers a potential boost.


The Big Win:

  •  Dialog unit lands first PSC under Petronas' Malaysia Bid Round 2025.
  •  Sole operator for 5 fields in the Mutiara Cluster (Sabah), a strategic upstream move.
  •  Long-term play: Pre-development & development phases, then 10-year production (expected from 2029).


Context & Challenges:

  •  Shares rose on PSC news but had previously fallen ~6.8% after 9-month earnings missed forecasts (below 2/3 consensus).
  •  Stock still down ~10% YTD; investor confidence remains fragile.


Analyst & Company Strengths:

  •  Despite recent results, 10 out of 15 analysts maintain "buy" calls (avg. TP ~RM2.26, ~34% upside).
  •  Downstream segment showing recovery.
  •  Core strength: Recurring income from tank terminals (~55% of core net profit). New terminal contracts are key for re-rating.


The Outlook:

This Petronas contract is a significant long-term strategic win, expanding Dialog's upstream footprint.

However, in the near term, Dialog must stabilize earnings, deliver operationally, and secure more terminal contracts to fully rebuild market confidence.

Patience is key. Eyes on Mutiara project FID, terminal expansions, and margin recovery.


#BursaMalaysia #OilAndGas #Petronas #Investing #EnergyMY #PSC

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