1Q13
MYR vs USD: Rm3.01-Rm3.12
Crude Oil : $91-$99
AA Profit : Rm104.793m

2Q13
MYR vs USD: Rm2.96-Rm3.22
Crude Oil : $88-$98
AA Profit : Rm58.348m (actually a LOSS of Rm19.917m without AA Japan sale gains)

3Q13
MYR vs USD: Rm3.16-Rm3.33
Crude Oil : $92-$111
AA Profit : Good, Bad or Ugly?

Critical support level at Rm2.50 & Rm2.45 next! If broken then the next downside support will be at Rm2.33 & below.

Remember folks, risk comes from not knowing what you're doing! Pity to those buying high because of others ill adviced.

Price Performamce:

01 month
High: 2.97 (21/10/13)
Low : 2.58 (18/11/13)

03 months
High: 3.18 (16/08/13)
Low : 2.44 (28/08/13)

12 months
High: 3.54 (05/06/13)
Low : 2.44 (28/08/13)

Historical High: Rm4.00

Of course AA is cheap for a reason and will stay cheap for months & years to come as theirs slumping profit margins remain a problem for stock market.

Will you buy now, folks? Will 2.50 critical support level hold? Remember now if a business does well, the stock eventually follows, folks! Hahahahahah!!

Folks, no dividend was recommended for the quarter ended 30 June 2013. With poor earnings expectation for Q3, will the BOD recommend any dividend for the quarter ending 30 Septembet 2013?

Remember folks almost 52% of AA shares were held foreigners. Would they be happy with the management performance & worst still with no dividend policy again for the 3Q?

1. Profit after tax B4 AA Japan Sale Gain:
(2Q13) -Rm19.917M
(1Q13) Rm104.793m

2. Gain on disposal of interest in AA Japan 2Q13: Rm78.265

3. Profit after tax with AA JApan Sale Gain:
(2Q13) Rm58.348m
(1Q13) Rm104.793m

Remember folks, a LOSS of -Rm19.917m without AA Japan sale gain to the rescue for the Q2. So how will Q3 earnings be? Good, bad or ugly? Careful now!!

Will critical support level at 2.50 hold?

14/11/2013 TP 3.63 RHB
28/10/2013 TP 3.51 Kenanga
03/10/2013 TP 2.90 HWANGDBS
27/09/2013 TP 4.20 ALLIANCE
24/09/2013 TP 3.91 TA
22/08/2013 TP 3.94 RHB
22/08/2013 TP 3.78 MIDF
22/08/2013 TP 2.95 MAYBANK
22/08/2013 TP 3.51 KENANGA
22/08/2013 TP 2.90 HWANGDBS
22/08/2013 TP 3.08 HLG
22/08/2013 TP 3.45 CIMB
22/08/2013 TP 2.80 AMMB
16/08/2013 TP 3.94 RHB
21/06/2013 TP 3.94 RHB
23/05/2013 TP 3.94 RHB

If stock market experts were so expert, they would be buying stock, not selling advice. Hahahahahahahahah!!

Will 2.50 critical support level hold? Remember folks, when a business does well, the stock eventually follows!

Outcome of the Q3E? A clue folks: If a business does well, the stock eventually follows!

Q3 earnings will be poor. Face the facts and move on. It is wise to direct your anger towards problems not people, to focus your energies on answers not excuses.

Hahahahahahah!!

The rate at which foreign funds exited Bursa Malaysia accelerated last week. Foreign funds were net sellers every single day last week.

They had been net sellers in 26 out of the last 28 trading days on Bursa. Selling surged to -RM427m on Wednesday, the 9th highest in a day this year. On August 20, foreign funds sold -RM1.05b net of Malaysian equity in the open market, the highest this year.

Will it stop? Careful now!

The outflow of foreign capital from Bursa Malaysia surged last week, in line with regional trend. The foreign fund outflow continued for the sixth consecutive week, as the amount hit -RM1.39m, the highest since the final week of August when -RM2.1b left the market. In the last six weeks, a total of -RM3.0b had left Malaysian equity. In comparison, during the six weeks of uninterrupted outflow from 29 Jul - 6 August, a total of -RM8b of foreign money exited the market.

So how?

For the second successive week, Asian equity remained generally out of favour among global funds. The unmistakably overwhelming trend currently is the foreign fund exit from South East Asia’s Emerging markets. Malaysia, Thailand, Philippines & Indonesia markets felt the brunt of foreign selling last week.

Malaysia was hardest hit, recording an outfl ow of -USD392m, the highest in eleven weeks. Thailand also suffered the biggest foreign exit from its equity market in 12 weeks, at -USD378m. The outflow from the Philippines was more gradual but a total amount of -USD175m left Indonesia, the highest in 12 weeks.

NOVEMBER RAIN GETS HEAVIER

It was a mixed performance week for the global equity markets. While stocks in the U.S charted new frontiers and markets in Japan and China turned buoyant, Emerging Asia remained under selling pressure.

Asian Emerging markets remained under selling pressure last week. The Jakarta Composite Index was the worst hit, losing -3.2% after the central bank raised interest rates further. The KLCI remained lacklustre, losing -0.8%, its third weekly loss in a row.

The wise things to do when investing is to use your head & not to follow your emotions! Don't believe just wait & see. An expensive lesson for those buying on emotions!

Folks, investors short-sell last week 1,731,500 at 2.547 & 599,600 at 2.518 yesterday. So will 2.50 critical support level hold? Did you catch the falling knives, folks? What a pity cos if a business does well, the stock eventually follows!

Will the selling stop! Only time will tell!

The wise things to do when investing is to use your head & not to follow your emotions! Don't believe just wait & see. An expensive lesson for those buying on emotions!

Careful now!

Never fall in love with a stock as its not going to be a faithful & loyal lover! Don't believe just wait & see. You will be heart broken!

In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield. Careful now! 20th the judgement day! Hahahahahahah!!

The Q3 earnings will be poor, folks! If a business does well, the stock eventually follows. So how?

QZ 8457 18/11/2013 09:30 PM BANDUNG-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8208 18/11/2013 08:45 PM JAKARTA-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8451 18/11/2013 05:45 PM BANDUNG-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8162 18/11/2013 04:15 PM JAKARTA-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

AK 6047 18/11/2013 04:05 PM JOHOR BHARU-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

AK 5873 18/11/2013 03:35 PM SIBU-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8393 18/11/2013 11:10 AM DENPASAR-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8291 18/11/2013 09:50 AM SURABAYA-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8113 18/11/2013 09:45 AM U. PADANG-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8458 18/11/2013 10:05 PM KUALA LUMPUR-BANDUNG CANCELLED

QZ 8209 18/11/2013 09:15 PM KUALA LUMPUR-JAKARTA CANCELLED

QZ 8452 18/11/2013 06:15 PM KUALA LUMPUR-BANDUNG CANCELLED

QZ 8163 18/11/2013 04:40 PM KUALA LUMPUR-JAKARTA CANCELLED

QZ 8398 18/11/2013 01:00 PM KUALA LUMPUR-DENPASAR CANCELLED

QZ 8394 18/11/2013 11:40 AM KUALA LUMPUR-DENPASAR CANCELLED

AK 1807 18/11/2013 10:45 AM KUALA LUMPUR-SINGAPORE CANCELLED

QZ 8292 18/11/2013 10:15 AM KUALA LUMPUR-SURABAYA CANCELLED

QZ 8112 18/11/2013 10:10 AM KUALA LUMPUR-U. PADANG CANCELLED

AK 1330 18/11/2013 07:35 AM KUALA LUMPUR-BALIKPAPAN CANCELLED

Can be viewed here: http://flight.klia.com.my/fids.aspx

MAS Q3E a LOSS of RM375.4 million.
- Load factor 84.8%.
- Yield under pressure as competition for market share intensified.
- Operating expenditure higher due capacity increase and weak ringgit.
- Both fuel and non-fuel cost for airline increased by 16%.
- Foreign exchange loss of RM86.1 million
- Finance costs of RM121.2 million
- Total debts: 11,845,703(MYR:6,848,956 USD: 4,255,557 & YEN:741,190)
- No dividend for the financial period ended 30 September 2013.

Will AA be any difference from MAS? If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Careful now! Heheheheheheheh!!

Malaysia Airasia Number of flights flown
3Q13: 38,194
2Q13: 38,316

Malaysia Airasia Number of aircraft including spares
3Q13: 66
2Q13: 59

Good, bad or ugly? More aircrafts but less flight! So how do you explain that? Normally if a business does well, the stock eventually follows! So what brewing in the Q3 earnings? Careful now!

Revenue Passenger Kilometres (RPK)
3Q13: 6,118
2Q13: 6,333

RPK good, bad or ugly? If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! But why is the price trading toward the year low if everyone here think AA going to make good profit?

What a pity! Hahahahahahahahaha!!

3 Market Bubbles That Could Be Ready to Burst! China's real estate market, the U.S. IPO market & the U.S. auto-loan market.

Careful now cos when one country sneezes and another catches a cold!

'Gulf Three' deals will strike fear into rival airlines. Gulf airlines strike more than £150 billion in commercial plane deals in Dubai. Big deals in Dubai show that power shift in aviation to Gulf airlines happening fast. Gulf Three aren't worried, but everyone else should be!

So how now, folks?

China shares spark Asia rally as reform plans buoy mood but will the rally continue?

Why the Fed can’t stop printing? Remember folks, quantitative easing has created more problems than benefits!

If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Will 2.50 critcal support level hold? Investors have short memories!!

Malaysia Airasia Available Seat Kilometres (ASK)
3Q13: 7,828
2Q13: 7,915

Folks, good, bad or ugly? Remember folks, the signs are all there & do you still want to catch the going to be falling knives?

If a business does well, the stock eventually follows!

Folks, to listen or not is your choice! Anyway have you ever wonder why some invstors short sold 1,731,500 at 2.547 last week? Will 2.50 critical support level hold? To listen or not is your choice, folks!

Did you catch the falling knives, folks? What a pity cos if a business does well, the stock eventually follows!

Investors have short memories!! Hahahahahahaha!!

Malaysia Airasia Load Factor
3Q13: 77%
2Q13: 80%

Poor load meaning Q3 earnings going to be poor! Remember folks, if a business does well, the stock eventually follows!

Those sneaky low cost airlines.

View here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0XpIRR_gV4c

Folks, while waiting for AA to crack open the critical support level at 2.50, enjoy watching the above!

List of LCCs in Asia

Burma
Golden Myanmar Airlines

China
Spring Airlines

Hong Kong
Hong Kong Express Airways

India
GoAir
IndiGo
SpiceJet
JetLite
Air India Express

Indonesia
Lion Air
Citilink
Indonesia AirAsia
Tigerair Mandala

Japan
Air Do
Jetstar Japan
Link Airs
Peach
Skymark Airlines
Solaseed Air
StarFlyer
Vanilla Air

Republic of Korea
AirAsia Korea (begins April 2014)
Eastar Jet
Jeju Air
Jin Air
T'way Airlines

Malaysia
AirAsia
AirAsia X
Firefly
Malindo Air

Philippines
AirAsia Zest
Cebu Pacific
Philippines AirAsia
PAL Express
Tigerair Philippines

Singapore
Jetstar Asia Airways
Tigerair
Scoot

Sri Lanka
Mihin Lanka

Thailand
Thai AirAsia
Thai Lion Air
Nok Air
Nok Mini
Orient Thai Airlines
City Airways
Solar Air

Turkey
Pegasus Airlines
SunExpress

Vietnam
Jetstar Pacific Airlines
VietJet Air

If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Will the critical support level at 2.50 hold? Will year low at 2.44 be broken in the coming days?

Heheheheheheh!!

Flying Fox Airways starts its Ipoh-Medan flights next month. The new airline in partnership with Sriwijaya Air, a leading airline company in Indonesia.

The airline will be using Boeing 737-400 aircraft that can accommodate 152 passengers and is expected to launch its website by the end of this month.

The Johor government has received an application from Citilink, an Indonesian low-cost airlines, to operate four air routes from the republic to the Senai International Airport.

The routes were Bandung-Johor Baharu, Surabaya-Johor Baharu, Denpasar-Johor Baharu and Medan-Johor Baharu.

AirAsia boss Tan Sri Tony Fernandes's Queens Park Rangers (QPR) is set to pay the price for last season's excessive spending with a potential £60 million (RM310 million) fine looming, the Daily Mail reported.

Read more here: http://news.malaysia.msn.com/tmi/airasia-chief%e2%80%99s-epl-venture-may-suffer-huge-setback-as-qpr-faces-rm310m-fine

So will AA fair better than the TF? If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Hahahaha!!

Doomed dreams: AirAsia chief’s EPL venture may suffer huge setback as QPR faces RM310m fine!

Read more here: http://bigdogdotcom.wordpress.com/2013/11/17/doomed-dreams/

If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Hahahaha!!

Makaysia Airasia Unoccupied Seats
3Q13: 1,612,168
2Q13: 1,387,304
Without flights cancellation, the unoccupied will the worst than as stated above!

So will you buy a stock knowing the Q wil be poor? Will 2.50 hold for the coming days? Will year low at 2.44 be broken? Will the price get even cheaper after the announcement of Q3E followed by massive selling from local & foreign funds?

If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Hahahaha!!

Folks, the 3Q operating statistic is the proof showing the Q3E will be very poor!

Optimism is denial, so face the facts and move on. It is wise to direct your anger towards problems not people, to focus your energies on answers not excuses.

Wakakakakakakakakakakak!!

Malaysia AirAsia Passenger Carried
3Q13: 5,262,752
2Q13: 5,509,576

More planes & increase in capacity but sadly poor load. So how?

If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Hahahaha!!

Malaysia AirAsia Seats Available
3Q13: 6,874,920
2Q13: 6,896,880

Lower capacity in the 3Q. But why folks as there is an increase of 7 aircrafts in the 3Q? .

If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Hahahaha!!

Folks, most investors interpret an RSI below 30 as indicating that a stock is oversold — possibly providing a timing signal for a purchase but only if THE OTHER FUNDAMENTAL JUSTIFY DOING SO as AA is expected to announce poor earnings.

Of course AA is cheap for a reason and will stay cheap for months & years to come as theirs slumping profit margins remain a problem for stock market.

Will you buy now, folks? Will 2.50 critical support level hold? Remember now if a business does well, the stock eventually follows, folks! Hahahahahah!!

Trade & Other Payables:
(2Q13) Higher or Lower????????
(2Q13) Rm1.233b

Total Debt:
(3Q13) More or Less?????????
(2Q13) Rm8.813b
(1Q13) Rm8.464b

Will the critical support level now at 2.50 hold? Will it get even cheaper in the coming days? Remember folks, if a business does well, the stock eventually follows.

Hahahahahahahha!!

12 months
High: 3.54 (05/06/13)
Low : 2.44 (28/08/13)

Historical High: Rm4.00

Folks, a common sense question. Higher chance AA would break it year low or high? A clue: If a business does well, the stock eventually follows! Heheheheheheheh!!

Why aren't the owner buying more? Remember folks, late Sep 2012, Tune bought a total 68,030,000 shares at avg rm2.91 per share = Rm197,727,720.00 when the stock took the beating after the announcement of Malindo.

Now the big question from the investors, will Tune buy again to instill confident that the Q3E is within expectation? Beware folks as a small leak will sink a great ship!!

Another big question folks, if there is a leak, is a leak going to be small or big? Careful now! If a business does well, the stock eventually follows. Hahahahahah!!

Price Performamce for last week:

01 month
High: 2.97 (21/10/13)
Low : 2.53 (15/11/13)

03 months
High: 3.18 (16/08/13)
Low : 2.44 (28/08/13)

12 months
High: 3.54 (05/06/13)
Low : 2.44 (28/08/13)

Historical High: Rm4.00

Will the foreign funds sell more? Remember folks, almost 52% of AA shares were held by foreign funds. Investors have short memories!

Employees Provident Fund Disposed 12/11/2013 439,200

Could the Q3 earnings below expectation causing EPF to sell? Careful now!

QZ 8457 17/11/2013 09:30 PM BANDUNG-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

AK 1061 17/11/2013 09:10 PM NANNING-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8208 17/11/2013 08:45 PM JAKARTA-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8206 17/11/2013 07:35 PM JAKARTA-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8451 17/11/2013 05:45 PM BANDUNG-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

AK 1035 17/11/2013 02:45 PM GUILIN-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8393 17/11/2013 11:10 AM DENPASAR-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8291 17/11/2013 09:50 AM SURABAYA-KUALA LUMPUR CANCELLED

QZ 8458 17/11/2013 10:05 PM KUALA LUMPUR-BANDUNG CANCELLED

QZ 8209 17/11/2013 09:15 PM KUALA LUMPUR-JAKARTA CANCELLED

QZ 8207 17/11/2013 08:20 PM KUALA LUMPUR-JAKARTA CANCELLED

QZ 8452 17/11/2013 06:15 PM KUALA LUMPUR-BANDUNG CANCELLED

QZ 8292 17/11/2013 10:15 AM KUALA LUMPUR-SURABAYA CANCELLED

QZ 8112 17/11/2013 10:10 AM KUALA LUMPUR-U. PADANG CANCELLED

AK 1034 17/11/2013 05:55 AM KUALA LUMPUR-GUILIN CANCELLED

Can be viewed here: http://flight.klia.com.my/fids.aspx

Digest this statistic & you will know the share direction next week! A tip to guide you; If a business does well, the stock eventually follows.

Malaysia AirAsia

Seats Available
3Q13: 6,874,920
2Q13: 6,896,880

Passenger Carried
3Q13: 5,262,752
2Q13: 5,509,576

Unoccupied Seats
3Q13: 1,612,168
2Q13: 1,387,304

Load Factor
3Q13: 77%
2Q13: 80%

Available Seat Kilometres (ASK)
3Q13: 7,828
2Q13: 7,915

Revenue Passenger Kilometres (RPK)
3Q13: 6,118
2Q13: 6,333

Number of flights flown
3Q13: 38,194
2Q13: 38,316

Number of aircraft including spares
3Q13: 66
2Q13: 59

Cheers folks!!

Will it get cheaper next week? Just wait & see!

Will the Q3 earnings be good, bad or ugly? Remember folks, yields have been slashed to produce the phenomenal passenger volumes!


If a business does well, the stock eventually follows!

Indonesia AirAsia Unoccupied Seats
3Q13: 683,460
2Q13: 522,921

Indonesia AirAsia Load Factor
3Q13: 75%
2Q13: 79%

Never fall in love with a stock as its not going to be a faithful & loyal lover. Someone is going to get hurt! Will 2.53 hold, folks? Time will tell! Hahahahahahahahaha!!

Folks, the fact is "if a business does well, the stock eventually follows." Why aren't the owners & EPF buying more? Q3 earnings below expectation?

Face the facts and move on. It is wise to direct your anger towards problems not people, to focus your energies on answers not excuses.

Heheheheheheheh!!