Yes, if all illegal cigarettes wiped out. Even the most optimistic BAT investor also not dreaming of this. Haha. Half way at 36 also we can laugh all the way to the bank!
many contra players dumped and left yesterday so BAT is so light today. Can jump 46c morning. Punters left yesterday maybe be coming back if BAT keeps pushing higher-----Operator's job
Good run today, however beware of corrections. Intrinsic value of this stock is still far greater from these levels.. Like you guys said, it was once RM 60-70 legendary levels.
how far the share price can go depend on yr view of what is the earning and dividend will be like for the next 1 to 2 year.
My own estimate: dividend will be around Rm0.90 - Rm1 which i view the fair value of this counter between Rm13 - Rm15. To go back to Rm20 you have to be very optimistic with the economic and operating outlook as the earning have to grow by more than 30%
Last 2 quarters 62 sen (with uptrend). If scale this to one year it will be 124sen dividend. I will use 5% return since FD is becoming so low now. 124x(100/5)=24,80
I will definitely hold until dividend announcement end of May and probably keep much longer, unless it reaches around this price.
Agree with troy88 that is has been a speed train, today it is taking a breather.
Sectorial PE, Cash Flow and net profits are Universal comparisons in financial markets. You can continue buying QL & Nestle if you want, nobody stopping you :)
With FD interest rate < 3% and EPF dividend rate going to be low going forward, I withdrew all my EPF retirement monies & put it into BAT at < RM10 and look forward to a good harvest of Capital Gain & dividend yield by end of 2020 without having to monitor closely on a daily basis. Who knows ..... at the rate it is going my retirement monies might even be doubled within 1 year.
Not forgetting that the other “Tri-Vaccine” Covid-19 hedges in SUPERman & TOPman together with their side-kicks like Luxchem & Ruberex Outperforming too.
Both Bursa and Dow are recovering from the Bottom, some bursa stock have fallen 50%, some 30%----up-side is sure but slow (give or take 6--9months)----The Good thing is BAT recovery rate much faster than most, RM15 target is remarkable close. Don't forget most FF had left Asia, but are slowly returning. Bat is always a favourite among FF
It’s quite similar the moving of the chart today as 22 years back then when the ff withdrawn due to the sudden currency control that caused Bat to limited down to 13.50,but then the vacuum was quickly filled,this stock up and down is manipulated,they had the muscle to absorb any profit taking and continue to move up without turning back and left many profit taker so stressed to see it continue to going up
this counter had reached its near term fair value range (my opinion: 13 - 15) for now, can see big fund buying volume had slow down after it went above 13.20...let see the div announcement any surprise.
I think it may hover around 13+ to 14+ range in the next couple of weeks before dividend announcement. Fingers crossed upcoming dividend will be decent, then it should surge again.
Thanks for sharing this useful piece, very informative and can be a good guide, to apply a more prudent decision. In short, the statements and the assumptions made are telling ppl how bad the enforcement team is doing. Agree with both hands
Just wonder why the enforcement team cant be more efficient and effective in battling the issue. Dont know why they can stand with the bad name given, the world no 1 in smuggling illicit cigs and with a much lesser tax income. For me, I will be SIBEH BEH TAHAN
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
superman_
240 posts
Posted by superman_ > 2020-05-05 09:56 | Report Abuse
Is at 13.22 now.... can't wait to see my 13.30 prediction!