PE - 19.558 EPS 0.17 x 4 = 68 cent per share. Yield = 5.11 % Normal yield is > 7% for BAT. I think more room for corrections for current price. Revenue and Earning both dropped...
Bad result but not too surprising considering the situation. One year ago the share price was around 30. It is now less than half of that. I expect the share price to drop but not sure how drastic it will be. What do the other BAT investors think?
I believe it has been factored into the present price and the funds will be waiting for any short term disposable and closing high at the end of the session
BAT really become BAD...... QR become worse and worse...... all the investors love the good prospect stock . Unfortunately BAT not under this category...... bye bye bat........
Chill88 , your comment just similiar like GOLDEN SUMMIT guru - Sochai Chong , he used to say dividend 10 % scare what , buy call this stock from rm 20 to 15, then finally no sound at all liao...... hahahaha..........
Bat has almost No sales on 1st lockdown (18 March--30 March---within 1Qr result ) That is main reason revenue plunged so much. However things should get better after March (within coming 2Qr results) MCO has decimated illegal Cigarette while BAT had figure out how to manage Delivery of Cigarette to retailers. I think BAT is basically selling stock from warehouse ( minimum 1 month stock level--maybe more ) As workers are also lockdown----Still think this is just a one Qr. hit on Sales-----Tp still RM15 for the rest of the year
There is absolutely no indonesia Cigarette in Port klang area (as normal Sale Venue) I move around these area ---everyday for 2 weeks now ( maybe hidding in other place, i don't know )
I think now the value of the business is closer to the share price. Previously BAT was heavily undervalued. I am not sure but I think it may drop a bit in the coming days as humans always get scared when they see a double digit profit decline but I think it will bounce back again. This is still a profit making company despite the Covid crisis unlike some others who are in the red.
The biggest con job are the glove counters making peanuts and paying paltry dividend but the shares are at ridiculously high prices and PE. The gullible followers are chasing for fast profits. They will eventually get burnt due to short memories, cheers.
After analyzing the Q1 results, my thoughts have not changed. The company is probably trading at fair value even if we considered a 40% to 50% drop in profit for the year 2020. Here's why...
I think 2Q. Revenue will be higher than 1Qr.----illegal cigarette market share control 60% of demand. People will smoke, mco Or no mco. BAT brands are sold to higher income group and gets little or no demand from lower income users. However during MCO, illegal cigarette sources are terminated, Rothmas( cheaper price brands from BAT) should capture most of illegal Cigarette market share ( demand might falls but illegal Cig. market is 60% of total market demand is No small number )
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Ahmadahmad88
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Posted by Ahmadahmad88 > 2020-05-21 17:11 | Report Abuse
Pak Ahmad dah cakap.