in the old glorious day, the highest price it hit $5. So keep this stock for long term for 6 months to 1 year, you will see how high the price will move up
My last comment was in May 25th & counter only started to move recently….. way to go as my the highest price I bought was RM3.00 plus & average downward to 94 sen
This counter went up to RM5.06 in 2014 & bought it at RM3.00 plus thinking it was a value buy. I will be very happy if this counter goes back to RM3.80. Hopefully this coming quarter result will push it pass RM2.00 & thereafter back to the highest price I paid.
Reiterate Buy call on the company with TP lifted to RM2.36 from RM1.76 after lifting FY22-24F earnings by factoring in EPCC profits (in FY22 particularly) coupled with higher margins assumed for Papan plant project while pegged to 12x P/E. We understand more about Papan plant project and obtained a clearer picture from EPCC profits potential (on separate related infrastructure works to be done for Pemex) and O&M for the plant. Beyond this, we believe there is more potential for more growth as Pemex is looking to build another gas conditioning plant (Ixachi plant). Armored with net cash war chest, we believe it possess more room for 2 more projects in the medium term.
Papan project contribution larger than earlier expected Following the call with management, we have gathered that the total profit contribution from recently secured Papan project (RM4.5bn including EPC for related infrastructure which would not be owned by the company) is larger than we have earlier assumed. During the construction period of the plant, the group would recognise EPCC profit in 2HFY22 as the work is additional job to be executed for Pemex on top of the Papan plant. Upon completion, we reckon the asset would contribution RM120-200m of EBITDA per annum depending on actual gas production and the group’s downside is protected by minimum take or pay clause. Ixachi field by Pemex presents huge opportunities to be tapped into Coastal Contracts already has gas sweetener plant and Papan plant in hand servicing the Izaxhi field in Mexico owned by Pemex. Management has mentioned that Pemex will invest US$6.4bn to develop the field and expects peak production of 144,000 bbls/day condensates and 1100mmcfd gas during the period of 2023--2026. Three major plants would be required by Pemex namely, Papan plant, Perdiz plant (gas sweetener plant) as well as Ixachi plant (gas conditioning). Ixachi plant project has yet to be awarded by we believe Coastal Contracts is in a good spot given that Pemex has entrusted them with 2 major plants. Open to more offshore opportunities, balance sheet headroom still sufficient Aside from the Mexican market, the group is also looking at several offshore project contracts (MOPU, mid-sized FPSOs) and might consider roping in a JV partner if project size is huge. With net cash balance sheet, we believe Coastal Contracts might still be able to take on two more projects without equity fund raising given offshore project is small-to-mid sized combined with Ixachi plant of which initial equity commitment might be favourable.
Maintain Buy We have revised our FY22-23F earnings 42-22% as we factored in EPCC profit for Papan related infrastructure in FY22 followed by higher EBITDA margin assumed for Papan O&M starting FY23. As a result, our TP is lifted to RM2.36 from RM1.76) pegged to unchanged 12x CY22 P/E. We decided to price the stock above mean P/E as we intend to partially priced in its future prospect’s potential in offshore and Pemex related contracts. Reiterate Buy.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
gomyinv
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Posted by gomyinv > 2022-01-05 09:46 | Report Abuse
in the old glorious day, the highest price it hit $5. So keep this stock for long term for 6 months to 1 year, you will see how high the price will move up