This is like a secured concession with assured cash flow year after year for a total of 800 million. At the same time, there will be additional surprise on securing of new construction jobs. Additionally, the 5 acres prime land at KK which is at the commercial center in the neighborhood of Shangri-la hotel, Time Squar and Jefferson will add another feather to the cap. The market value of the land is already fetching 185millions.
GoldenShares, nice meeting you here. Ho Hup doesn't have to carry the risks for the success of the mall. Profitability is assured at 18% GDV for the whole of BJC project estimated at 4.5Billions as you already know. The fiixed operating overheads for Ho Hup is relatively lean as she has just out of PN17. From the change in shareholdings reported in Bursa, a major shareholder mopped up 20 over millions shares from the open market at more than RM1 average and as hugh as 1.40. Furthermore, EPS for Ho Hup is 20+sen.... It also involves in Construction though the margin from construction is thinner... but there might be pleasant surprises along the way..... :)
There is no cash flow to Ho Hup from the jv project with Malton yet as Malton had helped to settle Ho Hup's 80millions loan on the 60acres land charged to CIMB and Malton then take over the land and recharged it to Insas Credit and Leasing after the JDA was signed.The initial proceeds of Ho Hup's entitlements has to be used to offset the loan plus interests first. So far the total entitlements from the jv is 73.5millions. Soon, there will be net cash flow to Ho Hup from the jv BJC project with Malton. Furthermore, Ho Hup is changing in business direction, she now would like to focus on property development as it is more profitable. So, much cash is used to buy land. They had forked out 30millions to buy the KK land which I think is a good buy. And the jv land in Kulai, 429 acres, sitting in an oil palm plantation but it is cheap and need to fork out cash over a long period of 7 years as development progresses, if I am not mistaken. In BJC, the Aurora Place, they are building an 18 storeys office block for recurring incomes. So,Ho Hup needs cash to build business to generate incomes and they have called for a right issues. The CEO was reported to consider paying dividends from next year onwards..... :)
i have sold all my malton at 0.75 - 0.77, will consider hohup since desmond is now focus on WCT and i think the construction project will be awarded to wct i/o malton, : )
Ho hup is fundamentally super undervalued! No need to read charts ! just buy and sit tight! Can go double since a major shareholder sitting in the board bought at 1.30-1.50 1-2 years ago!
Bullrun 18, that should be the mentality of investing in fundamentally sound stocks like Hohup. Just take it that we have bought the apartments in BJC and wait for it to be handed over by the end of 2019. Then we will see the returns!! By then the whole BJC project may have come to ending.... Imagine how much money has come in to Hohup' s coffer. :)
Buy 1 million Hohup shares now costs rm700k+, when the service apartment due for taken vacant possession, then sell 500K shares, maybe the sales proceeds then is enough to buy a unit of the apartment in the secondary market..ha! :)
Yes, by then it could be RM5 per share, 500K shares more than enough to buy 1 unit.....but it could also be RM0.05 per share, enough to buy apartment in Timbuktu. Kakakaka
Haha! Bought and just sit tight. No worries! The land value as appraised by knight frank malaysia sdn bhd, the indicative value is 185millions. The company is in the midst of submitting plans and the launching could be in the 2nd half of 2017.
REV.O project is a jv with mbmland. It is built on top of the Aurora Place which is on the 10 acres land, own development by Hohup. The GDV is about 170mil, 18% entitlement is 30.6mil... :)
Ho hup actually has 75%x70%=52.5% of the land. So the jv co paid 57.15mil for that piece of land. :) Now, there is an unrealised paper gain of 127.85mil on that piece of land and HoHup's share of the paper profits is 67mil :)
So much assured incomes from the Joint Development Agreement from Bukit Jalil City with Malton.
270millions GDV from signature shops, scheduled to hand over by June/Sept 17, 18% is 48.6mil, coming in over the next 12 months, 800mil GDV( or 144mil incomes) over the next 3 years from Park 1 and retail shops.... Park 2 is being soft launched, 71% of 1 tower already booked. GDV for park 2 estimated at 500mil, (90mil from 2017-2021), the mall gdv 1billion to be completed by 2019..... 2 hotel blocks and 1 office tower yet to be launched..... So Much Money there!
I try to project the cash flow from the jv project. Now that the 80 million advance payments from Malton to settle the previous land charge would be set off soon. The set off is against the entitlements which uptodate is 73.5mil, the balance would not be much..... :)
There's 30.6mil entitlements from REV.O, 18% of 170mil from Mbmland. FY2015 collected 4.2mil, FY 2014, 0.98mil. Balance still 25mil. This year no report of receiving any entitlement from this JV. A lot of Cash coming in ..... :)
Daily MACD is positive for consecutive 3 days already. Today break up of 75 resistance. Parabolic SAR emanating BUY signal, break up of the downtrend line from 88sen since mid August...Technically POSITIVE.
Own 18% physically or 18% the lettable space and other common areas and amenities and car park lots. Ho hup would not bear the construction costs or and debts incurred for the construction of the mall. It is a clean sleek of 18%. :)
Malton is actually also very good but can't be sure of the profitability margin and there are the risks in the Mall being successfully leased out in view of bleak economic outlook, though with the brand Pavilion and world renowned mall designers, the chance of success is very high! It is much more risk adverse by investing in Ho Hup comparative. :)
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Skliew
1,201 posts
Posted by Skliew > 2016-11-28 17:47 | Report Abuse
Can safely invest in Ho Hup as the the market price now is lower than some major shareholders' average cost w/o taking in the holding costs.:)