Lately, there are quite a few friends from Sarawak, rushing to KK to invest in tourism business. I understand that Sarawak, all businesses are bad except construction of road and bridges. The works are for big companies and in 2 to 3 years down the road, the construction works will deplete, the companies may not make big money anymore. This is different from KK, tourism business is there for long time.
Tourist Arrival from China and Korea from 2015 to 2018 as follows: Year China South Korea 2015 246918 138867 2016 374939 197945 2017 431026 310802 2018 593623 337100
As an investor in share market, we knew very well that KK has a very good potential and we are not able to afford to buy any good land location for the future development of the tourism business.
From the Aerial view of KK, Suria owned 52 acres of strategy land after all port operation will move to Sepangar Bay. There will be the biggest piece of land nearest to the city centre for future development.
Suria has 345.82 millions shares and if we hold 1% of the company shares for example or equivalent to 3458 lots(1000 unit share), we will has equivalent of 0.52 acre of strategy land. Each acre of land has value of Rm28 millions in the future and the 1% share value will worth RM14.56 millions in land.
tonywong8, if what you have said is true, suria's share price should have spiked a long time ago. Is the counter undervalued for a long time or is there something that we have missed out?
Ahteck85, this counter is for long term investor like me and to collect high dividend as compared to fixed deposit. The price will move only when quarterly result showing continuing improving profit. We have yet to see the improving result but hopefully will be come in next year.
If the rate of increase for all cargo and containers at 15%, the collection of Port expected to increase by Rm10 M to Rm75 M per quarter. The profit may increase by Rm7.5 M before tax and after tax will be about Rm5 M. So expected quarterly result will be Rm20 M and Rm80 M per annum. With minimum dividend of 35% of annual profit or Rm28 M, equivalent to 8 cents per annum. The dividend yield will increase to 5.6% which is much higher than FD.
Suria Capital Holdings Bhd, owner of Sabah Ports Sdn Bhd, has appealed to the Sabah state government to increase cargo tariffs by 15% to 20% at its seven ports in the state.
Land Value One Jesselton Waterfront is an integrated waterfront development that sits on 6.28 acres of leasehold commercial land within the Jesselton Waterfont City (JWC) master plan. It is the last piece of prime commercial waterfront land in Kota Kinabalu’s Central Business District and is located next to the Jesselton Point Ferry Terminal and the International Cruise Terminal. Situated on the most prime location of the commercial plot, coupled with the significant historical value of the Land, the value is estimated in the region of RM1,000 psf. As a reference, a recent transaction of a piece of seaview land on the row across the street without sea frontage was recorded at RM1,107 psf.
Suria Capital’s Entitlement Suria Capital and GBGAQRS had agreed for Suria Capital’s Entitlement pursuant to the JVA to be revised upward from the current 18% to 20% of the minimum Net Saleable Value (“NSV”) of RM1.1 billion. This would translate to a minimum guaranteed amount of RM220 million.The rationale for the increase in Suria Capital’s Entitlement is that value of landbank within the Kota Kinabalu Central Business District area has appreciated since the initial signing of the JVA back in March 2015. The spurt of economic growth in the Sabah State has transformed Kota Kinabalu into a thriving hub of activities (GDP has risen by CAGR of 8.1% from 2015-2018). The average land prices in the area has appreciated by an average of 80% to 100% resulting from the scarcity of commercial land and the strong demand for prime location land in the CBD area. The rapid surge in both domestic and international tourist arrivals boosted the demand for high-quality hotel and this in turn caused the hotel room rates to increase significantly over the last 4 years (tourist arrivals CAGR of 5.1% from 2015-2018).
One Jesselton Waterfront Project consists of the following:
1) The 4-storey mall has total net lettable area of 390,000 square feet with 2 basements that offers 1,180 carpark bays. 2) The 4-star hotel & spa will offer 400 guest rooms and suites, an 800-pax capacity ballroom, and spa facilities. 3) The Grade A corporate office tower would span across 4 floors below the 4-star hotel & spa with net lettable area of 52,000 square feet. 4) The waterfront condominium would offer 330 units of impeccably designed dwellings with a total net sellable area of 423,400 square feet. 5) Serviced Residence: 325-unit fully-furnished serviced residences. Spread over 25-floors, there would be 175 Kota Kinabalu view units with modern loft design(approximately 550 square feet), providing the flexibility of having one open plan wide space and a bedroom with privacy. Facing the breath-taking harbour is 150 exclusive sea view units (688 square feet for typical units and 880 square feet for corner units) fitted with elegant bathtubs in master bathrooms overlooking the sea.
The value of Rm1.1 Billion NSV was based on 2015. Now, the value may be much higher and it means more value to Suria.
Why suddenly suria surge so much ? Is it due to rumor of privatization ?
I heard some external party approach the State Government offering to take 51% stake offering about Rm 2.10 per share, anyone know anything about this development ?
They sold MMC shares at cheap price also below RM0.5...but then suddenly the share price go up...now already touch RM0.7. I think at this price it is save to collect...book value below 0.3....state own company....long term should be good....short term have to wait for urusharta volumes to be taken up.
iCapital latest newsletter featured Suria as a Buy with ample margin of safety on offer:
- Minimum RM544 mil of future receivables from Jesselton Quay and Jesselton Waterfront is worth more than Suria’s market cap (RM311 mil). - This means investors are getting Suria’s state-backed, cash-generating and unassailable monopoly-esque port operations in which it has invested over RM1 bil since privatisation for free. - Net cash balance sheet and dividend yield of 5.6% are icing on the cake
1). Jesselton Quary project worth 1.8 billion, Suria will get 18% =324 million, of which 229 million already received in Year 2015, so balance receivable is only 95 million(324 million -229million)
2).One Jesselton Waterfront worth 1.1 billion, Suria will get 20% =220 million
So total future receivable is only 95million + 220 million =315 million only.
Definitely undervalued. Only issue is why we think demand for this stock will increase now. It has been a steady counter for years and I can only see upside.
I dont think we will lose much holding such a defensive counter and PE is low anyway with dividends. Anyone can share update on JV development Gabung AQRS for the Jesselton Waterfront project
Go through the shareholders report, Urusharta' suria share cost was at Rm1.84 before bonus. After bonus issue, his cost was reduced to Rm1.54. If deducted off all his dividend collected over the years of about Rm0.54, his cost was still at Rm1.00. Therfore, he was cut lost for every shares he dumped to the market despite holding the shares for more than 12 years.
Jesselton Quary project worth 1.8 billion was proposed on 2013 and One Jesselton Waterfront worth 1.1 billion was proposed on 2015. Both value were fixed at 5 to 7 years ago.
The spurt of economic growth in the Sabah State has transformed Kota Kinabalu into a thriving hub of activities (GDP has risen by CAGR of 8.1% from 2015-2018). The average land prices in the area has appreciated by an average of 80% to 100% resulting from the scarcity of commercial land and the strong demand for prime location land in the CBD area. One Jesselton Waterfront is an integrated waterfront development that sits on 6.28 acres of leasehold commercial land within the Jesselton Waterfont City (JWC) master plan. It is the last piece of prime commercial waterfront land in Kota Kinabalu’s Central Business District and is located next to the Jesselton Point Ferry Terminal and the International Cruise Terminal.
Situated on the most prime location of the commercial plot, coupled with the significant historical value of the Land, the value is estimated in the region of RM1,000 psf. As a reference, a recent transaction of a piece of seaview land on the row across the street without sea frontage was recorded at RM1,107 psf.
KOTA KINABALU, 16 MARCH 2015 – GABUNGAN AQRS BERHAD (“GBGAQRS”) and SURIA CAPITAL HOLDINGS BERHAD (“SURIA”) today jointly announced the formalisation of a Joint Venture Agreement (“JVA”) for the collaborative development of a lucrative mixed development, aimed at capturing a slice of the sizeable property market potential of Sabah. The project which will be named One Jesselton Waterfront, is set to be constructed across a 6.28 acre plot of land within the vicinity of Kota Kinabalu Port with an estimated Net Sale Value (“NSV”) of RM 1.8 billion.
If we based on land value of Rm1107/psf, 6.28 acres will has the value of RM 303 million. If we based on RM 1.8 billion with 20% to Suria, the value will be RM 360 million.
For Jesselton Quary project, upto date, SBC is only developed 4 acres out of 16.25 acres. The future value of the project will be much higher than the signed RM 1.8 billions.
It looks like Icap BHD deploys in enormous amount of fund and start accumulating this stock. Few years later when all the projects materialize, then it is the time to harvest.
Have bought some and start accumulating. A classic example of low risk high return.
Urusharta may has left with 20000 lots to dump. About 93% of selling was dumped by Urusharta. 2019, Suria profit was 15.1 cents and dividend policy of minimum 35% of 15.1 cents was 5.29 cents less 2.5 cents paid at interim, so very soon Suria will declare 3.0 to 3.5 cents dividend soon.
yes..hopefully they clear all their share..let the price stable as before. tonight our PM will announce about MCO issue. hope that more industry can operate as the covid case subside. Port industry will be 1st to have positive impact
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
t_nike2002
370 posts
Posted by t_nike2002 > 2019-09-19 10:03 | Report Abuse
Heading to 1.50 ...!