Market syndicates have been around for many decades and their stock manipulative activities have been felt in the United States, Singapore, here and every other market around the world.
Their objective has always been to push up share prices and then unload the high-priced shares on punters.
@Mabel... Another good analogy. Hilarious though. The presence of market syndicates keeps the market alive. To me, they are real professionals. Very difficult to read their play.
Industry observers say a consolidation between Utusan and Media Prima’s Berita Harian — which is under New Straits Times Press (M) Bhd (NSTP) — and between Kosmo! and NSTP’s Metro is a possibility, given the challenging print media landscape.
I like to share what I wrote in the Armada Forum next door as I believe it has the same characteristic why Armada got into trouble which I think is similar to Barakah. The purpose is to share how it's possible for a company can make a turn around...
As I said earlier Armada has gone into a little bit of trouble largely due to the poor oil price since 2015.
Bumi Armada has two main core, the first which is OSV or Offshore Service Vessel and the other FPSO which stands for Floating Production Service Offloading. Because of the poor oil price, OSV has largely been impacted and because the OSV's business has less barrier of entry, it is hugely competitive in times where activities on exploration, offshore production is kept low. Many companies in the OSV space are not able to be kept afloat.
FPSO on other hand is a more complex business. It is a partner to the oil companies which is extracting out the commodity from the sea. There are not that many companies which are capable of getting into this business. As mentioned above, Bumi Armada is one of the largest. Yinson from Malaysia is the other. Bumi Armada as we see it is less preferred than Yinson - mainly because of its balance sheet, not its capability. Yinson in fact, is a lesser size player. FPSO is a growing business and has much less competitors.
When as outside investors see that the company is in liquidity crunch, the two things that comes in mind is additional injection - which means more capital and the other being liquidation which is the worst of the two. Either one however, during times like this is less preferable. Bumi Armada has come out on record to say that it is not looking at raising funds through additional injection. Coming from them, I would say I trust what they are doing. Instead, it is looking at restructuring its short term debt into long term debt.
Why do I say this? As a start, the level of business operations activities for Armada for the last 1 year is at its highest for the last 5 years. It has just gotten acceptances for 2 of its largest FPSO projects through Armada Kraken and Armada Olombendo. These are the 2 projects which are more complex than its earlier projects - and the key is that it has gotten acceptances, where from here the contractual work should be more smooth flowing. All in all, Armada has over RM20 billion of contracts in hand and another RM10 billion of extension options.
I would also like to highlight that the high gearing over the last few years is also because of mainly the 2 large projects. From 2014 to 2017 they have been investing into the business.
What Armada has gotten into trouble is from the OSV business and the termination (Armada Claire) and bankruptcy of one of its client in Nigeria. These largely caused them to be sunk into some liquidity issue.
I do not think these are issues which cannot be solved especially given that it has solved the larger operational issue from Armada Kraken. Looking forward, I would like to think that despite oil price being lower than the best years between 2012 - 2014, many of the oil producing countries have gotten hold of the shock better than what they experienced in 2015. Oil price may not go as high as USD90 or USD100 anymore but from what I read as long as Brent is above USD 50, there's a good change for the company to make it.
Miss Greatec has exceeded my expectation in term of Margins, Profits and Performance. It has today overtaken Mabel Technology Star Performer, MyEG in all area.
Industrial Revolution 4.0 is where the future is..
She closed RM 1.45 today.
Likewise, Princess Armada also exceeded expectations. She climbs more than 13% today closing at 0.285..She has just started to wake up...
I'm expecting our Prince Barakah will wake us soon.. Princess Armada is already waiting for him
On Sapura... I will be very careful even to consider buying it again. If you were to read about Sapura, prior to its rights I was bullish on its prospect. Its a turnaround company especially with PNB & OMV coming on-board. However, it is the other factors that determine its market price. To me, the market price is still floating.... albeit on a narrow range
I have a feeling that Barakah will revisit 2.5 sen... I also find it strange that Nik is helpless in defending a company that he has personally built. The big bikes he owns are worth more than his current shareholdings....
lucky if still can sell at 3.5 cents, soon worthless than sumatec.. should have seen it coming many months ago la..take that white khight story to the grave
@Ron90...I always find reviving a distress PLC, very exciting. It is filled with exciting news. I, for one believe that the suspension by Petronas will be lifted soon. Strong possibility the crux of their disputes are due to the unauthorised variation works on the ground. Barakah will Never be unlisted...
• KL101 defaulted on instalment payments to EXIM Bank amounting USD2.65m/ RM11.08m. • Drawn down amount in Aug-14: USD57.46m. • Loan outstanding as at 16-May-19: USD42.32m.
What Barakah is doing?
Total liabilities as at 31-Mar-19: RM335.9m • In the midst of finalising a scheme to restructure the Group’s debt with EXIM Bank and past due creditors. • Completed revaluation exercise of KL101. • The exercise resulted in an impairment of the asset. • The revaluation deficit of USD39.0m / RM161.1m will be reflected for the financial period ending 30 June 2019. • Embarking on a regularisation plan to: • Address significant outstanding amount due to creditors • Improve our net asset position • Resolve the lack of utilisation of KL101 • The proposal of the regularisation plan to be formalised mid-2019.
Business Outlook
Focus on bidding for more projects Estimated tender book value of RM928 million. Active participation in pre-qualification for potential future projects bidding.
Execution of projects to sustain operations Orderbook of RM600 million provides earnings visibility up to 2023.
Collaborate with stronger companies Strategic tie-up with Vallianz. Collaboration with Minsheng. To explore areas of collaboration.
Utilisation of pipe-lay barge KL101 - Currently on hire as accommodation vessel for MCM contract, offshore of Terengganu
My next wish is for Nik to take stronger leadership like General Lee of KNM to work with investors to revive Barakah...
Like I said earlier, it's not the end of the world..Keep sharing.
@youarewelcome88 @Ron90...I always find reviving a distress PLC, very exciting. It is filled with exciting news. I, for one believe that the suspension by Petronas will be lifted soon. Strong possibility the crux of their disputes are due to the unauthorised variation works on the ground. Barakah will Never be unlisted...
Indeed. Beside Barakah, I also picked and invested in ICON and Alam to feel the experience what it's like to revive a distress companies. The only way to feel it is to put your stake in it.
Cheers!
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Mabel
24,295 posts
Posted by Mabel > 2019-09-01 23:31 | Report Abuse
Indeed 88!
Absolutely!