First USD $131,000,000 million that means usd trillions Then change to RM 131m Finally the actual contract value USD$131m Thank god they corrected it in time
i am still waiting for Velesto to receive Petronas' HWU ---hydraulic WorkOver Unit Job. Petronas last month already issuing similar contracts to a Bursa Co. If Velesto received HWU contracts, i am sure price can Hit 70c and above before 31 Dec 2019
Oil and gas (O&G) sector Maintain neutral: Large-cap Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas)-related names, with the exception of MISC Bhd, have underperformed the broader FBM KLCI index, while stock prices of small- and mid-cap companies have outperformed, on the back of higher activity. As we move into November, the focus will be on corporate earnings. We highlight that maintenance and rig players could post stronger third-quarter (3Q) results benefitting from higher job flows. Contract flows are likely to see a stronger ramp-up to make up for underspending by Petronas in the first half of 2019 (1H19). We have “buy” calls on Dialog Group Bhd, Serba Dinamik Holdings Bhd, Velesto Energy Bhd, Bumi Armada Bhd and Kelington Group Bhd. We maintain our “neutral” stance on the sector.
Petronas has significantly underspent on its capital expenditure (capex) totalling RM16 billion in 1H19 or 32% of its full-year RM50 billion target. The guidance is still unchanged, showing its commitment to roll out more contracts in the coming months. Out of the RM50 billion, Petronas has allocated half for domestic projects. We believe activities will remain robust, with its domestic upstream capex also guided to be higher at RM15 billion versus RM8 billion in 2018.
The jack-up rig demand in Malaysia steadily improved from 10 operational rigs in the first quarter of 2019 (1Q19), to 13–14 rigs in 2Q-3Q19. This is in line with 16–18 rig requirements according to Petronas’ activity outlook. Daily charter rates (DCRs) in the Southeast Asian region for jack-up rigs with a water depth of more than 350ft (106.68m) are now in the range of US$65,000-US$95,000 (RM269,789-RM394,307) (versus US$55,000–US$65,000 in January 2019), less than 350ft of the current DCR at US$48,000-US$65,000 (versus US$45,000-US$60,000 before).
We gather that offshore maintenance players are likely to post strong 3Q19 profits. This includes the maintenance, construction, modification contract beneficiaries like Deleum Bhd, Carimin Petroleum Bhd, Dayang Enterprise Holdings Bhd and Petra Energy Bhd (non-rated). We understand that the first two, which operate in Peninsular Malaysia waters, are servicing one additional platform shutdown versus 2Q19, while the last two are likely to benefit from more hook-up commissioning works quarter-on-quarter.
We prefer companies with more exposure to brownfield works and good earnings visibility. We like Dialog and Serba Dinamik (maintenance), Velesto Energy (jack-up rigs), Bumi Armada (floating production storage and offloading, a recovery story with more potential positive news), and Kelington (a promising long-term industrial gas story). However, in view of the recent sector run-up and some stocks under our coverage nearing their fair values, we recommend to take profit on upcoming strong 3Q result announcements, as 4Q/1Q are seasonally weak due to the monsoon.
Any potential upgrade to our “neutral” call on the sector hinges on: i) a stronger recovery in global oil prices; ii) faster roll-outs of contract awards; and iii) work orders leading to better corporate earnings improvement.
Further downside risks would be affected by a holdback in clients’ capex spending adversely impacting work activities. — Affin Hwang Capital, Nov 4
Lets home to see 38 - 39 cents tomorrow. So, next year only left 1 Jack up unit without contract extensions due at the end of next year.. Long time more to negotiate best price..
VELESTO WINNING OVER HALF BILLION RINGGIT JOBS SHOW 2ND TIER O&G SUPPORT IN BULL RUN STILL,, Calvin Tan Research Author: calvintaneng | Publish date: Tue, 5 Nov 2019, 11:16 PM
Great !
EMPRESS VELESTO DOES NOT NEED MUCH FINANCING AS IT HAS INHERITED THE FAIRLY NEW JACK UP RIGS & HYDRAULIC WORKOVER (HWU) FROM UMWOG. So Velesto stands to reap huge windfall from this job award.
@JJchan Many bullish IB already give 48--50 cents in 3Qrt 05/11/2019 8:33 PM
+ 1...
This assessment below was done before the USD 131 Million contract..Hence, I'm in line with JJ Chan and Calvin forecast...
Velesto Energy Bhd, a rig owner and operator of seven offshore drilling rigs and four hydraulic workover units, and which is close to 63%-controlled by state-owned Permodalan Nasional Bhd and its units.
Utilisation is up, daily charter rates are also up, the sector is turning around and earnings are going to turn around. The outlook for its drilling segment, which is its main revenue generator increased demand for both jack-up drilling rigs and hydraulic work over units is expected to benefit the group, as it is the main player in the segment with strong domestic and regional track record. A gradual improvement in time charter rates is also seen based on recently awarded contracts.
Uptrend is intact as share price has tested its 52-week high at RM0.365 on Friday with exceptionally higher trading volume. Technical-wise, the share price is trading above all leading moving averages and we expect buying interest to persist, possibly to trend higher. From here, resistance levels are expected at RM0.420 (R1) and RM0.480 (R2). 06/11/2019 10:10 AM
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
lee_m2020
4,829 posts
Posted by lee_m2020 > 2019-11-05 11:45 | Report Abuse
i will join in and put all i have at later signal..