September end month stocks drop to 1.75 million tonnes, production declined to 1.7 million and exports surged 36% to 1.6 million tonnes. All bullish positive signals for palm oil producers
In my post on 8/10/21, where I stated Bplant’s 2021 forecast EPS 9.6 sen and prospective PE 7.1x , they are solely based on operations. The sales of kulai young land , expected to be completed by end Dec, will raked in a gain of 14.42 sen . As such , total EPS for FY2021 will be 24.02 sen (9.6. +14.42).
1.75 mil tons end Sept stock is just about one month inventory. That’s very low for a food and trade item ! This is situation is good enough to sustain CPO price at high level .
Very TRUE ...John. Plus there is STILL a shortage of manpower for Harvest in Oct and Nov. Then Winter ( Dec/Jan ) season when Palm Oil production will be LOW. Best scenario is that Malaysia can Maintain is 2020 production. Worse ..... Inventory will FALL below 1million tonnes coming into Festive season.
Lets investigate from both side. To yippy and tyranny : Based on my investigation of top 30 shareholding for bplant, sentral, uoareit, i guess you are using uob kay hian - client account. I can't see the common name other than this name.
Let's not discuss people wealth la. If you are rich, then be humble. If you are poor, work hard to get rich. Stop the slander ya.
Yeah, all intention (except for the one tht keep on mention missing submarine in bplant, still don’t get wht this fella thought process) is to see bplant fly… so pls be united with a common objective… peace…
In 2019 , Bplant impaired $176 mil on Pertama estate which acquired in 2018 from Dutaland for $750 mil. The reason for the impairment was the underperformance of that newly acquired asset amid average CPO price of about $2,000 in 2018 -2019. With Average CPO price of possibly reaching $4,500 for 2021 and bright outlook for 2022/23, will the impairment be reversed?
John : will the impairment be reversed? < Maybe. But do consider auditor look at cash flow projection for at least 5 years. The CPO price is high now but i don't think it will be high for so long. No worry. Auditor usually will ask the cash flow projection either in q3 or q4. Let's see how EY assess the cash flow projection. Nevertheless, you may query them at AGM next year. I remember someone question their cash flow projection in previous agm.
brianklc : Yea. you are right. Impairment just non-cash item. Don't worry.
@Asia88, fully understand impairment is non cash item . But it has considerable impact on P&L and BS. For this reason, Bplant’s share price was badly punished for the huge loss in FY 2019 arising from this $176 mil impairment. Just curious . I have seen steel company reversing huge impairment make in past years because price outlook for steel is much brighter now .
Few good things we may foresee in the next quarter result 1. Extra income from winning the court case (can refer last quarter report commentary) 2. Disposal of land (maybe q4 finish) 3. Land rental at johor 4. Impairment reversal ? (hopefully)
John, I beg to differ ya… in terms impairment, being prudence, normally a company will not reverse… for bplant, u can see they very prudent, evidenced from how they value their land… and btw, yes, shareholders being penalised when they first impair the assets, HOWEVER, bear in mind with assets value being written down, the assets depreciation are lower also, hence if u keep bplant long enuf, u sure will enjoy the benefits of lower depreciation charge…
enough is enough, dont test people patient and you should learn from your parent that everything should have a limit. this is not a warning but a sincere advice. up to you to accept. You are definitely Kurang Ajar.
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MuttsInvestor
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Posted by MuttsInvestor > 2021-10-11 13:46 | Report Abuse
https://www.marketscreener.com/news/latest/Soybeans-rise-on-tightening-edible-oil-supplies--36648020/ " Soybeans rise on tightening edible oil supplies "