Output in Q3 higher than Q2 by about 12.5%.ASP also higher by at least 5%. Some of the expenses are fixed regardless of revenue growth. GST refund 37 million. These are bases of estimated profit of RM100 million.
@Kon, GST refund is a balance sheet item and therefore is not a profit. It increases cashflow for the company. I think NPAT for Q3 will come in around $77 mil or 3.45 sen/share. Yes, I think there will be MAXIMUM dividend payout from the qtr earning simply because Bstead Holdings (parent company) need the cash urgently to pare down debts. Afterall, Bplant has strong cash flow from operations, GST refund and net proceed of $430mil from Kulai estate impending disposal.
Other members also buying valuable stocks but not behave like this iddiot spammer
We all feel ridiculous nonstop posting nonstop promoting
As I said earlier, if you so confidence to wait and if you so confidence what you invest why everyday need to promote, why everyday put up so many blog, why everyday go different stocks forum keep on promoting your palm oil stocks?
This is very obvious you want to cash out your share bought and treat other members as waterfish.
In the real world, no free lunch to people unless you want to take advantage from others
I don't know why 3iii administrator didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid further keep on spamming everyday and every way
I pegging administrator need to take proper action against this spammer
@kon, income tax refund will reduce the amount of tax payable this year and hence increase profit. But GST refund is just squaring off the difference in GST input tax accounts with output tax accounts Hence it has no impact on earning.
1. FCPO is still all time high (As at 09-11-21, CPO Price is 4,792.00/ton).
2. Yes, FCPO drops because if it is too high, international buyers slow down a bit, but pick up later. (CPO > 3,500/ton is a boom to oil palm upstream cos as well as downstream cos - both win)
3. Average CPO Price for Jul' to Sept'21 is 4,417/ton.
4. Average CPO Price for Oct'21 is 5,051/ton.
5. Now, announcing soon is the Value of FFB/CPO produced for Oct'21.
6. And, announcing soon is the Qtr Financial Report (Jul' to Sept'21).
7. So, we still have all the above favorable news.
8. So, lari dari apa? dari ular kah? No ular lah? But, ada factual figures lah.
9. Just bought again this morning to top up the good oil palm shares portfolio.
10. Finally, keep investing in good growth companies like oil palm shares for financial gains.
CCWONG, I fully agree with you that the strong fundamentals of CPO remain intact. Although Oct closing stock went up 4.42% to 1.83 mil MT, the inventory is merely 1.2 month buffer ((1.83/18.0)x12 ) which is very low for a food, industrial and biofuel products. The ‘comfortable’ inventory level may be about 3 to 3.2 mil mt in order to safely meeting the growing usage as edible oil and renewable biofuels . Seasonally low production period start this month until March 2022. The closing inventory until March 2022 or beyond likely to stay tight and thus support CPO price at high level for awhile. This probably explains why CPO price for Nov went up $119 despite 4.42% increase in inventory. Fund managers and Analysts may continue to forecast higher production/stock into 2022 and hence forecast substantially lower CPO in next year (anyway, they have never got it right in the past 12 months). I think they will get it wrong again. Overall CPO production next year will still be about the same as this year. Because of MCOs (hampering delivery of fertilizer) and labour shortage , fertilizer application this year is seriously delayed and shall adversely affect FFB yield next year . Field upkeep is not up to the mark . Labour shortage will still be a problem with covid resurgence as high risk . Fertilizer application for 1H next year will face another setback due to extremely tight supply of certain essential fertilizer from China. Under such scenarios, how can the palms yield more next year ?? I have my reservations.
1. Jul'21 - 81,155 ton at 4,128.00/ton (Av. CPO Price). 2. Aug'21 - 91,150 ton at 4,555.00/ton (Av. CPO Price). 3. Sep'21 - 91,012 ton at 4,556.00/ton (Av. CPO Price).
(Jul'21/Aug'21/Sep'21 - 263,317 ton at 4,416.00/ton (Av. CPO Price).
4. Oct'21 - 86, 432 ton at 5,051.00/ton (Av. CPO Price). 5. Oct'21's FFB tonnage of 86,432 against Sep'21 FFB tonnage 91,012 is a drop of 4,580 ton (5.03% drop). 6. Oct'21 Av CPO Price of 5,051.00 against Sep'21 Av CPO Price of 4,556.00 is an increase of 495.00 (10.86%). 7. Therefore, a drop of FFB harvest by 5.03% against an increase of Av CPO Price of 10.86%. A small drop in tonnage against a double increase in Av CPO Price. Double, you know what it means, same cost. 8. The offset is positive which adds to the additional increase in Sale Revenue which will add to the increase in NPAT for Oct'21. 9. Let's see for this month of Nov'21 & next month of Dec'21. 10. No surprise, actual facts. KLSE drops by tens of points, but Bplant share price dips a little only. In fact, increase when compared to only a few months ago, it was <0.58 ct. (Today, 0.68ct)
Don't be silly to mislead the members here, you don't know why government asking citizens to buy more food to keep as storage because of strong winter season, not because of high demand of palm oil
Don't simply con others hard earned money, one day karma will see you soon
God always not fair. People don’t need to think are cash rich. People always thinking high and low hard just for surviving few meals like Tyranny. I Better follow NoBrainerLor. No need to think cash rich. Think so much, full of worry.
@Tyranny, working so hard as short gun for others to make 2 meals. Good luck if you have make your meals today. Although as a small tiny farmer for just 50 hectares Palm Oil. Of course nothing can compare to big timer farmers like KLK. But With current CPO price. Enough to make many big company top management people envy, why ask more. Just follow NoBrainerLor.. buy CPO counters
I fully agreed with InvestIcon and really envy NoBrainerLor as he invested No Brainer Counters without using brain. With current CPO price, how CPO company don't make windfall profit. Salute you both and will follow you guys.
InvestIcon, that's why I said Poor people always think 1 cent is big. Imagine he think 50 hectares Palm Oil is big! He doesn't realise many people have more than that. How to do, he looks for 2 meals only.LOL.
Totally agree with you VerSmartInvestor. That’s why I claimed i’m small tiny farmer lor. Can’t believe he think 50 is a lot. I think we are wasting time with him. After all, poor people lives in his own world. Let him continue to bark. We continue buying our CPO counters. No need to respond to him.
Now all open your eye and see this iddiot spammer sold all MHC stock since this iddiot spammer so confidence about the palm oil sector earlier and keep on promoting to all members everywhere.
You see what I told the marker is correct, this iddiot spammer wanted to cash out so keep on promoting to all members then can cash out easily.
I so pity members here listen to this iddiot end up you can burn you hard earned money and this iddiot laughing at you later.
Hi @Intrinsic99 I appreciate their comment and I do appreciate your comment as well. but dont condemn other give their view here.
They share their info and you can share your as well. but do give some solid evident and show us this guy really cash out. if not don't screw someone without reason.
Palm oil producer Golden Agri-Resources has reported earnings of US$115 million for 3QFY21 ended Sept 30, up 580% y-o-y from a loss of US$5 million. Revenue in the same period was up 76% y-o-y to US$2.8 billion, The company notes that the on-going La Nina weather pattern will impact supply. Yet, demand has not been “significantly affected” despite the high prices. “Notwithstanding the more conducive market environment, we remain cautious of any uncertainties from the lingering global Covid-19 pandemic,” the company states. “Looking forward, industry prospects continue to be positive given palm oil’s important role in supplying the growing global vegetable oil demand.” Golden Agri-Resources closed Nov 11 at 27 cents, down 1.85% for the day and up 65.63% year to date.
All debates,if you can call them so, will come to an end when Q3 results are out. Maybank Kim End did support buying in Bplnt lately. I just topped up.
The following write up summarize why is it palmoil stock offer the best investment & investor protection loh!
Do not listen to the good for nothing stock analyst who have vested interest loh!
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 6, 2021 5:28 PM | Report Abuse
Intrinsic99
I have read all the argument broth forth by the Naysayer IB Bankers
None of them is true
See our Friend reply
Posted by Johnzhang > Nov 2, 2021 9:57 AM | Report Abuse
IBs and many pessimist are relentlessly worried that CPO price will fall since the day CPO reached $3,000/- in 2020. CPO reached $5,350 now! Should investors be too concerned if CPO price correct down from today's level ? I would like to share the year's high (H) , low (L) and the simple average (Avg) from year 2008 to 2021as below : 2008. $4179 (H) , $1403 (L) , $2791 (Avg) 2009. 2887,. 1630. 2259 2010. 3782. 2386. 3084 2011. 3930. 2786. 3358 2012. 3567. 2027. 2797 2013. 2635. 2157. 2396 2014. 2917. 1933. 2425 2015. 2360. 1802. 2081
2021's H is 29% higher than the highest H (2008) 2021's H is 66% higher than the avg H 2008-2019 2021's L. Is 147% higher than the lowest L (2008) 2021's L is 72% higher than the avg L 2008-2019 2021's Avg is 68% higher than the Avg 2008-2019.
Despite the above , all plantantion counters stock prices are 20-50% below the highs achieved in 2008 -2020 period . Mind boggling indeed.
So, why should there be worries if CPO price indeed correct for 10-20% next year ?? 02/11/2021 9:54 AM
Stock: [TAANN]: TA ANN HOLDINGS BHD
Oct 26, 2021 3:22 PM | Report Abuse
The windfall tax is not new . It has been around since 2008. The IBs rating for plantation sector have been like this : When CPO $3,000 , price will fall to $2,500 , neutral rating When CPO $3,500 , price will fall to $2,700 , neutral rating When CPO $4,000 , price will fall to $2,800 , neutral rating When CPO $4,500 , price will fall to $3,000 , neutral rating When CPO $5,000, price will fall to $3,200 , neutral rating When CPO $5,300 , price will fall to $3,300 , neutral rating Listening to IBs will bring you to Holland !
NOTE: JOHNZHANG SAID: "LISTENING TO IBs WILL BRING YOU TO HOLLAND
(NO WONDER 90% OF THE MARKET RETAIL PLAYERS YEAR AFTER YEAR LOSING MONEY LISTENING TO IB BANKERS: 90% OF RETAIL PLAYERS LOSING MONEY DECADE AFTER DECADE LOSING MONEY LISTENING TO IB BANKERS
(BETTER WAKE UP! STOP LISTENING TO IB BANKS)
Posted by Johnzhang > Oct 8, 2021 12:50 PM | Report Abuse
I am pleased to share the projected full year (2021) EPS and the prospective PE of some of my favorite plantation counters. The Projected EPS is based on actual 1H + Q3+Q4. Q3 EPS can be estimated fairly accurately as Q3 avg CPO prices is known and production numbers are mostly available . I also make the assumption that Q4 EPS is same level as Q3 for reasons that ASP Q4 seem to be even higher and labourers for plantantion sector are coming in to maximize crop recovery. Given that Nov/Dec is usually seasonally lower crops, but the higher ASP and labour availability should be enough to offset that, On above basis , the FY 2021 EPS and prospective PE based on yesterday closing share price as as follows:
Bplant. EPS 9.6sen , PE 7.1x THplant. EPS 16.5sen , PE 4.4x SOP. EPS 73.0sen. PE 5.3x MHC. EPS 20.9sen. PE 4.5x Cepat. EPS 13,9sen. PE 5.2x Swkplt. EPS 48sen. PE 5.2x Taaan. EPS 67.9sen PE 4.6x Hsplant. EPS 23.6sen. PE 9.3X.
Historical PE for plantation counter is 15 to 25x As such, plantation counters are seriously underappreciated by the market , especially amid poor KLSE sentiment.
Can 2021's earning be sustained in 2022? You will be surprised! Hope this perspective helpful for your investment decision.
Remember why investing into palmoil stock is greatleh ??
Plantation land beside having huge tract of cheap land to protect us against rampant inflation, it also produce food and also provide good & safe dividend yield of 3% t0 6% pa much superior compare to fixed deposits of yield less than 2% pa.
In other words plantation is a perfect investment at the moment loh!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Kon Lim Chai
446 posts
Posted by Kon Lim Chai > 2021-11-09 22:56 | Report Abuse
Estimated profit after tax for Q3 RM100 million which include GST refund. Expect dividend 2.5 sen minimum.