haha, everytime up few cents, Jack the liar will appear make noise again, funny la this joker liar. firstly , he never said 1.30, he said 2.00 n will announce 1 month ago, 1 month later still at 1.30. n the liar Jack said his sister work as accountant in bplant, damn funny
I think we have to analyse the spectacular price increase of Bplant from 64sen in early June to $1.29 today from the correct angle. It is NOT about "goreng" activity by shark. Bplant is never a good candidate for shark. It is NOT about brighter CPO prospect. You don't see such price increase in all other pltn. It is NOT about earnings or soon to be announced QR. Everyone already expect an unimpressive results at operating level for Q2. IT IS ABOUT A TAKEOVER OFFER BY A THIRD PARTY !
The thing is why worry the takeover don't happen. It is like saying Insas might be able to perform like Bplant and go to buy Insas. Would you buy Insas. I would not as the rumour is not true. Bplant rumour sound true and price is moving, and thus move with trend up and decide your exit point.
No shame to take some profits off the table like today when cost is so low. I am a believer in selling into strength and my 25% portion taken off the table today at RM1.28.
Sslee, You must well ask what's the probability of a takeover offer happening ? I think that is more positive way of looking at the issue. You got to read between the lines what LTAT's CEO said about its transformation targets, what Tok Mat said when asked about Bplant's disposal and what the Edge reported and Bplant responses. No one give you straight forward answer and you just have to draw your own conclusion and be guided by your own conclusion .
The pattern of trades, volume and share price development for Bplant in past 2 months give strong indication too.
If LTAT/Bousted holding take Bplant private then it will be a done deal.
But for Boustead Holdings Bhd to divest its 57% stake in Bplant and for new major shareholder to offer VGO is a bridge too far because Bplant carried a lot of political baggage.
It is more easy for Bplant to sell land piecewise report hundred million on disposal gain and give dividend.
1) Future Wealth is represented by a young graduate fresh from School. Usually a young man in his mid twenties.
He is still young and yet to buy his own house. He might own an affordable car or just a motorbike.
What has he got? HE HAS HOPE. HE IS FULL OF DETERMINATION TO SUCCEED & FULL OF IDEAS!! But he has yet to make any real monies. His Wealth is Yet in The Future!
This is represented by a very young company. Management is full of ideas, ventures & mergers. Full of energy & hope. Lots of enthusiasm during IPO. See how many write up to promote this newly listed company. Gullible people are chasing. But the stock is yet untested. Business yet to prove itself. All hype and hope for Wealth still in the future!
Calvin rarely invest in this type of company. Better avoid.
Why avoid?
See this
Most Start-up Businesses Fail in the First Five Years, Myth or Reality? Starting up a new business is proving to be a hard task for most of the entrepreneurs across the business world. The rate of failure within the first five years of business operations is still debatable and is said to be different from one economic zone to another. This is said to be depending on the various internal and external environmental forces operating in different industries. According to Griffith (2014), he postulates that over 60% to 70% of start-ups cannot survive beyond their first five years. Yes! More than 50% of all new businesses will fail within the 1st five years That is why Calvin generally avoid buying new unproven stocks. I need at least 3 years after listing to read its yearly Annual Reports before buying. Or else wait or give it a pass. In real life Established Companies will only look for qualified workers with proven experience & skill with real results or testimonies of good performance from his previous companies. They don't hire you by what you claim. They only hire proven results from skill & qualifications
2) Present Wealth.
Represented by Growing Companies with Proven Income. Usually healthy PRESENT Growth that is visible. This is like a mature man in his 30s to 40s. He has bought his house & car. But the bulk of his monies still invested in his growing business.
So his wealth is still being generated in the present.
This is popular growth stocks.
Calvin will buy some. On one condition. He looks for a fair price to enter. Best is during a market crash or overlooked by the market.
BUT CALVIN WON'T PAY A HIGH PRICE FOR THEM WHEN PRICES ARE INTO OVERVALUATION. IF YOU OVERPAY FOR ANYTHING. CHANCES ARE THEY WILL UNDERPERFORM THE MARKET FOR A LONG TIME TO COME LATER.
3) Past Wealth.
This is an old matured person in his 50s, 60s, 70s or even 80s
He once was a young graduate with Vision. He moved on to be a very successful businessman in his prime. So he has used his earnings to buy lots and lots of Assets like Lands, properties, warehouses, shophouses & other investments of Value. CASH OR EARNINGS CONVERTED TO REAL GOOD SOLID ASSETS - SO HIGH NTA REFLECTED IN BOOK VALUE.
As he is already old he slows down. He takes less risk. He looks for Capital Preservation First with a View to Growth. But usually things are more settled as he is no longer as hungry like he was as a fresh graduate once.
So I avoid buying stocks with "future growth" hype. Selectively buying Present Growth Stock if I SEE VALUE. And love buying into PAST WEALTH STOCKS OF IMMENSE VALUE SELLING AT DEEP DEEP DISCOUNT
I avoid the young man company with hope of future wealth. I will buy some (only selectively) the mature company of present wealth if they sell at reasonable prices. I concentrate on Deep Value Stocks of PAST ACCUMULATED WEALTH SELLING AT DEEP DISCOUNT
Very hard to sell bplant to outside parties because of political baggages. Most probably will be taken private by Boustead holding and slowly selling the estates for other developments to outside parties which will generate good cash flow, particularly those estates in johore. Wait for offer price to take it private.
(A) Bstead/LTAT to privatise BPlant ? OR (B) Bstead/LTAT to dispose their stakes in Bplant to a 3rd party ? Which is most probable ? I think (B) is most likely. Reasons : 1. No need to invite bids if (A) is the decision. Unless you think the Edge report is crap. 2. (A) doesn't not fit in LTAT's transformation program and targets. 3. Bstead/LTAT lack of financial muscle to successfully taking BPlant private .
Whoever is taking over BPlant shall pay a premium over the last traded price. So, it doesn't really matter to me.
Speakup, why let go cheaply ? Just like some retail investors letting go their shares cheaply ? There is market price for plantation land mah. Some discount shall be given for lock, stock and barrel deal.
Who are the aggressive buyers that led to 100% surge in share price in past 2 months ? Are they a circle of well connected people who privy to the progress of the deal and may even be influential to the decision making ? Mmm.........Something to ponder over the weekend.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Dakewlest
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Posted by Dakewlest > 2023-08-18 01:28 | Report Abuse
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