U can see, if u invest into Plantations it is like u r investing into past, present & future wealth all in one mah!
Past wealth 1. Suppose u buy into a plantation co with net cash per share at a price of rm 0.70 and this co has an nta of rm 1.20.....u r already benefiting from the past wealth by buying at a good discount loh!
2. Present wealth Right now u are benefiting from its earnings of 6 sen per share and the div of 3 sen pa....thus giving u a decent earnings & dividend yield while u wait loh! In addition....should the plantation co revalue its plantation currently....its nta could have been as high as Rm 1.80 giving u another potential higher margin of safety loh!
3. Future wealth. Going fwd with continue development, economic growth, inflation and the company ability to grow its profit after deducting dividend payout......the future wealth of the co should grow every year......say in 7 yr time.....its value should be able to double loh! Thus the plantation co u r holding with NAV of Rm 1.80......would have appreciated to Rm 3.60 NAV loh!
That how u invest in plantation....u buy 70 sen at a discount.............u get future wealth of rm 3.60 in 7 yrs time loh!
Ken, to invest in TSH for its future land value (or future wealth as Calvin put it), I suggest you do thorough study about the Indonesian land code and practices for leasehold agriculture land that apply to foreigner in particular. The agriculture lands owned by foreigners are all leasehold for 30-35 years use only Legally speaking, the land shall be returned to the State upon expiry dates. Will the State grant lease extension especially if the lands are needed for development or has gone up in value considerably ??? If no lease extension, the residual land value will only go down year by year ( there is no future wealth). If lease extension is possible, at what cost will the extension be ??
Not too long ago , i have look into TSH and found out that all the leases are expiring between 2040 to 2051. The weighted average expiry year is by 2044. That means TSH only own the rights to use the land for another 20 years from now.
Does TSH fit into investing for future wealth ?
Just my view for your deliberation. Do you own homework.
yes since hapseng in financial constrain it might do two things ..
1.use hs plant to pay more good dividends as hs plant is debt free and cash rich just like Boustead got Rm7 billions debt bomb and needed high cash dividend from bplant
2. or follow Ijm corp in selling Ijmplant to Klk
so the idea of Boustead selling Bplant can also happen to hapseng selling off hs plant
I guess the price movement is following the same pattern, after new high then drop, then consolidate. After few days, new high again. Hopefully this week can touch RM1.35 to RM1.40.
Congratulation to all the long term holders of BPlant. I was thinking let me sell YTL first (after its quarter results on this coming Friday) and transfer to BPlant.
Congratulation to all bplant patient shareholders. Ini Kali kaya-raya Liao .. 1.30 pecah, coming 1.40, 1.50 then 2.00. Finally 2.50. I like sg999 proposal 2.50..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Dakewlest
1,758 posts
Posted by Dakewlest > 2023-08-19 22:39 | Report Abuse
Berdasarkan trading volume Jumaat lepas yang hampir 31 juta, mungkin harga boleh naik lagi.
Who knows if the take over price is around 1.50 to 1.70/1.80?
Just my guess…