Kinda agreed. Per stated, Carimin mgmt hint that all of the work order pending in last Q418 especially on off-shore works was carried out in Q119. That mean most of the Petronas contracts had been give to Carimin by this Qtr result.
Carimin got multiple business segment include commissioning HUC, mid segment and vessel. Very comprehensive with such small size of company. My prediction on profit margin within 10%+ with Revenue be equal or greater than Penergy of RM110mil range on this Quarter result mid/end May, expected more work order contract completion.
Penergy with high operation, it can only stay with profit if revenue above 150 mil other wise you will see the profit remain low. Just like u have 5 factories and demand only load into 2, but still paying the head count and all machines depreciation and interest. If you know the detail why revenue drop else not the right time to buy.
Carimin’s oil pipe is leaking. On 30/1 famous KYY wrote an article showing Carimin with a TP of 2.00. Circumstances may have changed, maybe KYY would like to update his TP forecast and tell us what happened to his complaint to the S C on the three I Bs suspected of suppressing price
Carimin open for many job vacancy on last 4-5 month. (You may find this information from few job advertisement). Foresee Carimin has big project happen on this quarter. Waiting the result to be coming up on next week.
They have at least few big projects on hand, heard they are still hiring engineers on site. More projects to deploy on offshore compare to last quarter.
Unlike Penergy which was affected by -ve loss marine division, Carimin only owns 2 vessels ie. Carimin Airis and Carimin Acacia and both were deployed at Dulang Oilfield.
Carimin achieved lower profit last Qtr given both vessels were off hiring, Carimin Airis - 5 years mandatory dry docking/maintenance and Carimin Acacia - monsoon season which result in higher expenses incurred on maintenance and 3rd party charter last Qtr. Expect coming QR to improve!
Extract from last QR's comment below:
"Despite the dry docking of Carimin Airis for its mandatory 5 years major maintenance and off hiring of Carimin Acacia during the monsoon season, MS division’s performance registered an improvement by 1.92 million with some utilization of 3rd party vessels for the MCM contract."
Carimin is indeed a safer bet given its low debt position and +ve net cash position RM15.9mil. Dayang just announced fund raising exercise yesterday incl cash call to pare down debts
if an investor review and research its core business fundamental last Qtr result statement, this Q119 will be an outstanding Qtr result for Carimin in term of increase work order & profit margin.
Imagine for next Q2 & Q3 Qtr result, more earning on core business will improve, more work order & offshore maintenance raise.. strongly believe next 3 Qtr coming result will be outstanding & impressive vs other Dayang/Perdana or Penergy.
Great opportunity to buy. I buy more today as I strongly believe this Q119 result is good. If a person look on whole year 2019, with work order & contract increase for oil maintenance companies, definitely Petronas is giving more jobs and sales order to these 5 companies. For next 3 Quarter Q2, Q3 & Q4 will be impressive and grow higher as long as oil price within $65 to $75 range.
Analyst predict oil supply will shortage for this year 2019, expected oil price will raise to $90 as geopolitical sanction on Iran, Venezuela, Libya & Russia contaminated oil will bring effect to oil supply in 2H2019.
The key here is, will coming OPEC+ meeting this June will increase or maintain oil production. I believe OPEC+ will remain maintain supply, increase it to abit $75 to $80 region.
Trade war trigger by Trump will be a temporary market noise, those fear economy go to recession in end 2019 is ignorant. Trump next president election is mid/end 2020, will it cause it US economic to big drop, affect normal US citizen depress into recession?
A wise man speak before and proven correct in many decades: Be fear when people greedy, be greedy when people fear.
Aminvest giving discount from its valuation of 36cents, hongleong giving valuation of 33cents, hwangaffin giving 31cents valuation (all these not target price, is fair valuation price), so by right the actual fair price is around 0.33 to 0.36
But the big shark still collecting the super cheap shares around 0.18 to 0.19
But before Armada being awarded the court winning for Woodside claim soon, 20cents gap up, that time will worth for 0 50+++
Bumi Armada is not efficient at all and keep losing money even contract awarded. During the turn around for the crude oil Bumi still failed to reflect its earning. I would prefer to buy Carimin than Bumi at least we are seeing it recover to profit for the last 2 quarter.
Today share price 0.68 already factor in the worst case of earning -ve EPS result. If it maintain or show +ve earning result, that it a huge potential to shoot up to 1.00 if it hit EPS >+2sen & above.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
investi3i4i5
28 posts
Posted by investi3i4i5 > 2019-05-07 18:10 | Report Abuse
https://www.malaysiastock.biz/Corporate-Infomation.aspx?securityCode=5...
PENERGY - 0.53 sen in Q1. Bye Bye Carimin...