chief999

chief999 | Joined since 2020-01-22

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2020-02-11 08:59 | Report Abuse

but one thing for sure, during those times, the factory capacity was starting at low base.... so it had the effect of doubling capacity etc... but now as the base is higher... it is much harder to increase like 7X etc... so lets just put either half of 3.7X or btw 3.7X to 7.7X... depending on which number... so in theory:- target 1 = half of 3.7X = 1.85X = target 1 around 2.6 .... consistent with your estimate...

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2020-02-11 08:56 | Report Abuse

my previous study here:-
Historical
2002/2003 SARS - supermx went up 3.7X
2009 Swine flu - supermx went up 7.7X

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2020-02-11 08:55 | Report Abuse

but this is coronavirus... so need to look at SARS related... means 7 months... 3.5X... for the last SARS....

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2020-02-11 08:49 | Report Abuse

pang, already done... 7.7X ler....

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2020-02-11 08:24 | Report Abuse

re: pang, your next 6 months is a good one... from my stats, usually the uptrend is:-
1) coronavirus related - 7 months
2) influenza related - 15 months

this uptrend until august is a good target... after that lets wait for influenza related the next 2 years...

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2020-02-10 21:24 | Report Abuse

Latest... coronavirus now confirmed incubation more than 15 days as previously tot... latest is 17 days... now more fear soon

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2020-02-10 21:00 | Report Abuse

U know what is supermx utilization after the latest order?

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2020-02-10 20:59 | Report Abuse

Hi, where u get harta utilisation 100%?

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2020-02-10 17:09 | Report Abuse

wah newplayer... next time u need to add Carepls... now collect all 5 no more collect 4 only... coz Ansell will be here to build plants to supply themselves... haha... they see all OEM in malaysia so huat..

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2020-02-10 17:03 | Report Abuse

Newplayer, when touch 2.30.. dont run first yah... ATH usually will be rewarded with +20 to +25%, so Pang's 2.60 abit conservative.. 2.7 to 2.80 more like it...

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2020-02-10 17:02 | Report Abuse

yes agree pang... 2.60 was a strong support before ex... so naturally it will be a good point of discussion later... supermax pivots seem to be 1.30, 2.25, 2.60, 3.20, 3.40, 3.90, 4.50....

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2020-02-10 16:37 | Report Abuse

re: pang, i still feel ur 2.60 a bit low... still think 3.00 is the magnet... whether will break or kiss and pull back is another matter...

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2020-02-10 16:23 | Report Abuse

1.72 resistance broken.... :) tomorrow C73 expire... time to move ler...

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2020-02-10 16:23 | Report Abuse

but the pple u tok to in the forum who wants to pull down the price maybe not real...


>> pang72 The demand is real.
The factory is real.
The capacity expansion is real.
The profit is real.

Good management...

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2020-02-10 09:03 | Report Abuse

bye bye 1.60+++.... see u after stock split again ya....

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2020-02-09 19:04 | Report Abuse

nolar, i think you too belittle the news...the slowdown news will be one little section... most of the big title will be "MORE DEADLY THAN SARS... DEATH RATE EXCEEDED SARS".... then only paper can sell.... and create more fear... more fear more sell....

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2020-02-07 08:50 | Report Abuse

re:pang, what is in your portfolio now besides supermax?

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2020-02-06 10:37 | Report Abuse

Hahaha... 8.33am news... stock market also not open yet... but the news already said "rallies"


"World’s biggest glove-maker rallies with deadly virus spreading
Bloomberg
February 06, 2020 08:33 am +08"
amireza https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/worlds-biggest-glovemaker-ralli...

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2020-02-06 08:49 | Report Abuse

"Low added that rubber glove sales were predicted to grow by about 20% to 25%, more than the 17% increase during the Influenza A (H1N1) outbreak in 2009."

During H1N1, supermax rise 7.7X.... :).... and it was only 17% increase in sales... now 20 to 25%

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2020-02-06 08:40 | Report Abuse

Ron, now if the gloves wearing become common in public for non-medical pple, the demand will be skyrocket...

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2020-02-06 08:39 | Report Abuse

wah... this time huat liao... all the news pointing to hand hygiene, wash hand etc... in the end pointing to also wear gloves...

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2020-02-05 16:42 | Report Abuse

comfort, carepls and supermx green, the rest still red

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2020-02-05 13:31 | Report Abuse

tp 7.35 makes sense... if break new high at 6.1... then 20 to 25% upward extra is not surprised...

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2020-02-04 15:36 | Report Abuse

i already prepare funds... but still no 1.60... wait until I beh tahan...

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2020-02-04 15:23 | Report Abuse

prepare to close the gap at 1.60... got chance to buy low again... hooray...

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2020-02-04 14:31 | Report Abuse

re:ahbah... influenza A is found to have a 13 cycle... meaning, either 13X1, 13X2 etc... the last was 2009, 2009+13 = 2022... expecting a pandemic for a new strain of influenza.... in 2022... this coronavirus is the first phase... the more serious one will come later...

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2020-02-04 14:28 | Report Abuse

re: pang... if you look at the SARS, even though SARS was serious even in early 2003, supermax only starts to rise in June 2003... lasted for 7 months... H1N1 in 2009 being the more serious one, lasted 15 months of uptrend....

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2020-02-04 10:08 | Report Abuse

noticed next call warrant is 11 Feb... maybe need until 11 Feb later just before earnings?

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2020-02-04 08:39 | Report Abuse

Aiyo... money is never a question here... every box is printed Support Wuhan in mandarin. Now Wuhan has a lot of medical staffs coming from a lot of provinces... these guys are going to see the gloves and it will imprint in their brain the Supermax brand... and when they go back they will know what is a good quality one... Marketing lar... don't market now wait later meh?

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2020-02-03 15:44 | Report Abuse

from the news looks like total 10 to 12 billion extra gloves needed using 100%...

Found virus on door handles...
https://twitter.com/ChinaDaily/status/1224210560654270466

if everyone becomes more aware, and wear gloves + mask instead of mask only.... sky is the limit...

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2020-02-03 11:41 | Report Abuse

waiting for gap to close at 1.60... so can buy a lot more...

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2020-02-03 09:50 | Report Abuse

Ambassador and minister holding only Supermax gloves... haha... despite all the other brands...
https://www.facebook.com/chinaembmy/photos/pcb.2807356659330450/2807343295998453/?type=3&theater

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2020-01-31 17:43 | Report Abuse

if most market crash next week, including China and KLCI, maybe supermax will fill the gap at 1.6 (due to overall market sentiment)... if it happens, those at 1.8+ to 1.9+ can cut loss, but I will be collecting it aggressively :)

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2020-01-31 13:35 | Report Abuse

wow, look at the photo... supermax with its branding and packaging - aurelia, maxter, supermax... all standout compared to TG gloves... haha... especially the BOLD gloves... good way to boost branding for future business....

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2020/01/31/coronavirus-malaysia-to-donate-18-million-medical-gloves-to-china

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2020-01-31 13:29 | Report Abuse

No lar... amazon still got stock... go check... I heard from US counterparts, US pple are not really care about this thing yet...

EmperorFund CoronavirusFace mask shortage hits Europe and US as coronavirus spreads

https://amp.ft.com/content/ea0b15e2-436f-11ea-a43a-c4b328d9061c

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2020-01-31 06:37 | Report Abuse

Donation now, later continuous business coming

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2020-01-31 06:36 | Report Abuse

10 mil gloves is just 3 containers... easy...

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2020-01-29 09:45 | Report Abuse

China said ran out of test kits... so the number of infected pple are actually higher...

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2020-01-23 09:22 | Report Abuse

I have checked, this vaccine is only phase 1, still not fully approved... still a long way to go...

re:tws, bird flu - H_N_ vaccine is specific and different for SARS, cannot cure SARS... for SARS, only 1 company in US has the vaccine, and it can also cure ebola and zika...

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2020-01-23 09:20 | Report Abuse

one thing for sure... maybe the time for China's awareness of disease prevention, using gloves - hence, this round of case can help boost gloves usage in the future.

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2020-01-22 16:52 | Report Abuse

true true... lets yum seng this CNY yah....

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2020-01-22 16:38 | Report Abuse

re:tws, bird flu - H_N_ vaccine is specific and different for SARS, cannot cure SARS... for SARS, only 1 company in US has the vaccine, and it can also cure ebola and zika...

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2020-01-22 14:00 | Report Abuse

during the last AGM attended, mgt said aside from the capacity expansion, utilisation rate was 75%... so defintely room to supply if increase in demand...

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2020-01-22 13:25 | Report Abuse

Another statistic for reference....
During Jan 2018, the breakout volume was 46million shares... it rose 2.3X....
Our breakout if today can reach twice the 46million = 92million volume shares, then 2.3X is a target we can expect from the breakout at 1.45 (downtrend line resistance)... = 1.45 X 2.3 = RM3.3 target... slightly above my conservative target = 52 week high @ 2.25 X 20% extra... = RM2.80... still 1.93X ... not bad..

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2020-01-22 11:50 | Report Abuse

Historical
2002/2003 SARS - supermx went up 3.7X
2009 Swine flu - supermx went up 7.7X
food for thoughts... if we combine SARS + Swine flu pandemic... hmm..

anyway other latest news
https://www.dw.com/en/first-bird-flu-case-reported-in-germany/a-52079949
The highly contagious virus tends to spread very quickly. Tens of thousands of birds have already been culled throughout Romania, Belarus, Hungary and Poland in January alone. Additional cases have also been confirmed in Slovakia and the Czech Republic.