passerby

passerby | Joined since 2012-04-08

Investing Experience Intermediate
Risk Profile Moderate

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Stock

2013-05-13 10:29 | Report Abuse

hello croc, how is weather today ? :)

beh pai la the latest report card ,so many analysts see sunshine ahead

General

2013-05-10 00:57 | Report Abuse

this CMSB surfaced twice in the forum yesterday. yuzuki also mentioning it. the eps growth rate looks impressive.they are controlling shareholder of Kenanga as well.

ATM related ...same scenario again when people questioning whether can make money from VT's related counters previously?

no harm putting into watch list

Stock

2013-05-10 00:33 | Report Abuse

top the losser list for 2nd day....make it 3rd day later this morning

Stock

2013-05-08 21:58 | Report Abuse

i know it is quite hard to accept but that is what punters are expecting.

did you play any DRB Hicom CWs before or observe their movement before earlier last year? When DRB surged, all the CWs were fried accordingly until one level, the punters felt the entry price no longer affordable psychologically. But the underlying keep surging, what they do ? they swarmed the CWs with the least price per unit regardless its parameters.

strange right? it happened, not only one occasion but many occasions. I experienced the same for GenS-CWs when Gens surging from from SGD 1.4 to SGD 2.2 few years back. the punters swarming the least entry cost per unit & ignored all other parameters

it is weird but that is what i'm expecting the punters to behave when Maybank keep surging until CW,CY & CZ are perceived as out of reach psychologically

just watch, if they are going to repeat what i witnessed before :)

*provided Maybank keep surging...

Stock

2013-05-08 21:01 | Report Abuse

the worst so far i tried...ambank...:(. KIBB haven't tried so cannot comment much

Stock

2013-05-08 20:24 | Report Abuse

wanna highlight here, i haven't try any KIBB CW before, this might be the my first attempt, lol

Stock

2013-05-08 20:21 | Report Abuse

when it is a mad bull running....all the other parameters are not important to me, i'll just pick the least cost of entry per unit price

funny right? that is my habit and i'm sure some traders will exhibit the same habit as mine as well

bull run, close one eye, select the cheapest entry per unit price that is C1. that matter most to me :)

secondly, I observe C1 have a sufficient bid volume & the bid spread range is quite tight not wide. easy to cut loss if underlying not performing

Stock

2013-05-08 20:13 | Report Abuse

i love my money....at least gamble with higher % of winning lol.....

today the dividend just went ex...still got some time.

as per 2nd April 2013 ,TM-CU not held by issuer stand at 16,190,600 @ 32.38%

any chart reader here ? kindly lend some help here. what is the strong support level for TM

Stock

2013-05-08 19:53 | Report Abuse

bird flu news from China not power enough, never mind. now glove counters got another new turbo engine -SARS !!!! at France

http://www.foxnews.com/health/2013/05/08/france-confirms-first-case-new-sars-related-virus/

if bird flu getting worse together with SARS, 2 turbo engines. walan le ....but please don't spread until Malaysia

Stock

2013-05-08 18:58 | Report Abuse

so fast in? the underlying price swing not big enough yet...

play Petdag & Petgas 1st....

Stock

2013-05-08 18:56 | Report Abuse

premium(discount) : 3.1%
gearing: 18.2
current CH price : RM 0.075

mother share projection of RM25 ?? not break even around RM 21.6 ? :)

see how the crocodile perform next few weeks

Stock

2013-05-08 18:45 | Report Abuse

Maturity Date 30/09/2013
Exercise/Strike/Conversion Price MYR 6.0000
Exercise/ Conversion Ratio 4 : 1

need to go up RM0.50 in 4 months to strike

Stock

2013-05-08 18:33 | Report Abuse

Maturity Date 31/10/2013
Exercise/Strike/Conversion Price MYR 20.0000
Exercise/ Conversion Ratio 15 : 1

Stock

2013-05-08 18:32 | Report Abuse

Maturity Date 10/01/2014
Exercise/Strike/Conversion Price MYR 9.4000
Exercise/ Conversion Ratio 10:1

Stock

2013-05-08 18:16 | Report Abuse

no one wanna play this?

Stock

2013-05-08 18:11 | Report Abuse

i'm still glad i didn't go in :), lol. not my cup of tea

mother share performing only after GE13, before GE13, the movement is like torturing....lol

Stock

2013-05-08 17:27 | Report Abuse

the performance after GE13 really incredible, the foreign funds buying before GE13 making a lot

Stock

2013-05-08 17:24 | Report Abuse

it performed very well after the GE13, really topping the gainer list for days since Monday. congrats to those who have punted

missing the boat with no regret.

if mother share keep surging after this, time to look for higher gearing CW to maximize the leverage effect. Maybank-C1 by Kenanga looks not to bad, just not that familiar with KIBB.

Stock

2013-04-29 20:06 | Report Abuse

There is high chance his is joining politic :) , any PR member here? Give him the application form for DAP or PKR

Joining politic should be his worst case scenario......

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Stock

2013-04-29 17:38 | Report Abuse

it might be done intentionally knowing it might affect the company shares price :)

Stock

2013-04-29 17:29 | Report Abuse

3 more trading days before GE13.....1 more round bungee jumping

Stock

2013-04-29 17:12 | Report Abuse

Call Warrant:TOPGLOV-CP (C)
Maturity Date 30/04/2014
Exercise/Strike/Conversion Price MYR 5.7500
Exercise/ Conversion Ratio 5 : 1

Stock

2013-04-29 12:06 | Report Abuse

topping top gainer list today :)

Stock

2013-04-29 12:02 | Report Abuse

not realistic....someone just need to pay the cost for the power generation.

do you know how many staffs TNB hiring nationwide ? if FOC , what happen to the rice bowl of those under TNB employment ? their bonuses ? not an easy tasks for this wishful list

Stock

2013-04-26 16:32 | Report Abuse

shit, changes to fast...before could key in order

Stock

2013-04-26 16:27 | Report Abuse

really is volatile , i'm lovin it :)

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2013-04-26 15:34 | Report Abuse

this kind of screen view so good, every where green green :)

Stock

2013-04-26 15:21 | Report Abuse

thanks all :)

Stock

2013-04-26 15:02 | Report Abuse

what is going on with all the index related counters? like madness....

Stock

2013-04-26 14:35 | Report Abuse

broken RM 14....

Stock

2013-04-25 22:28 | Report Abuse

You bought at 10sen & sold away at 10.5sen. lol, why don't you wait till it command a premium deem reasonable ? 3~5% reasonable ? :) it is an indication how competitive is the current environment.

:), not hard to sell away but very very hard to sell at price deem fair with premium for 5 months. so what is the premium you think is fair for this CW with 5 months life span? 3%? 5%? why still cannot command a minimum premium? isn't it not because too many players around ? :)

the reason why the CWs is selling at almost 0% because I believe most of traders aware that market maker will only buy back at limited volume or there is no market maker participation to buy back. if market maker buying back, after volume quota of the day filled, you gotta sell the rest to other willing buyers participant.

This kind of situation makes all the participants deploy the strategy- " i'm not greedy, i only want to make 0.5 sen & i'll sell it away" but not only you will think like that. if you can think like that, other traders will think the same.

so from commanding premium of min 3~5%, everyone start to give "discount", thinking "cincai la i wanna make 0.5 sen only, not greedy mah " as long as i profit, there are so many of them, i need to beat them ( estimated around 19 players with minimum holding of 100,000 units each). now everyone don't bother about the premium any longer, as long as can profit, even 0.5 sen, don't bother. so there goes your premium of 3~5%.

yes, i do agree the price of CW is moved by underlying movement. that is not my major concern, my concern is the ability for me to sell away with the price deem fair within limited time with sufficient buy bid of the volume i intend to dispose when underlying move. if underlying move, but CW price don't move accordingly, what is the point? if underlying move, CW price move, other people manage to sell it but I'm still waiting for my queue behind so many waiting list, what is the point?

your example on CW going into discount territory is based on ideal case where underlying keep moving up without time specific time frame.

what market maker do ? yes, sufficient participation mah, why as market market need to take part? with all the bid by so many participant concealing market maker bid volume, they can totally idle around. don't participate also can, let you all fight among yourselves with your 0.5sen bid different at 0% premium.

people like me just won't go in :), unless the underlying is performing extra-ordinary, topping top gainer/losser list for days

I'm not sure how is other trader opinion but this is totally my personal view. :)

Stock

2013-04-25 18:30 | Report Abuse

there you go "you also have the big advantage of you able to sell it any time between now and expiry" - the matter is, if you cannot sell to realize the gain, it is meaningless

this is data I checked from market making disclosure by CIMB dated 2nd April 2013:http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/structured-warrants/1244825

MAYBANK-CW 1155CW 50,000,000( issued size) & 18,828,800 ( issue not held by IB) @ 37.66%. The high % of public circulation is showing that market maker is about to lose control on the market making activity.

you got approximately 19 players holding 100,000 units each trying to outdo each other & market maker

the above not including this month selling by Maybank IB.

this CW is definitely not my choice of playing but I do hope the underlying move up & market maker is going to do a better job so that those playing can realized the gain :)

Stock

2013-04-25 17:47 | Report Abuse

it is the price movement of the underlying....but i just don't buy & hold for next 5 months

the historical failure rate for buy & hold just too big & i paid a heavy tuition fees for that before. Not going to repeat the same mistake

previously for Sime-CR, did you buy & hold until expiry ? what is your result for Sime-CR coz i see it as competitive as current Maybank-CW ?

Stock

2013-04-25 17:26 | Report Abuse

lol, i'm not oracle, cannot answer you that :) but i do hold Maybank mother shares for years already, even until now still keeping.

please be reminded, buy & hold don't work well for CWs.

in my personal opinion, the market maker is doing a lousy job/screwing up the market making activity currently for this CW. the traders got a lot of chances to make money from the movement of the mother share but was denied by market maker because they just don't give a damn to buy back the CW with sufficient volume

Stock

2013-04-25 16:59 | Report Abuse

you can't play ur own game, the market maker play important role. if they screw up market making activity, your game will be screw up also

Stock

2013-04-25 16:55 | Report Abuse

i play to make $ out of market market or competitor , if i can't make money, why go in?

Stock

2013-04-25 16:53 | Report Abuse

i only play if i think i got more chance of winning even though it might be 1 on 1 against market maker only :)

you must be aware of the number of the volume the market maker gonna buy back from public if you play with huge crowd.

If market maker only limit themselves to buy back at certain volume only, the remaining excess volume who wanna buy ?

with the buy & sell bid volume for this CW, any chances you think market maker gonna absorb it all? why until now , even almost approaching 0% premium, market maker don't wanna buy back?

Stock

2013-04-25 16:45 | Report Abuse

i play with less people + market maker, not against myself la. just not my field of playing if too many people around. i feel more comfortable with less crowd.

Stock

2013-04-25 16:34 | Report Abuse

lol, just imagine if you are going against 10 other competitors similar experience to yourself at the same time have to take care of the market maker, isn't easier just to deal with lesser number of them & market maker ? :)

specifically on Maybank CWs? or any other CWs ?

Stock

2013-04-25 16:05 | Report Abuse

kcchongnz: are you referring to this one?

Maturity Date 30/09/2013
Exercise/Strike/Conversion Price MYR 9.0000
Exercise/ Conversion Ratio 5 : 1
Premium(Discount) 0.3%
Gearing: 18.09

I see too many players around, they are outdoing each other. Not my preference coz my confident level very low, cannot out beat so many competitors :).

I'm giving it a pass , i don't play in competitive environment

Stock

2013-04-25 15:24 | Report Abuse

1901: which one is his cousin? thanks in advance :)