Bro oregami...really hard to predict...keep interest rate currency will slide further...if raise interest rate bolster economy but domestic demand died standing...apa mcm? Lilian Too can help?

Saya pun boleh jadi Lilian Too...ohhh....if Lilian Too byk kuat...boleh predict bila oil price naik?

Ha..ha...no need Lilian Too...everyone also knw lah export market punya stuff...ok one more prediction...oil & gas related industry will koyak...betul

Oil price will not turn around so quick...only will stabilize as the OPEC will not meet till june 2015...and saudi ady say they still can survive even the oil price hit usd 40...but by then ady many countries mah foo lat jor...

Can explained why after March and June?

Something to share...as i say effect fr jan 10...fitch report ady out. Let see what will the effect incoming day.

Malaysia is among two nations on Fitch Rating’s “Negative” outlook in its 2015 Outlook for Emerging Asian Sovereigns.

Fitch said on Jan 11 that market volatility in December 2014 could be a foretaste of what is to come in 2015.,

Fitch said positive pressure on ratings was ebbing.

It said eight of 10 Emerging Asian sovereigns were on Stable Outlook, with two (Malaysia and Mongolia) on Negative Outlook.
12 January, Monday 

U.S mkt :
U.S stocks ended sharply lower on friday on falling oil prices and mixed hiring report. U.S unemployment rate dropped due to hourly wages fell unexpectedly and the number of Americans who gave up looking for work increased.

European mkt :
European Stocks ended sharply lower on friday due to disappointment over the reported size of potencial bond purchase from ECB. EcB staff proposal for a QE program to buy as much as 500bil euro bonds fell short of mkt expectation.

Gold :
Gold prices rose on friday after jobs report showed a surprise drop in hourly wages, dollar fell as mkt expects Federal could keep rates on hold for longer.

Crude oil :
Crude oil prices fell on friday and reapproached 5 yrs low as a glut in global supplies continue to dominate the mkt .

Newsflow :
* MAHB : aiming to manage more airports
* CPO : palm oil prices fell after 3 days of winning streak on friday as ringgit steadied and investor took profit.
* Gadang : adopt cautious outlook for this yr.
* Sumatec : reduced offer price to acquire oil field in Kazakhstan
* SYF : delays M&As activities
*Tenaga : to acquire 78% stake in intagrax for rm645mil

DJIA : 17737.37 (-170.50)
Dax : 9648.50 (-189.11)
FTSE 100 : 6501.14 (-68.82)
Gold : 1225.50 (+15.80)
Crude oil(wti) : 47.73 (-2.32)
USD / MYR : 3.55
M'sia 10 year bond yield : 4.141%
U.S 10yr bond yield 1.95%
UsD/MYR : 3.55

Fri's bursa trade stat ( RM ) :
Local Institutions (52.7%) : net SELL 8.6mil
Retail (19.8%) : net SELL 15.6mil
Foreign (27.5%) : net BUY 24.2mil

Yes agreed with bro oregami....in time like this better keep warrant

Let see....

Curse of Altantuya...comebck to hunt msia...and coincidently in Fitch report Msia and Mongolia 2 countries in the list

Malaysia is among two nations on Fitch Rating’s “Negative” outlook in its 2015 Outlook for Emerging Asian Sovereigns.

Fitch said on Jan 11 that market volatility in December 2014 could be a foretaste of what is to come in 2015.,

Fitch said positive pressure on ratings was ebbing.

It said eight of 10 Emerging Asian sovereigns were on Stable Outlook, with two (Malaysia and Mongolia) on Negative Outlook.
12 January, Monday 

U.S mkt :
U.S stocks ended sharply lower on friday on falling oil prices and mixed hiring report. U.S unemployment rate dropped due to hourly wages fell unexpectedly and the number of Americans who gave up looking for work increased.

European mkt :
European Stocks ended sharply lower on friday due to disappointment over the reported size of potencial bond purchase from ECB. EcB staff proposal for a QE program to buy as much as 500bil euro bonds fell short of mkt expectation.

Gold :
Gold prices rose on friday after jobs report showed a surprise drop in hourly wages, dollar fell as mkt expects Federal could keep rates on hold for longer.

Crude oil :
Crude oil prices fell on friday and reapproached 5 yrs low as a glut in global supplies continue to dominate the mkt .

Newsflow :
* MAHB : aiming to manage more airports
* CPO : palm oil prices fell after 3 days of winning streak on friday as ringgit steadied and investor took profit.
* Gadang : adopt cautious outlook for this yr.
* Sumatec : reduced offer price to acquire oil field in Kazakhstan
* SYF : delays M&As activities
*Tenaga : to acquire 78% stake in intagrax for rm645mil

DJIA : 17737.37 (-170.50)
Dax : 9648.50 (-189.11)
FTSE 100 : 6501.14 (-68.82)
Gold : 1225.50 (+15.80)
Crude oil(wti) : 47.73 (-2.32)
USD / MYR : 3.55
M'sia 10 year bond yield : 4.141%
U.S 10yr bond yield 1.95%
UsD/MYR : 3.55

Fri's bursa trade stat ( RM ) :
Local Institutions (52.7%) : net SELL 8.6mil
Retail (19.8%) : net SELL 15.6mil
Foreign (27.5%) : net BUY 24.2mil

I stay sideline for the time being...

Ya..last time i check Magic is singing hit song "Rude"...Rude shock KLSE ha..ha..

When time come...many expert will explain and many journal will be publish...for this is economy ciycle.....what goes up must come dwn...recent senario US recovery, Eurozone damper economy, china slowdown after olympic 2008, dubai property burst, BRIC growth now where is it? How many ppl now mentioned BRIC? And many more example u can see...big economy.... and some of them in just 2-3 mths can be 360 deg turnaround....msia centre of SEA..oil nett exporter with 30 mill ppl and out of 30 milll ppl with so many polarization in every economy sector...what can we do?

Just wait lor...standby..find money...accumulate bullet and better still c4 and missle...wait till index ease to 1600...or beyond...then only party time for tht time every ctr price regard fundamental or speculative counter will not far away fr bottom.

Bro kenneth...when time is bad...didnt lose money it ady a blessing...price go up nvrmind ...no need to sakit hati for it will come dwn equally fast...when bad time hv to shift fr short term play to run term investment provided u hv holding power...cannot play share like big small anymore...you not only lose your pant...u even can lose your pisang...as u tend to be gready when price up so drastic in such a short time.

Normally in market of uncertainty...many will play around with news to up and dwn the market like sea saw...but in gd market condition susah abit coz data and confidence not easily manipulate. It can be done...but need very systematic and klse at least can issue some control action like suspension or UMA....but in uncertain and weak market condition whatever news can be use to jack and fell a price.....without reason...even klse also cannot do anything...so hav to be careful not to be caught in this vicious wave...up and dwn too fast...

Peace all ksl-ian...just opinion saja...we just caution each other in time like this...as some fren of mine in the past see their hard earn money gone and indebt...family are broken...children suffered...the problem is some ctr can be strong fundenmental based on all their figure which can be manipulate...but in time of turbulence the price can just drop like nobody bisnes without reason i.e bjaya corp, dsonic, lay hong, supermx, as we nvr knw what these towkay doing behind...one day can give u gd news...nxt day story entire 360 degree turn...many at time ppl say can hold coz gd ctr but problem is u brought at high price ady and u r sitting on paper loss....if u cash rich nvrmind...but when u short of cash...where to find money?

Monday and tues will be very critical....

See if trade deficit data announce on jan 10 or not....

For the last 2 days, every increase of price...oppurtunity for me to sell off...and stay sideline until the nxt wave...

Let see on monday...sure they will use paris terror attack, oil low record price and ftse weak data to support the declining index....what i fear is the trade deficit report for msia...as nw some bank ady give their preview of msia 1st qtr performance and weak data.....as i say the last 2 days good showing is to let big shark to escape...but trap ikan bilis...just a window dressing...i might be wrong...but let see on monday...and tmr is jan 10 ...

7 January, Tuesday 

U.S mkt :
U.S stocks ended lower on tuesday as data showed slower growth in U.S last qtr and ongoing plunge in oil prices. The pace of expansion in services moderated in Dec and new orders for manufactured goods fell for a 4th consecutive mth.

European mkt :
European mkt fell on tuesday on lower oil prices and Greece possible exit from eurozone. Data showed eurozone manufacturers registered almost no growth in 4th qtr, putting pressure on ECB to take step to prevent the region fr slipping into recession.

Gold :
Gold prices rose on Tuesday as Greece possible exit fr eurozone boosted demand for safe heaven asset like gold, yen and low risk gov bond.

Crude oil :
Crude oil prices hit extended losses on tuesday as investors piled on to their short positions in anticipation of lower prices amid lingering concerns over a growing supply glut.

KLCI :
Mkt ended 20.04pts lower on tuesday in cautious trading, amid slump in global crude oil prices.

Today's economic event :
- Europe's CPI flash estimate y/y
- U.S ADP non farm employment change
- U.S trade balance

Newsflow :
* CPO : palm oil prices rose as RM Slides to 5.5yr low and floods raised the prospect of tigher supplies.
* Sarawak cable : poised to secure TNB job
* TMS : proposes share capital reduction
* Sime Darby : extends offer for NBPOL to March 20
* Sunway construction : likely to raise funds fr IPO
* Benalec : yet to get green light for reclamation work
* Century Logistic : wants rm500m turnover i 2 to 3 yrs
* SKpress : shareholders approved proposed acquisition of Tecnic Group

DJIA : 17371.64 (-130.01)
DAX : 9469.66 (-3.50)
FTSE 100 : 6366.51 (-50.65)
GOLD : 1215.90 (+13.50)
CRUDE OIL(wti) : 48.07 (-2.05)
M'sia 10yr bond yield : 4.187%
U.S 10 yr bond yield : 1.944%

Tuesday's bursa trade stat (RM) :
Local Institutions (53.5%) : net BUY 174.6mil
Retail (15.3%) : net BUY 50.7mil
Foreign (31.2%) : net SELL 225.3mil

Foreigner keep selling

7 January, Tuesday 

U.S mkt :
U.S stocks ended lower on tuesday as data showed slower growth in U.S last qtr and ongoing plunge in oil prices. The pace of expansion in services moderated in Dec and new orders for manufactured goods fell for a 4th consecutive mth.

European mkt :
European mkt fell on tuesday on lower oil prices and Greece possible exit from eurozone. Data showed eurozone manufacturers registered almost no growth in 4th qtr, putting pressure on ECB to take step to prevent the region fr slipping into recession.

Gold :
Gold prices rose on Tuesday as Greece possible exit fr eurozone boosted demand for safe heaven asset like gold, yen and low risk gov bond.

Crude oil :
Crude oil prices hit extended losses on tuesday as investors piled on to their short positions in anticipation of lower prices amid lingering concerns over a growing supply glut.

KLCI :
Mkt ended 20.04pts lower on tuesday in cautious trading, amid slump in global crude oil prices.

Today's economic event :
- Europe's CPI flash estimate y/y
- U.S ADP non farm employment change
- U.S trade balance

Newsflow :
* CPO : palm oil prices rose as RM Slides to 5.5yr low and floods raised the prospect of tigher supplies.
* Sarawak cable : poised to secure TNB job
* TMS : proposes share capital reduction
* Sime Darby : extends offer for NBPOL to March 20
* Sunway construction : likely to raise funds fr IPO
* Benalec : yet to get green light for reclamation work
* Century Logistic : wants rm500m turnover i 2 to 3 yrs
* SKpress : shareholders approved proposed acquisition of Tecnic Group

DJIA : 17371.64 (-130.01)
DAX : 9469.66 (-3.50)
FTSE 100 : 6366.51 (-50.65)
GOLD : 1215.90 (+13.50)
CRUDE OIL(wti) : 48.07 (-2.05)
M'sia 10yr bond yield : 4.187%
U.S 10 yr bond yield : 1.944%

Tuesday's bursa trade stat (RM) :
Local Institutions (53.5%) : net BUY 174.6mil
Retail (15.3%) : net BUY 50.7mil
Foreign (31.2%) : net SELL 225.3mil

Jan 10 getting closer....prepare for the worst

Tmr jan 8 and friday jan 9...getting closer to jan 10....mean 2 more days to stay sideline...

Many ctr green today...but expected tmr bloodbath again...a massive one...

Any fund absorbing like epf, kwap? But weird...should hv announcement. Anyway...oil price hit below usd 50....and eurozone data hitting deflation data...mean more stormy weather ahead. Hence i see many company is taking effort to delisted or taking private to protect their company value for further sliding away. Not a bad things coz sometime it will effect the price to surge...just like maxis before there go delisted.

Nowaday can any divi payout could affect rise in price? Many ctr declare pay div also price failing like meteor.....as say before is better to stay sideline and seek shelter in time like this.

As mentioned nothing wrong with this ctr....ksl liken to be like a new delivered aircraft with gd competence pilot (gd mgmt) flying the plane...but unfortunately it flew into turbulence and bad weather (weaken euro data, sliding ringgit, low oil price, export contract, russian recession, politic and etc)..so chances of crash is there...just like QZ5301.....new plane, compentence pilot but kena bad storm along the way.....so nw either u change the flight ticket and reschedule your flight but expected to loss the ticket money u pay earlier (mean cut loss) and travel again some other better time and weather or take the risk...board the flight...and hope it will not crash...but wht if crash...? Mean financial total loss....and in time of recession no cash in bank really tough as many ppl will loss job and employment.

Yes....but who buying and selling we dnt knw....and why they brought at this sort of price...we also hv no idea...and bear in mind...some bod outside hv reg company do nothing but just proxy to hold the main company share and transact but tht company not under their own name.

Off market transaction...we dont knw what going on behind close door.

Ha..ha...tmr probably will sound this way..."ksl today perform easier as compared yesterday"...hate this words Easier...

Klse drop more than 20 pts...still write "klse close / open easier..." pergi mampuslah...easier...drop say drop what is easier?

Ecoworld also dropping....tdy bank also drop like no tmr.tonite hv to see how djia and s&p doing to help regional market not to drop so sharp this few days. Like all this sohai economy news guy will like to use " market is easier" ...ha...ha...easier...pergi mampuslah easier....justvuse the words drop...all conman words...EASIER...pui..

Expected to announce....on jan 10...the faster announce the faster market will consolidate and correction.

Other property counter will drop soon...in tandem with klse correction....as no action yet taken by govt to curb falling ringgit...the soonest will knw will be after cny...but right nw wait jan 10 tsunami deficit announcement first..and the ripple effect first.

Can sleep well tonite....what a relief.

Mayday..mayday....either take parachute and jump nw or strap to your sit and crash with the plane...nanti mayat pun tak jumpa.

Brew before hurricane sweep the entire kampung

Dnt care who selling to who...the truth is the plane is struggling maintaining altitude...

After oil & gas ctr selldwn...sooner or later...will hit property counter...nw hitting bank counter

Vol low...doesnt mean price will not drop...

Ya..ya...in reality yes...but nowaday stock can defer logic and reality especially in stormy market like this...all showing negative data...and as usual Mr.PM go silent...no concrete action has been announce...how to chart the plane flight path...so confidence and fdi keep dropping...if he announce something there maybe glimpse of hope..but right nw the country economy seems to be on auto pilot mode and losing fuel as well....so either get a parachute to jump and survive for if survive could live to fight another day...if crash with the plane...mayat pun tak jumpa.

This is nothing to with emotion...it abt rational thinking...like taking a flight...knwing bad wheather ahead fr many wheather forecast data available..is either u change the flight schedule or cancel the flight...losing some flight ticket charge...or continue to travel and risk flying into the storm and probably end up like QZ5301...for piloting the plane is not your control...just like stock...

Really? Let see..

Actually nothing wrong with this counter...very strong fundamental and mgmt....just market sentiment and klse index not good and drag the price down...negative wind is blowing across the board tht affected the fdi.....couple with sliding ringgit mean lower purchasing power for local....dnt get me wrong...i also fan of ksl. But right nw it not time to buy in more. Those ady buy in high...if u hv cash to hold...just hold...but in time of recession cash is king. I prefer to cut loss to keep the cash. Tht my opinion. No point hopping it will uptrend back to rm 2.50 or beyond. It cant sustain. Any sign of price up it oppurtunity to sell to cut loss not buying in. Good luck guy and may 2015 will be as not worst than 2014.

Run before jan 10...tsunami coming...good luck.

Run before jan 10...tsunami coming....will wait till flood recide only reenter the market..probably after June. Good luck...