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2017-02-19 16:24 | Report Abuse
Thank you Sifu VenFx, if you buy now at 67 cts, you are buying cheaper than me ;)
2017-02-19 16:14 | Report Abuse
Sifu VenFx, i am looking at ATA business & not Denko.
2017-02-19 16:08 | Report Abuse
MGO now increased to 60 cts. 1st time tracking & invest a little in the company.
2017-02-19 15:55 | Report Abuse
Sifu VenFx, mere speculation that they will inject their related co into Denko.
2017-02-19 14:30 | Report Abuse
Oregan now control 49,505,400 or 47.3% of Denko Shares.
http://docs.google.com/viewer?url=http%3A%2F%2Fdisclosure.bursamalaysia.com%2FFileAccess%2Fapbursaweb%2Fdownload%3Fid%3D77856%26name%3DEA_GA_ATTACHMENTS
2017-02-08 11:02 | Report Abuse
Teo Seng Capital - Fair Value RM1.38
Good long-term prospects :-
1) Growth strategies; capacity expansion; diversification into other streams and cost-saving initiatives
2) Improved earnings visibility with 2-year CAGR of 41% in FY16-FY18F
3) RM1.38 TP is pegged to 11x FY17 EPS
The Business
Modern poultry farmer. Teo Seng Capital (TSC) is one of the largest egg producers in Malaysia with a daily output of 3.5m eggs, of which one-third of its production is exported to
Singapore. The group is also involved in the manufacture and
marketing of paper egg trays and animal feeds, along with the
distribution of animal health products.
Aggressive growth strategies. TSC is a vertically-integrated layer farming player with a current market share of 8.8% in Malaysia and 19% in Singapore. TSC targets to steadily grow its market share to 12.5% in Malaysia and 30% in Singapore by 2019. We forecast earnings to grow in line with TSC’s targeted expanding market share, supported by 1) stabilisation of egg selling price,
2) expansion in daily production capacity; TSC plans to increase
its daily production volume by +522k p.a. in Singapore and
+982k p.a. in Malaysia; both by 2019, 3) vertical and upstream
diversification, 4) cost-saving initiatives, and 5) superior operating margin compared to its peers. Its continued growth is also supported by management’s projected annual commercial egg consumption CAGR of 4.2% until 2019. Although TSC targets to grow at a faster rate than industry demand growth, management believes it will be able to achieve its targeted growth due to the fragmented local layer industry where the largest five players account for only c.37% of market share.
Stable industry outlook. Although there are fluctuations in the demand of eggs and ASP, we believe TSC’s outlook is still stable, as eggs are deemed inelastic goods as they are a consumer staple and small-ticket item in household spending.
The Stock
Fair value of RM1.38. Our fair value is based on 11x fully-diluted FY17F EPS, which is the industry’s average (excluding QL and Lay Hong). We have excluded QL and Lay Hong due to their larger market cap and higher institutional shareholding. The stock is currently trading at 7.3x FY17F PE. Although our PE target is above the historical mean PE, we deem this undemanding given our expectation of a strong 2-year EPS CAGR of 41% FY16-18F. The stock is also trading at a PEG of c.0.3x.
Strong fundamentals. Aside from its strong EPS CAGR, we also like TSC for its positive cashflow despite its aggressive
expansion, coupled with low egg prices in FY16, superior net
margins (c.10%) and positive ROAE (>13%).
AllianceDbs Research 7/2/2017
2017-01-16 10:15 | Report Abuse
Based on the latest financial results, an analyst told The Edge Financial Daily that VisDynamics was valued relatively cheaper than its peer Vitrox Corp Bhd. "Assuming they could maintain a net profit of RM2 million per quarter, the stock is trading at five times its PER compared with Vitrox (which is) over 15 times," said the analyst.
- The Edge Financial Daily 16/1/2017
2017-01-13 13:17 | Report Abuse
If i am not wrong, Digistar had issued bonds of RM270 million to build this Malaysian National Technology Advancement Centre & need to service the interest.
2017-01-11 21:19 | Report Abuse
Superb......fund managers all go hiding !!!
2017-01-09 20:18 | Report Abuse
ibot super efficient, thumps up !!!
2017-01-09 13:41 | Report Abuse
Our base case fair value of RM0.60 is premised on a DCF valuation of Hibiscus? 50% stake in the Anasuria cluster with a 11.0% WACC. We are also positive on a further upside boost of an additional RM0.55 with the potential acquisition of the North Sabah asset. The total fair value of Hibiscus would therefore be RM1.15 if the acquisition is successful, pending approvals from Petronas. The base case scenario however of RM0.60 still offers a potential 37.1% upside from current share price.
Contingent consideration. We do note that there is a contingent consideration to the vendors, if oil price is above USD75/bbl, but only for between 2018-2021. The contingent consideration is 15cents per USD/bbl. Factoring in this consideration and with the assumption that oil price is at USD75/bbl from 2018 to 2035, Hibiscus? portion of the Anasuria Cluster is worth RM1.03 with the above assumptions remaining unchanged.
PublicInvest Research
2017-01-06 21:30 | Report Abuse
Reach earnings starts from QA S&P since Oct 2015.
2017-01-06 21:24 | Report Abuse
Reach Energy MD Shahrul said the company had started to recognise earnings from its QA from October last year, as per the sale & purchase agreement inked with MIE Holdings.
"We are (already) in the business, and the operator ships and management of assets will be phased in within the next six months from the vendors to Reach. The hard work begins now," he said.
According to MIE Holdings' interim financial disclosure for the six-month period ended June 30, 2016 (1HFY16), Emir-Oil's sales climbed 11.4% year-on-year to 659.42 million yuan (RM417.95 million) from 592.18 million yuan a year earlier.
Based on the stake Reach is acquiring, the compny should be able to book in 395.65 million yuan during the period.
The Brent Crude Index slipped 0.38% to US$46.77 per barrel as at 4.41pm yesterday. At the current level, Shahrul said the company is 'very comfortable" even if the price stays at the current level.
"There is no pain yet,"he said, not unless oil price falls below US$30 per barrel.
- The Edge Financial Daily Nov 17, 2016
2017-01-06 08:47 | Report Abuse
" Although the company is looking at raising the additional funding of about RM180 mil, it will consider a rights placement only at a last resort . We don't want to upset shareholders who might face dilution of the shareholders base if we do this. We don't want them to be unhappy and place more share in the market. There are other options that we can explore for additional funding such as refinancing or third financing from banks. Oil prices are improving and we have zero gearing, which is to our advantage when seeking financing." - Shahrul MB Reach Energy.
- Focus Msia 6/1/2017
2017-01-05 22:52 | Report Abuse
I haven't buy in Sign-wa. Waiting for the co business to rebound.
2017-01-05 22:49 | Report Abuse
I am holding all the counters except Sign-wa ;)
2017-01-05 22:40 | Report Abuse
Last yr those picked Petron also leading with a wide margin but ending short of petro to end the race.
2017-01-05 21:15 | Report Abuse
Tq all, long way to go.... VenFx, keep it up !!!
2017-01-05 19:32 | Report Abuse
Tq moneykj, the journey is long & full of traps ;)
2017-01-05 19:22 | Report Abuse
Hi connie i no pro. Running a free telegram channel for sharing, learning & passion.
2017-01-05 13:15 | Report Abuse
Cruz, Sumatec produced only Gas n no Crude Oil. It's not in the same league as Reach n Hibiscus. In football, it's 2nd division. Read my earlier comments.
2017-01-04 22:15 | Report Abuse
Bro hawk, kaki flag closed shop ? Me busy with my telegram channel. Dropped in i3 once a while to give comments.
2017-01-04 22:06 | Report Abuse
Hi bro skyhawk long time no see
2017-01-04 21:29 | Report Abuse
Ibot, error on 1lottrade calculation. His portfolio is negative rm239, thus should not be in 1st position.
2017-01-04 21:22 | Report Abuse
Too early to celebrate. Need to have the stamina to complete the race.
2017-01-04 21:12 | Report Abuse
System wrong calculation. 1lottrade is negetive rm239, should not be in the 1st position.
2017-01-04 20:43 | Report Abuse
Congrats sifu Icon8888
2017-01-04 19:53 | Report Abuse
I see this stock doubling in value if next 2 quarter results can be maintained. Co is very clean with 7.5 million net cash.
2017-01-04 19:43 | Report Abuse
Hehe, need to diversify. Consumer domestic sales. Hopefully Ktc recover this year.
2017-01-04 19:38 | Report Abuse
Hehe VenFx, Vis my saviour today.
2017-01-04 19:26 | Report Abuse
Congrats VenFx & tkp2 sifu ;)
2016-12-31 20:50 | Report Abuse
Paperplane, salute you if you have submitted your picks to Mr Tan KW. You are at the same level playing field with the rest. Taday alone there are more than 15 picks by IBs/Newspapers & many more will be called by analyst the next few days.
2016-12-31 20:33 | Report Abuse
Paperplane being one of the top 20 Stock Pick winner has 1 week advantage bcoz his closing date for 2017 contest is 6/1/2017 whereas others was 30/12/2016. Salute to Icon8888 & Luvluv for picking their stocks on 30/12/16 eventhough they are also top 20 winners.
2016-12-31 19:11 | Report Abuse
Furniture Exporters
1) Liihen - Net Cash RM82.9M
2) Hevea - Net Cash RM94.6M
3) Pohuat - Net Cash RM42.6M
4) Latitude - Net Cash RM139.8M ( Includes Investment Securities Of RM46.4M )
2016-12-31 18:58 | Report Abuse
USD is expected to appreciate 10 % if they implement 5 % tariff on imports. On the bright side, our exports will still be 5 % cheaper after the tax.
Stock: [ATAIMS]: ATA IMS BERHAD
2017-02-19 16:34 | Report Abuse
It's always possible but in this case is quite unlikely as Oregon already control 47.3% Oregon can easily buy another 3 % from the open market.