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2016-08-18 15:12 | Report Abuse
好股严重暴跌 – 背后潜在的因素
这几天,有一些股票出现了严重的趋势反转,连续几天出现了插水状况,卖盘非常的大。长期以来的上升趋势也宣布告一段落,接下来就是下滑调整及横盘走势。股票暴跌的背后并没有任何负面消息。
第一支是较为严重的ULICORP。今天早上还接到不寻常交易活动【UMA】询问。翻看近几年,ULICORP的走势非常强劲,无论遇到什么外围影响,股价也没有出现明显的调整。它的股价从2013年11月的RM0.80来到了2016年7月的RM6.80左右。简短来说,ULICORP在2年半的时间内攀升了高达750%!显然的,ULICORP是一支非常低调的大牛股。但是,必须注意的是,ULICORP目前的每股净利只是19.37 cent。股价在高峰的时候,它的PE一度去到35倍了,属于非常贵的价位。近2天,ULICORP出现严重被人抛售的情况,股价从RM5.90暴跌到目前的RM4.35,跌幅高达26%!
第二支股票是SLP。这支股票在去年是支明星股,很多基金都非常看好它。SLP的30大股东在2015年也出现了非常大的变动,全数散户投资者都被基金取代了。这支股的走势基本上和ULICORP差不多一样,都是属于大牛股。巧合的,SLP的起涨点也是在2013年11月开始走强。它的股价从RM0.42左右攀升至2016年7月的高峰RM3.00,在短短2年半内暴涨614%。近几天,股价也出现严重的插水,从RM2.90暴跌至目前的RM2.21,跌幅高达24%!估值方面,SLP目前的每股净利是11.14 cent。以股价在高峰时的RM3.00来计算,它的PE是27倍,也是属于超值。
第三支股票是SCGM。这支股票是很多基金偏向喜欢的类型,30大股东里多数都是基金撑场。SCGM的业绩在过去的4年都出现双位数成长,属于非常强劲的公司。它的起涨点源自于2013年6月,股价从RM0.40 (股价调整后) 攀升至2016年7月的高峰RM3.50左右,在短短的3年时间涨幅高达775%!这支股在这3年期间并未出现明显的调整。可是,好景不长在,股价在近几天严重插水,从RM3.50暴跌至目前的RM2.95,跌幅高达16%。估值方面,SCGM目前的每股净利是15.30 cent。股价在高峰时的PE是23倍。
从这三支股票近日的暴跌行情来看,它们的上涨趋势已经告一段落了。目前的跌幅是明显的股价调整,调整完毕后预计会进入横盘阶段。这三支股都有一些共同点,都是近几年的疯狂大牛股。可惜的是,股价已经严重超越了股票本身的价值,也并未出现较为大型的调整。简单来说,这三支股票处在非常贵的价位。以它们目前的每股净利和较为乐观的15倍PE来计算,ULICORP、SLP和SCGM的每股潜在价值分别是RM2.90、RM1.67和RM2.30。因此,它们现在的股价依然还是属于贵。此外,近日的暴跌还有一个可能性,就是即将出炉的业绩差。但,这个可能性不大。
总结,一家公司的估值非常重要。一旦严重超值了,投资者必须很小心的注意股价走势,然后进行套利。千万别在股价高档时,买入或追高这类PE非常高的股票,因为这类股票的上涨空间非常有限而下跌空间不小,意味着投资的风险也大大的提高。除了这三支股票,还有一些类似的股票必须稍微注意:JHM和KAREX。
2016-08-16 17:13 | Report Abuse
Thunder cool so accurate!!! Many ppl trapped hehehe
2016-08-12 07:41 | Report Abuse
Possible because of panic sell and further panic sell, not all people aware of news like u all do
2016-08-11 11:28 | Report Abuse
Reach prior bonus issue price, now we see when it will turn red
2016-08-02 00:12 | Report Abuse
Warrant mature, more ppl change mother, more ppl sell? Price lower???
2016-08-01 13:07 | Report Abuse
This counter will stay stagnant/drop until yr end
2016-07-29 12:37 | Report Abuse
Further down.. wtf.. this stock going down the drain ...
2016-07-29 12:14 | Report Abuse
Hahahaha as expected.. push up a few cents to lure small fishes saja then boom let u all die
2016-07-19 11:33 | Report Abuse
Gap up reason? Again pump and dump? Or really going up?
2016-07-11 19:41 | Report Abuse
Joking? Vincent counter is the most deadliest in bursa
2016-06-29 18:37 | Report Abuse
More important is karex can secure order from Cust or not???? Currency changes is good for short term trader. Most importantly is long term can grow.. else can't justify the high PE !! Revenue and profit must up together
2016-06-21 15:38 | Report Abuse
When will it go back to 3.5 level? 10 years
2016-06-16 19:28 | Report Abuse
Broke many people's cost already.... careful....
2016-06-14 12:25 | Report Abuse
Wow.. cheeseburger.. wanna stress ur point also no need to post three times one.. hahaha anyway, this article has nothing special.. housing interest can be reduced with flexible loan and able to yield rental + appreciation, can gold yield any rental income
2016-06-12 21:53 | Report Abuse
But when ah con sold already still ask people to buy when he sold wor
2016-06-06 22:03 | Report Abuse
GG consolidation whole day, day end drop to 2.23 hahaha.. really drama for insider to dispose
2016-06-06 15:30 | Report Abuse
Agree, usually this is cushion for bigger shareholders to dispose.
2016-06-02 20:32 | Report Abuse
When finished dispose.. huge sharp gap down next day?
2016-06-01 10:05 | Report Abuse
Appleby, don't look at one day transaction!! That is because nobody want to sell!
-Long term investor
2016-05-31 13:47 | Report Abuse
GG Karex.. many blogger look down this counter.. more people will throw
2016-05-31 13:41 | Report Abuse
If u looking at the right price to buy, and u ask or u think.. then u are not a long term investor...
Based on long term investor.
2016-05-31 12:44 | Report Abuse
Yesterday was a fake rebound.. many people masuk already.. today down u can see the rate is slowly slowly drop....
Scary thing is coming
2016-05-30 12:14 | Report Abuse
Errr... if job data not good.. why other furniture counters people keep blowing home sales and everything is good in US? Contradicting or someone telling lies
2016-05-30 09:37 | Report Abuse
Obsidian careful.. this is not panic sell.. this is institution and big holder selling.. u see the sell down every time.. obviously not retail
2016-05-30 09:31 | Report Abuse
Careful guys.. small rebound is a trap... further dropping to below 2.2 later or afternoon
Stock: [KAREX]: KAREX BERHAD
2016-08-22 20:31 | Report Abuse
Many ppl fall inside trap already hehe