I noticed there are tones of ppls will come up with all sort of negative thinking when there is a liittle shake on this share. When it rebounded these ppls will come out again talking with 360 degree change.
i liquidated more than half my holdings 500K shares( ave price @ 21cts.shares) @ 37.5 &38. greedy bought additional 130k shares at 43 before announcement. Considering sona also down 2 cts, the drop is marginal,just that the wait was long & arduous.Still holding some.
Author: PublicInvest | Publish date: Mon, 3 Mar 10:13
Daya’s full year FY13 performance took an unexpected dive in 4Q,
attributed to the cost overrun in the cable laying project which was largely completed in October 2013. YTD revenue recorded RM513.5m (+85% YoY) while earnings plunged to RM3.4m (-83% YoY).
Management has reassured that the cost overrun issues have been fully accounted for this quarter and hence will start their FY14 balance sheet on a clean slate.
Despite our disappointment to this quarter’s unfavourable outcome, fundamentally based on the prospect of Daya’s O&G segment in particular, its vessel chartering will provide growth for the Group going forward.
We are maintaining our Outperform call on Daya with an unchanged TP of RM0.43 based on 12x multiple to its FY14 EPS of 3.7 sen.
Dragged by Oil and Gas (O&G).From what we understand,
Daya initially recorded higher profits YoY, however due to the cost overrun issue from the cable laying project, a revision had to be made to the profit margin.
Albeit this incident, O&G will contribute significantly going forward, premised on
i) the LT charter of Siem Daya 1 (SD1) and Siem Daya 2 (SD2) to Technip, which has been deployed in North Sea as of end-February.
ii) prospects of exploration and production business via its investment into Reach Energy (soon to be listed SPAC).
iii) Downstream chemicals and specialised lifting services. iv) Outstanding orderbook of RM1.7bn.
Improving Polymer business.
A slow growing division from the prospects of the industry and continued foreign competition.
The Group however had implemented ongoing operational initiatives to deliver better production efficiency and improved cost structure, reflected in the positive results.
Technical Services to grow. Revenue increased due to the progress in several projects which were previously delayed, thus higher revenue was registered this year.
A significant contributing division going forward, as the Group continues to build and execute its orderbook.
Maintain Outperform. We continue to recommend Daya based on our PE valuation of 12x implied PER to our FY14F EPS of 3.7 sen.
As the Group’s vessels SD1 and SD2 have already been chartered out for a LT contract with Technip, earnings visibility is already materialised hence we see our valuation as reasonable at this juncture.
Now I know why such a huge drop ! Q4 2013 is making huge net loss. This caused the total 2013 net profit dropped from 20 mil to 3 mil, ie dropping of 85% in net profit !!! EPS dropped from 1.65 to 0.27, ie dropping of 84% :( :( .... Just hope the next quater the business profit will come back to surge the price up.
And to think that just a month or two ago, the sentiments on O&G players were so bullish. Everyone was so excited in buying O&G counters. Moral is not to trust the media too much. Anyway somehow analysts still think Daya has good prospects. I guess there is always a positive side to it.
Big gain now became a loss took me 3 mths + to accumulate but just 3 days to wipes it out dry......very shocking counter how can made a -83% profit loss in Q4????? made no sense,
O&G counters are just like playing poker games , when it strikes black gold , it is called very lucky , but once failed , it will be very miserable indeed!
Limayseng, this company dont dig for oil ba. This is service provider. Provide shipping, etc for the o&g producers. This loss according to reports is due to cost overrun on their projects. Supposed to be one off thing. Unless of coz happens again. Anyway newbirds sorry to hear abt your loss. Losses in stock market is inevitable. Happens to everyone.
I always tell this to young investors. Mistakes are inevitable but what is most important is to learn from mistakes. However, don't ever think that after making one mistake, you won't repeat it again. Life is long-term learning and we will always make mistakes as long as we're human.
What is most important is to figure out what caused u to make such an error and from that, constantly fine tune your skills to mitigate future mistakes. Right now, it is important to learn from this valuable mistake, and think, if you should pay for this mistake.
By paying means cut loss and move on graciously with a newly learnt skill. But remember, most importantly, be tough and never give up.
Have confidence in Daya.Now is a good time to buy if have spare cash.I personally do not think it will go below 0.35.It will rebound to 0.40 very soon.With Daya one must look at long term investment.
I sold in loss. I don't give chance to DAYA due to this lossing quarter. Now market is not stable, good and profit counter also cheat sales. Time to have cash on hand buying profit earning counter such as Inari. Your money your decision. Daya may up today or tomorrow, who know. Always think both side and make the choice which you think the best.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Franky Ngo
50 posts
Posted by Franky Ngo > 2014-03-03 09:54 | Report Abuse
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