3. believe that there will be a positive trickle-down effect to other OSV owners like AMRB. We understand that some of the packages may require additional vessels that the winner of the package may not readily own.
4.Maintain BUY and MYR2.25 FV. We make no changes to our FY14/15 earnings estimates as the contract extension has been accounted for. We expect AMRB to post a good set of full-year FY13 results as we believe its fleet utilisation rate remained high at around 90% in 2HFY13.
5. We therefore reaffirm our BUY recommendation with an unchanged FV of MYR2.25, based on a target FY14 P/E of 14x, in line with those of other small- to mid-cap oil & gas (O&G) companies.
Kenanga keeps 'outperform' on Alam Maritim Published: 2014/02/05 PDF format PDF Email article EMAIL Print article PRINT Currency Converter CURRENCY CONVERTER Enlarge font size LARGER TYPE Reduce font size SMALLER TYPE TOOLS DICTIONARY : THESAURUS :
Kenanga Research has maintained 'outperform' rating on Alam Maritim Resources Bhd, with RM2.07 target price, following the announcement of its contract extension.
The company announced yesterday that it has been awarded a 12-month extension contract by ExxonMobil Exploration and Production Malaysia Inc to provide an accommodation barge worth RM58.8 million.
"The contract value implies a daily charter rate (DCR) of RM160,200. This is 14.8 per cent higher than the DCR for the initial contract of RM139,500.
"We are positive on the firmer charter rate and the contract extension, but it was largely expected as the demand for accommodation barges remains strong," it said in a research note today.
The research firm expects RM140,000 for the company's accommodation barge.
Alam Maritim's stock gained 4.0 sen to RM1.45 as at 12:30 pm after opening at RM1.43, with 1.5 million shares transacted.-- Bernama
We maintain BUY on Alam Maritim Resources (Alam) with an unchanged fair value of RM2.45/share, pegged to a FY14F PE of 16x – at parity to the oil & gas sector.
- ExxonMobil Exploration and Production Malaysia Inc has exercised its option to extend Alam’s charter by a year to provide an accommodation barge for RM59mil, at a higher charter rate compared to the original rate back in May 2012.
- The original charter was for 18 months plus a 12-month optional extension at an estimated value of RM126mil or RM137k per day. Hence, the extension value, effective on 1 February 2014, translates to RM161k or a17% increase over an 18-month period.
- The rising price trend for accommodation work barges highlights the strong demand for this type of vessels in Malaysia and the region. Alam currently has 3 accommodation workboats and sources third-party vessels for its clients.
- We note that marine operators such as Perdana Petroleum, Dayang Enterprise and Bumi Armada have plans to continue purchasing or acquiring accommodation work barges or multiple-purpose support vessels.
- For anchor handling tug supply vessels (AHTS), domestic demand remains firm given the limited number of locallyflagged vessels compared to foreign-owned units operating in Malaysia. We understand that Petronas’ preference policy for domestic players remains intact.
- Hence, we continue to be positive on charter rates for the AHTS market segment, underpinned by a need for additional 16 vessels this year in Malaysia. Among the vessels under JVs, there is now only one 12,000bhp anchor handling tug supply vessels under JV with Tabung Haji that is on spot charter. Currently, we understand that the group’s vessel utilisation rate for its wholly-owned fleet is around 80% with the rest of the vessels on spot charters.
- We maintain FY13F-15F earnings with assumed higher vessel utilisation rates of 80%-90% as well as underwater/offshore installation & construction orders of RM300mil-RM500mil.
- We understand that Alam hopes to secure parts of the RM1.2bil-RM1.5bil contracts for underwater services, which were earlier extended to Offshoreworks Group, currently in financial distress.
- Valuations are compelling at an FY14F PE of 9x – half of the oil & gas sector’s 18x.
We maintain BUY on Alam Maritim Resources (Alam) with an unchanged fair value of RM2.45/share, pegged to a FY14F PE of 16x – at parity to the oil & gas sector.
- Upstream reported today that a joint-venture between Alam and Swiber Offshore has won a subcontract for offshore installation work on Petronas’ Block SK 316 gas development off Sarawak. We understand that the installation contract - The Alam-Swiber joint venture is understood to have been subcontracted by Technip and Malaysia Marine Heavy Engineering (MMHE) to install the central processing platform and the bridge from mid-2015 to the third quarter of 2015.
Technip and MMHE were jointly awarded a turnkey contract late last year covering engineering, construction and installation of the central processing platform (CPP), the connecting bridge and up to two wellhead platforms for the combined NC3 and NC8 field development in Block SK 316.
- NC3 will host the CPP, which will be connected to a satellite platform at NC8. First gas from Block SK 316 is scheduled to flow by the end of 2015 and will be fed to the ninth liquefied natural gas train under Petronas MLNG complex in Bintulu.
- Block SK 316 also hosts the Kasawari field, which will be developed using a standalone central processing platform and a wellhead structure. Petronas was due to tender the planned Kasawari facilities in early 2014 but the bid round is said to have been held back as the stateowned field operator re-evaluates its tender strategy.
- As the Alam-Swiber failed to secure a package under the Pan-Malaysia transport and installation (T&I) umbrella concession late last year, the JV is actively seeking new projects in the region. Our channel checks indicate that the level of activities under the Pan-Malaysian T&I contracts this year could be lower than 2013 due to the initial design and engineering works in the programme.
- For the underwater division, we understand that Alam hopes to secure parts of the RM1.2bil-RM1.5bil contracts, which were earlier extended to Offshoreworks Group, currently in financial distress.
- We expect 4QFY13 results, scheduled to be released later this month, to come in below expectations due to one-off provisions. For now, we maintain FY13F-15F core earnings. Valuations are compelling at an FY14F PE of 9x– half of the oil & PP 12247/06/2013 (032380) gas sector’s 18x.
1. We maintain BUY on Alam Maritim Resources (Alam) with an unchanged fair value of RM2.45/share, pegged to a FY14F PE of 16x – at parity to the oil & gas sector.
2. Upstream reported today that a joint-venture between Alam and Swiber Offshore has won a subcontract for offshore installation work on Petronas’ Block SK 316 gas development off Sarawak. We understand that the installation contract for SK316 is around RM100mil, which is still under negotiation.
3. The Alam-Swiber joint venture is understood to have been subcontracted by Technip and Malaysia Marine Heavy Engineering (MMHE) to install the central processing platform and the bridge from mid-2015 to the third quarter of 2015.
4. Technip and MMHE were jointly awarded a turnkey contract late last year covering engineering, construction and installation of the central processing platform (CPP), the connecting bridge and up to two wellhead platforms for the combined NC3 and NC8 field development in Block SK 316.
5. NC3 will host the CPP, which will be connected to a satellite platform at NC8. First gas from Block SK 316 is scheduled to flow by the end of 2015 and will be fed to the ninth liquefied natural gas train under Petronas MLNG complex in Bintulu.
6. Block SK 316 also hosts the Kasawari field, which will be developed using a standalone central processing platform and a wellhead structure. Petronas was due to tender the planned Kasawari facilities in early 2014 but the bid round is said to have been held back as the stateowned field operator re-evaluates its tender strategy.
7. As the Alam-Swiber failed to secure a package under the Pan-Malaysia transport and installation (T&I) umbrella concession late last year, the JV is actively seeking new projects in the region. Our channel checks indicate that the level of activities under the Pan-Malaysian T&I contracts this year could be lower than 2013 due to the initial design and engineering works in the programme.
8. For the underwater division, we understand that Alam hopes to secure parts of the RM1.2bil-RM1.5bil contracts, which were earlier extended to Offshoreworks Group, currently in financial distress.
9. We expect 4QFY13 results, scheduled to be released later this month, to come in below expectations due to one-off provisions. For now, we maintain FY13F-15F core earnings. Valuations are compelling at an FY14F PE of 9x – half of the oil & PP 12247/06/2013 (032380) gas sector’s 18x.
Oil & Gas Sector - EPCIC tender is out for Baronia CPP OVERWEIGHT
1. Upstream reported today that the race has started for the first turnkey central processing platform (CPP) contract, potentially worth over US$1bil, on offer this year in Malaysia, with Petronas Carigali opening up the contest for the centrepiece production facility at the integrated Bardegg 2 and Baronia enhanced oil recovery (EOR) project to as many as 11 international contractors. First gas from the integrated project is targeted for October 2017.
2. Bardegg 2 is the second phase of the Baram Delta gas gathering project originally designed to collect and compress associated gas previously flared during crude extraction for re-injection to improve oil recovery. A new CPP lined up under Bardegg 2 will initially extract non-associated gas from the Baronia field and the high-temperature high-pressure Tukau Timur discovery for reinjection together with water into the Baronia reservoir to enhance oil recovery. Excess gas will be exported to the Malaysia liquefied natural gas complex at Bintulu. The integrated Bardegg 2 and Baronia EOR project will also seek to produce nonassociated gas from the Bakau, Fatimah and Salbiah fields under future phases of field development. A turnkey contract is being tendered for the engineering, procurement, construction, installation and commissioning (EPCIC) of the new CPP to be bridgelinked to the existing Baronia gas compression platform.
3. The selected contractor will be tasked to deliver the Baronia CPP and the connecting bridge to the field location by early 2017.That will include installing about 13,000 tonnes of the CPP topsides via floatover atop a 6,800-tonne eight-legged jacket. The Baronia CPP will be tied to two further satellite wellhead platforms - one each for Baronia and Tukau Timur – which are also planned under the Bardegg 2 and Baronia EOR integrated development. The Baronia wellhead platform will be a four-legged structure linked to the new CPP using two flexible lines under three kilometres each. The Tukau Timur structure will be a nine-slot tripod to be separately connected to the CPP via a 43-kilometre pipeline.
4. Instead of calling in bids only from the eight Petronas-licensed fabricators, Petronas Carigali has called in four regional players -SMOE, COOEC, PTSC and a fourth yet-to-be-confirmed contender - to the tender for the 2 satellite structures. That extension is seen as part of an effort to mitigate development costs. In addition to the 3 Malaysian yard operators invited for the Baronia CPP, five other Petronas-licensed fabricators - Boustead Heavy Industries, Labuan Shipyard & Engineerng, Brooke Dockyards, KKB Engineering’s Ocean Might and Muhibbah Engineering - are also in the fray. The front-end engineering and design studies for the integrated Bardegg 2 and Baronia EOR integrated project are being carried out by RNZ.
5. Besides the Baronia CPP, the other CPPs in the pipeline are for the Sepat, Bergading, Bokor and Dulang fields. While 1Q2014 orders are likely to slow down QoQ, these project rollouts underpin the overall upward momentum trend and reaffirm our positive view on the sector. Hence, we maintain our OVERWEIGHT call on the sector with our BUY calls for SapuraKencana Petroleum, Alam Maritim, and Bumi Armada.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
joel
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Posted by joel > 2014-02-05 19:20 | Report Abuse
3. believe that there
will be a positive trickle-down effect to other OSV owners like AMRB. We
understand that some of the packages may require additional vessels
that the winner of the package may not readily own.
4.Maintain BUY and MYR2.25 FV. We make no changes to our FY14/15
earnings estimates as the contract extension has been accounted for.
We expect AMRB to post a good set of full-year FY13 results as we
believe its fleet utilisation rate remained high at around 90% in 2HFY13.
5. We therefore reaffirm our BUY recommendation with an unchanged FV
of MYR2.25, based on a target FY14 P/E of 14x, in line with those of
other small- to mid-cap oil & gas (O&G) companies.