We need to understand why, market news is not that great at the moment. Nothing to do with the fundamentals of the company. We have to weather this out, no choice. Sell now and you realise a loss. If you keep the patience, you will get the profits with reward later.
ok... i hv made profit in adventa most of the time...but now, i hv aleady cleared off all glove stocks before the downturn n concentrating on those stocks that are providing supporting role to these glove making companies such as samchem n scomnet
I do not hold any glove stocks at the moment as they are too volatile for now. My personal take on it is there is still some upside to it as its profits are still going to come in for the next few quarters. Not many companies can claim that now. Similarly with samchem, it is a fundamentally solid company growing profits. But I guess the difference with glove is the PE ratio they are now trading is too high for now, thereby making it a ponzi stock. The current price level is a valuation for the next 10 years - unfortunately, we all know glove cannot make that kind of profits on a sustained basis for the next 10 years. With Samchem, it is the opposite because its PE ratio is too low. Its value is not realised yet, for glove it is fully realised. Hence, the upside is massively there for the taking - that is why I feel it is a safe haven. a gem waiting to be unlocked.
short term 1.20-1.30 mid-term, 1.40-1.50 depending on market sentiments, long term fair value - 2.00. I will not let it go until it hits 2.0 after all the stress I went through.
If u look at q-q results, the improvement due mainly to the reversal of forex loss from the IDR. Let's look at 1H results cumulatively where it get hit by the MCO period compared to 1H of last year, we can clearly notice that it can produce a similar results, which means the company profit margin start improving together with factory efficiency. Despite revenue down by 8%, gross profit improved 11%, together with PBT improvement of 10%. Dividend declaration of 1 sen is also within expectation. Overall, it is a very good set of result. given current low PE valuation, we can expect the share price to continue to perform. I do not want to indicate any target price here. We should continue to hold on due to its improving profit margin and factory efficiency.
Prospect looks promising given by the management comment on the recovery in affected sectors such as agriculture, construction related sectors, semiconductor,furniture and polyurethene foam products. The management also sees opportunities for business growth, building on the back of the newly developed agencies and expansion of product portfolio during the first half of the year.
Hooray ! Margin increased ! Revenue down but acceptable as still MCO, business gradually back to normal. If they can maintain the margin throughout it will explosive ! Record high quarterly profit !
Let's look at valuation....Its 1H EPS already hit 4.81sen. So, full 2020 year will hit 10sen easily. Given current share price of 97sen (or RM1 lah), PE only 10x which is dam low. Minimally with PE of 15x (which is too low for "glove" / "covid" related counter), price can easily hit RM1.50. Long term PE should be 20-25x or target price of RM2.00 to RM2.50. Another plus point, assuming it is consistent in giving dividend of 4 sen (as per last year - given major downtrend in profit this year), we can expect a yield of 4% which is good enough. I think this counter cannot be ignored if you want to have some exposure in covid (or glove) counter. Glove counter is definitely too high to chase. All the best !
Another 1 cent dividend will be paid soon,date is to be announced.The divergent yield is much better than bank FD plus growth potential,Samchem is real gem.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
thetruthoracle
497 posts
Posted by thetruthoracle > 2020-08-14 15:07 | Report Abuse
We need to understand why, market news is not that great at the moment. Nothing to do with the fundamentals of the company. We have to weather this out, no choice. Sell now and you realise a loss. If you keep the patience, you will get the profits with reward later.