I hear a look of people say share price is consider high or low. How you know? When you say high it will goes higher :) when you say very low it will still goes lower :)
So buy when you confidence with the counter because of their management; stratefy and vision. Then most of the time you won't get hit of course you may earn less but not get burn a lot.
@benson911 - well with more competitor, it definitely impact Padini in short term. Panini as a company have been long in market. I believe in their management which will slowly take action to improve the situation.
Most important thing, does the company still making money? If the answer is yes but not as many as before then I will continue buy this counter. As long as they make profit and consistently given dividend in long run it still good for investor provided the capital did not keep on dropping as well :-)
In short there are many possible reason and signal that you will sell off the share. To me it not the time for me to sell it yet. You can wait and buy later when the price move up and quarter result improving. Or the other way round when the price move down and hit your target price.... Guess what at that time I don't think you will buy too hahaha....
I may not share the answer you like to hear but that what I shared.
I think padini as a brand itself is not doing as well. As a consumer myself, I would prefer to buy from h&m and unique but that's because I am willing to pay the premium prices (70-400) for better quality garment. But that doesn't mean padini group as a whole is doing badly.In fact, Brands outlet is expanding and it is doing well. The problem with padini clothes is it is not as good a quality as h&m or uniqlo but they will have their niche customers ,given the cheap price(15-150) of their garments. In conclusion, I do not worry much about the future prospect of this company because they have got their own loyal class of customers. They serve the middle to low class Malaysian and their branding amongst the youngsters is really strong. To be frank, majority of Malaysian can only purchase clothes at the price range covered by padini.
If you ask whether this is the right time to enter..ask yourself this question,is a 6-7% gain almost riskfree from a growing company attractive to you? At the current price, you can expect 6-7% gain solely from dividend alone..what if there is capital appreciation? As you can see, padini is trading below it's average 14*pe price. So there is opportunity for at least 10% capital gain here. That said, do your own research and buy according to your risk appetite.
No doubt store like H&M and Uniqlo will eat into Padini's market share. However do remember that H&M and Uniqlo don't exist in all place. IMO the management had done a great job by expanding to outside Klang Valley mainly through Brands Outlet. I think people have underestimate the growth rate from second tier cities. We shall see...
Quarterly result has to be released within 2 months from closing date. Padini has to disclose before end of Feb 2014.
For momentum trade only: IMO current situation is similar to last Nov 13 where Padini had free fall due to perceived intense competition and uncertain consumer spending. However, it had strongly rebound (within 2 weeks) after 'positive surprise' of first quarter announcement couple with higher DPS. Opportunity knockings?
Well, good news does not mean the share price will up. It depend on a lot of reasons and factor too.
There should be an announcement next week on dividend. If I guess correctly should be on Feb 25 based on number of years I invest in Padini. No doubt there are high chances the announcement is good one plus the exact announcement on dividend it does not mean the share price will shoot up. From the pass it will be move up quite a bit but not sure this time. There are always an exception. I don't want to be over confidence and then cause some disappointment to very short term folks if that not happen :-)
Agree with powerwk. Usually it will shoot up but these days the sentiment on this counter is quite bearish. Well, doesn't matter. If price up, get capital appreciation. If price stagnant, accumulate more as 7% almost risk free is a good arbitrage.
I buy 1.60 and 1.64, I mostly buy when quarter report about to be announced. Price may go as high as 1.8+, hopefully collect some gain then come back when it's low again.
This is quite a stable stock, I prefer buying other stocks move faster. Any comments or advice?
long time no post here ~ accumulated 1.61 last week~ weee~~~ Dividend RM 0.20 - 0.25 will be announcing this week~ Finger cross (1.54 %) every quarter ~
@suz99 - quick one to look at is Sona-wa. You can buy mother as well depend on your capital. Play safe and at your own risk.
another one safer but take slightly longer mflour-wb. Accumulate now and harvest in next two months.
You need to study and understand them well and the potential risk. Don't just follow. Even I do a lot of study I can still wrong :-) this is the wonderful of stock market.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
tanahchew
17 posts
Posted by tanahchew > 2014-02-18 10:33 | Report Abuse
Thanks powerwk for good info...