epf is selling at lost as their cost was at ipo rm1.80, trimming to reduce exposure but nothing wrong with the stock- deep pocket continue buying as the yield now at 5.50%.
see how la, uprise momentum being neutralised...... now back to ~1.60-1.63 region again....bck to previous game..... epf, really curious what is their plan??? want to reduce to 15% holding??? or more???? hmmmmmmmmmm
Not now.... Epf keep selling since nov... Kwap selling negligible compare to epf.... Epf sold out more than 100mils units dy... From 20% reduce to 16.6% now... Hopefully epf stopped dispose dy... If not, throw another 100mils units, how to go up??
1.64 with 2.4mils, which 2millions dealed at 4.30pm at rm1.65, which I treated it as a cross deal.... so the real dealed was around 500k units....... Today trading consider low-vol..... no big deal for me laaaa...... jus wish tat, don go bck 1.60 again la~~~
GOOD chance for Malakoff’s PD Power to renew PPA after 2019
By UOB Kay Hian / The Edge Financial Daily | April 6, 2016 : 10:52 AM MYT
This article first appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, on April 6, 2016.
Malakoff Corp Bhd (April 5, RM1.67) Reiterate buy with a target price (TP) of RM2: Malakoff Corp Bhd’s wholly-owned Port Dickson Power Bhd (PD Power) is a 440mw open-cycle gas-fired power plant located about 1.5 hours away from Kuala Lumpur. The power plant signed its 21-year power purchase agreement (PPA) with Tenaga Nasional Bhd (TNB) in 1995. Subsequently, the Energy Commission extended PD Power’s PPA (at lower tariffs) by another three years (from March 2016 to February 2019)
Designed as an open-cycle power plant (without a boiler and steam turbine), PD Power has the ability to supply electricity to the national grid within a 30-minute time frame. This compares to combined cycle gas-fired’s one to two hours and coal-fired power plants’ 24 to 36 hours start-up time.
Consequently, the regulators have utilised open-cycle power plants to satisfy demand load during peak periods (typically in the 10am, 2pm to 4pm, and 8pm time slots).
PD Power is one of three open-cycle power plants, more commonly known as peakers, in Peninsular Malaysia. The other two peakers are: i) Edra Global Energy Bhd’s 434mw Powertek power plant; and ii) TNB’s 625mw Putrajaya power plant.
We gathered that PD Power shares the same revised tariff as Segari Energy Venture Sdn Bhd, which is 60% to 70% lower than its first-generation tariff.
Recall that the management had guided in its fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2015 analyst briefing that the expected contribution from PD Power’s PPA extension is approximately RM20 million per annum in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda). In the absence of depreciation and interest charges, PD Power has been fully paid up as at January 2016. PD Power will contribute 3% to Malakoff’s bottom line.
In our assessment of Peninsular Malaysia’s power generation mix, PD Power stands a good chance of renewing its PPA beyond 2019. This is predicated upon PD power being one of three peakers in Peninsular Malaysia and the regulator may not be able to displace these conventional peakers with relatively small renewable energy components.
We have already incorporated PD Power’s approximately RM20 million Ebitda contribution with the three-year PPA extension that was granted by the EC in December 2015. In all, we project 2016 and 2017 core net profits of RM487 million and RM483 million respectively.
Tanjung Bin Energy (TBE) will lift Malakoff’s effective generation capacity by 17% to 7,040mw. The project is expected to yield an Ebitda of RM515 million annually, lifting Ebitda by 22% in 2017 (maiden full-year earnings contribution) versus 2015 Ebitda of RM2.448 million. This has been factored into our earnings.
With the completion of TBE last month (which cost RM6.7 billion to build), capital expenditure (capex) will taper off to RM900 million this year versus RM1.6 billion (2014) and RM1.4 billion (2015) previously.
We reiterate “buy” on Malakoff with a sum-of-parts TP of RM2, implying 20.8 times 2016 forward price-earnings ratio and 8.4 times enterprise value (EV)/Ebitda.
The stock currently trades at 16.5 times 2016F PER and 8.5 times EV/Ebitda. We like the stock for: a) its strong earnings visibility underpinned by long-tenured PPAs amid current market volatility; b) 2015 to 2016 earnings recovery from the low base in 2014 due to unplanned Tanjung Bin outage; and c) attractive dividend yield of 4.1% in 2016, with upside from lower capex requirements with the completion of TBE by last month. — UOB Kay Hian, April 5
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
boon1515
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Posted by boon1515 > 2016-03-30 00:54 | Report Abuse
Annual Report is out, looks gooding. Is kind of long term and stable stocks for dividend