KNM is a good oil and gas stock. Have faith!

Armada's days of impairments are over, the 300 mil on the OMS is the last one.

With Armada D1 being extended, the next expiry of charter from firmed period is only coming in 2024. Debts are being paid down from its EBITDA of RM1 billion. Debts only increased because USD had appreciated to USD4.40 as at 1st quarter and USD4.28 as at 2nd quarter. RM1.5 billion has been paid, translating to debt paring down of RM250 million a quarter. Enquest, its customer for Kraken has breakeven field of USD10-15 bucks, so they are still above water, and unless oil price plunge below USD10 for prolonged period of time, chances of them terminating is close to zero.

OMS is loss making, but still EBITDA positive. I read somewhere that Armada Constructor and Installer has assumed no jobs till 2022, so any further impairments before then is slim.

Armada will probably make around RM300-400 million a year here onwards. Management is doing the right thing, paring down debt aggressively and maintaining operational consistency.

I am leaning towards AmInvestment and Hong Leong's target price of RM0.50-RM0.60. Over next few quarters, once it makes 2 consecutive quarters of RM80-100 million profit, Koon Yew Yin's followers will buy as it is trading at 5x and meets his golden rule. Debt is not a problem as they are generating substantial EBITDA. Interest rate reduction of 2% also saves Armada RM50 million in interest cost a year.