Max2838

Max2838 | Joined since 2016-03-31

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Stock

2017-06-29 16:00 | Report Abuse

http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2017/06/29/government-to-ban-export-of-rubber-wood-from-july-1/

Good reason now for BOD to abort planting of rubber trees project, after all it is a silly plan. Ever hear of a Lobster restaurant going into lobster farming to ensure regular supply of lobsters?

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2017-06-26 23:55 | Report Abuse

The MTIB is encouraging the Malaysian furniture industry to venture into more Original Design Manufacturing...
https://www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com/malaysia-original-furniture-designs-generate-higher-returns/

Stock

2017-06-21 16:37 | Report Abuse

oil is collapsing, tony will wish that he had left room to hedge fuel for the rest of 2017...

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2017-06-21 16:21 | Report Abuse

Ringgit at 4.295 n WTI Crude at 43.27 n DiCaprio returned all the 1MDB gifts.... soon it is crunch time. Hold on to your Liihen as it is Ringgit-proof, Oil-proof & 1MDB-proof... Ty-Koon has less than 3 M to dispose off then he's done...

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2017-06-18 14:54 | Report Abuse

A copy of Trump's 'Art of the Deal' book that was given to Kim Jong-un of North Korea recently.

Here's the 11-step formula that can apply to everything n everyone..
1. Think Big,
2. Protect the downside and the upside can take care of itself,
3. Maximise your options,
4. Know your market,
5. Use your leverage,
6. Enhance your location or position,
7. Get the word out,
8. Fight back,
9. Deliver the goods,
10. Contain the costs,
11. Have fun doing it all...

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2017-06-16 10:09 | Report Abuse

I don't have an acc in NZ, my son has...

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2017-06-16 05:40 | Report Abuse

The value of US wooden furniture imports declined for the second consecutive month in March to US$1.24 billion. Year-to-date imports were still 7% higher than in March 2016. As in February, the month-on-month decline was mainly in imports from China (-17%) and Vietnam (-15%). Yearto-date imports from Vietnam however, were 15% higher than in March last year..... https://www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com/us-wooden-furniture-imports-from-china-down/

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2017-06-15 23:42 | Report Abuse

Nakata
One way is to open an acc with https://www.asb.co.nz/ then you can trade NZ & Aussie counters n transfer funds online wherever you are anywhere in the world

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2017-06-15 16:54 | Report Abuse

Very steady like Liihen? The closest I can recommend is Air New Zealand (AIR), an airline that is much better than AirAsia or SIA. Air NZ shr price $3.20, EPS 40 cts, Div 20 cts... Lii Hen Shr price RM3.22, EPS 42 sen, Div 26 sen... quite similar metrics as one in NZ$ and the other in RM. Why NZ? At least you got one foot there and one foot here... also your children can use the profits for tuition fees.. or just a holiday to Marlborough vineyards for the best Sauvignon blanc...

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2017-06-15 13:09 | Report Abuse

At the AGM, he did mentioned he did some off-market trade (1-2M shrs) recently and could only get 3.10 at best price. Normally, some Ty-Koons like to take care of the cents, as they know the dollar will take care of itself...

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2017-06-15 12:41 | Report Abuse

This is getting interesting, at today's volume rate Ty-Koon will be completely free from the radar of Lhen in 3 days

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2017-06-15 00:00 | Report Abuse

On Pohuat's comparison of Qtr2 vs Qtr1, revenue in Vietnam has declined 27% and in Malaysia 9%. Read the qtrly report of Pohuat on their improving sales in Malaysia on bedroom sets that they recently introduced. Those having operations in Vietnam will continue to have reduced sales because of local labour and rubberwood issues... this makes Liihen different

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2017-06-14 12:02 | Report Abuse

Patrick13
Management of production units, facilities and logistics are all up to mark and in order. Customers (US distributors) all come to Lii Hen factories to make orders (5ft, 6ft or 7 ft beds) so no need for marketing except in Furniture Fairs. Lii Hen use sub-contractors for the volume business. Most of their products are of rubber wood furniture for the middle & lower class of American families. This is a low cost, high margin brick-n-mortar business using immigrant labour. Malaysia will eventually supersede China & Vietnam in wood furniture exports because of cheaper rubberwood raw material and cheaper immigrant labour. In any country, immigrant labour always work harder than local labour... like the Malaysia's plantation industry in the 90s' where eventually the local labour get displaced.
Business is encouragingly good and labour shortage is less an issue as mentioned by factory manager when I asked. Chairman is quite blurred on issues on rubber planting business, RPT of factory land and labour shortage.

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2017-06-14 10:26 | Report Abuse

Ty-Koon didn't say wood furniture exports is a sunset industry... he requested for more volume n excitement n higher price as he could not sell much. He suggested to Liihen to use cashpile to invest into JAKS but was shot down by Hays of Pangolin Fund. Another shareholder (the long-haired guy wearing sandals) identifying himself as a fund mgr said furniture is a sunset industry and related it like the palm oil industry that is able to turn it around if they can do something about it. A sunset could mean to me as sitting on my patio enjoying beer or tea when the Sun is setting knowing everything runs like clockwork n dividends n cash is growing, albeit not so rapidly (that is, not as rapid like Priceworth that can forecast a 100M gain in 2018).
After the visit to the HQ n factory sites n seeing the Evergreen containers, I asked MD Chua quietly how is Q2 & Q3 biz volume compared to Q1. He said better than Q1... he should know as his orders are made 120 days ahead....

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2017-06-08 10:48 | Report Abuse

If after two years, this airline cannot turnaround for consistent performance and share price languishing at 41 sen, it is about time that Tony look for another 'Peter Bellew' to run AAX...

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2017-06-08 10:38 | Report Abuse

For accountability of the Safitex bad debts since FY15, all Board members including the Chairman & CEO have to be replaced as soon as possible... else shareholders confidence will deteriorate further

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2017-06-08 10:26 | Report Abuse

With lots of funds, he can push up or down for quick gains, see what Ty-Koon can do wonders to XingQuan... 'tis better the BOD of Liihen listen more to him

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2017-06-08 10:21 | Report Abuse

Ty-Koon is not concerned on safety in stock investments, he has funds to last him a few lifetimes....he just wants to show you older people are smarter when it comes to making quick gains in the market.

Just hoping that there is no black swans in Sendai & Jaks to spoil his partying...

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2017-06-03 11:04 | Report Abuse

Revenue for 1Q2017 is 173M/qtr. As the US Employment & housing Starts statistics is on an upward trend, you can probably expect increasing demand & sales (as seen in the increasing Malaysian export data).
Liihen's Revenue for 2017 can attain 690-720M (170-180M x4qtrs). At 720M, this an increase of 100M over 2016's revenue (same effort was shown from revenue increase of 120M from FY2015 to FY2016).
Accordingly, you can expect the Market cap to increase by 100M to 676M or RM3.80/shr.
So, there is still some upside to appreciation while you spend your dividends every qtr.
'tis better that Ty-Koon spoils the party now rather than later...........

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2017-06-02 10:21 | Report Abuse

Letter to the BOD...those attending AGM can relay this msg

What2Do:
1. New markets in Europe, M-East & W-Asia. Get on board Alibaba Online Furniture Biz.
2. Expansion of factories
3. Fast expansion by mergers & acquisitions. Use your cash reserves to buy competitors & other innovative furniture companies
4. Focus on logistics & automation to streamline costs & improve your competitiveness

WhatNot2Do:
1. Do not venture into planting rubber for rubberwood own supply. Rubberwood is cheapest in Malaysia vs China, Thailand, Cambodia or Vietnam. There is no shortage, only price.
If wood prices are up, furniture prices also up. Planting rubber do not add value. Plantation project is a 12yr+ payback period. It does not add value to your furniture business. In fact, you can source better quailty rubberwood from others.
2. Do not buy land for factory site - it does not add value & is another 10 yr payback project. Furniture factories can operate any place in Muar Johor. Location is not an issue, logistics is.

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2017-05-31 21:46 | Report Abuse

I am against directors lining their pockets....

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2017-05-30 17:33 | Report Abuse

It should be fair for all if Liihen can reward all shareholders with a 20M special dividends at the same time the directors gain 20M from the PRT factory land transaction...

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2017-05-30 00:28 | Report Abuse

This recent related party transaction to buy the industrial site is not necessary...The purchase price is RM19.7 M. The savings are from the rentals that Liihen is paying to the owners (also the directors) is about RM2 M/yr. Therefore it's 10 yr payback.
Why need to buy a space for a factory site, rent will do.. multinationals do not buy the land where they operate factories, they just rent. Business can change and factory sites can also change.... all Liihen need is a space for equipment & workers for factories, preferably near the port.
The factory land in Muar also has low value n low rate of appreciation compared to Klang or JB.
The argument that purchase of land will prevent disruption of business is not valid. Liihen should have an option to move to other factory sites where rentals are much cheaper. To prevent PRT, it is better not to use or buy directors's properties as property valuations are not in the minority shareholders interest, only directors.

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2017-05-30 00:27 | Report Abuse

This recent related party transaction to buy the industrial site is not necessary...The purchase price is RM19.7 M. The savings are from the rentals that Liihen is paying to the owners (also the directors) is about RM2 M/yr. Therefore it's 10 yr payback.
Why need to buy a space for a factory site, rent will do.. multinationals do not buy the land where they operate factories, they just rent. Business can change and factory sites can also change.... all Liihen need is a space for equipment & workers for factories, preferably near the port.
The factory land in Muar also has low value n low rate of appreciation compared to Klang or JB.
The argument that purchase of land will prevent disruption of business is not valid. Liihen should have an option to move to other factory sites where rentals are much cheaper. To prevent PRT, it is better not to use or buy directors's properties as property valuations are not in the minority shareholders interest, only directors.

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2017-05-27 19:00 | Report Abuse

After EverSendai 2017Qtr1 results & TA Analyst's comments
"After revising the earnings estimates and rolling forward our valuation
base year to CY18, we reduce the target price from RM0.68 to RM0.58,
based on 6x CY18 EPS. This is after applying 2x PE multiple discount to
our target PE multiple of 8x. The discount is in view of sizeable collectibles
in the oil and gas division. Downgrade the stock from HOLD to SELL as we
think the share price have run ahead of its fundamentals.

Just wondering now whether Ty-Koon will sell down Sendai and move to export stocks...

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2017-05-26 10:25 | Report Abuse

Can you imagine how LHen will fly when Ty-Koon finishes with selling?

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2017-05-23 09:51 | Report Abuse

perhaps the BOD should listen to KYY about the issue of warrants, else he'll continue to sell and move away...

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2017-05-19 10:11 | Report Abuse

Hevea is a good wood export bizness but makes wrong move to spend 10M on a mushroom project just because some guy thought they got a lot of rotting sawdust that they can make use of. Leave mushroom growing to the small farmers... they know best and stick to what you know best..i.e. boring wood.
If you follow what MYEG does (buying Eat Food & Drink KL) & Supermax spending 65M on contact lens project... sure investors will know you do not know what you are doing...

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2017-05-18 19:12 | Report Abuse

Bing hopes may come true. EverSendai has retraced 19% in past 4 days... maybe KYY selling Sendai n buying back wood export industries. He said " I also sell too early to take profit" on the 'mistake of selling when the price is rising' in Aug 15, 2016. Of course, in his own words, he realised 'The danger of buying construction contracting company shares' esp if most of contracts are in India & M-east...

Keep your Liihen & Hevea shrs... it got real dividends n growing, not like 'Bandar Malaysia' stocks

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2017-05-17 09:44 | Report Abuse

Dear Patrick13, I hope you're part of Liihen. The option you have to decide is whether you want Liihen to be a family bizness or a corporate bizness. As you have listed, you need to move away from the family bizness & the small goodies that you enjoy. As corporate directors, you need to create more deals, mergers, negotiations, etc. not just buying estate land n planting rubber like farmers do. Set up an office in KL & Singapore & Dubai to look for customers all over.... employ more MBA professionals. Current employees only got MBWA (Mgt By Walking Around)... not good enough.
We got a lot of tropical and rubber wood here in this country Malaysia. Don't waste your time planting trees.... you can't do what real farmers do or don't know how

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2017-05-17 09:16 | Report Abuse

only today you've stopped pondering and start to move... it's about time
In risks, there is excitement.... so, BOD create some excitement, else I'll move on

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2017-05-17 00:29 | Report Abuse

On 2 Jun, 2016 Liihen shr price was RM3.20 and after 1 whole year still at this price or less, what gives? Furniture business is good, USD more than 4.10, no factories on fire, etc.
I guess maybe Directors are not performing or some just busy collecting rentals from their factory bldgs. The company must grow every qtr and so is the shr price. If directors do not perform as expected, investors will eventually move away, then this whole listed business is not sustainable. Why list then if Directors reluctant to move from just giving dividends? You got to feed your investors with news, warrants or bonus issues frequently.... else it will become another one boring wood company

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2017-05-15 22:05 | Report Abuse

In Feb2017, Malaysia's exports grew 27% yoy to 71.7 B and Mar2017's exports was a new milestone for Malaysia as it grew 24%yoy to 82.6 B. It was the first time Malaysia exports ever exceed 80 B. This is the fourth consecutive month since Dec2016 that Malaysia's has a double digit growth in exports...
Anyone knows the % increase in furniture exports in Feb & Mar ?

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2017-05-09 12:24 | Report Abuse

IWH needs to divorce from China Rail and then marry China Wanda..... to continue with Bandar Malaysia as master developer. Still got time as there are no takers for master developer so far...
http://www.reuters.com/article/malaysia-scandal-wanda-idUSL4N1IB140?feedType=RSS&virtualBrandChannel=11563

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2017-05-06 11:23 | Report Abuse

To warrants holders, a Kenanga staff once told me that Warrant Issuers will always win (like in a casino)... so forget about breaking the bank.
To FGV holders, like Bahar said.. likely price will swing below 1.65...because no more election play (TRX setback), no good CPO price and no turnaround measures taken.... same old same old using news to stir up prices... sad!

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2017-05-06 11:02 | Report Abuse

anyone attending AGM? pls tell BOD to forget about rubber estate & planting... leave it to the planters. Liihen is good at making bed furniture, stick to your furniture business. Raw material prices go up&down, concurrently you change your furniture prices. The wood from your rubber estate is never enough for your furniture business. Tell BOD to think big on expansion (new demand & production) on what you do best...

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2017-05-04 18:07 | Report Abuse

From KYY's own words in his blog written on 15Aug 2017
...http://koonyewyin.com/2016/08/15/the-mistake-of-selling-when-the-price-is-rising/

"...Fortunately, I admitted my mistake of selling early and bought back to become substantial shareholders of these 3 companies.

As you can see, Lii Hen has been producing increasing profit in the last 8 quarters and its earning per share (EPS) was 11.68 sen in 1st Q 2017 in comparison with 5.97 sen 1st Q 2016. If you have sold earlier, it is advisable to buy back now at around Rm 3.08 per share.

You must ask yourself these questions:

In the last 2 years, did you buy any of them?
If you have bought, when did you sell?
And did you buy back at higher prices?... "

So, If KYY has been selling at RM3.08 today, then his ethical preaching has flew out of the window...

I am still wondering who is selling at 3.08 today ?

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2017-05-02 19:32 | Report Abuse

After Felda pulled out its settlers' estates, FGV just move from managing one unproductive plantation to manage another unproductive plantation in Kalimantan (PT Eagle,PT Ganda,etc.).
Ask yourself, can FGV Mgt capable to turnaround plantations' performance? any track record?
So, where are the potential earnings?

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2017-05-02 19:02 | Report Abuse

Some will sell export stocks like gloves and wood because of US Dollar weakening against Ringgit.... but this is only temporary. Where are the drivers for a strengthening Ringgit ?
....unless Gov't demand exporters to return 90% of export sales (currently 75%)
..... don't see much consumption and employment stats to support a bustling Economy

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2017-05-02 18:52 | Report Abuse

If you read the 2016 Annual Report pg 150 under List of Material Landed Properties, the last property is a 9049 sq m. factory bldg acquired in Apr 2016. Then look at pg 7 on Operational Developments, it is stated by Mgt that factory will be operational by 2017 and capacity will be increased by 10%.
Maybe KYY knows about expansion, I dunno.....but he sold before report released

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2017-05-02 09:34 | Report Abuse

KYY sold 2M shrs before 2016 Annual Report was out. He may be mistaken as Liihen is expanding its operations in 2017 with new factory bot in Apr2016.

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2017-05-01 01:07 | Report Abuse

My 2 sen contribution...

(1) Felda is a basically a land development scheme initiated in 1955 to settle the rural poor so they could earn from plantation crop (at the same time to clear the jungle as the communist terrorists were hiding there). It was a very successful Settlers' land development scheme such that loans to World Bank, ADB, Saudi,Kuwait & Japan Funds were paid back ahead of schedule.
By 2010, Felda have settled some 120,000 families in some 300+ schemes over 450,000 hectares of rubber & oil palm plantations and accumulated more than 5 B Ringgit of investment fund.

(2) Somehow and sometime in 2011, some smart one suggested IPO (FGV) and several new investments in some downstream activities like refineries in palm oil, sugar, rape seed, rubber, sturgeon, cafes, etc. They added mediocre plantations in Pontian, Sarawak, Trengganu, Kalimantan, etc. with growing conditions that unable to sustain high yields. Issues with RSPO starts to arise when it is accused of clearing primary jungle forests and peat to plant oil palms in Indonesia and Sarawak.

(1) and (2) has to separate... else if together, it may eventually sink...

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2017-03-24 09:33 | Report Abuse

Ring, palm oil quality & ffa do not increase\ot deteriorate if you keep the storage tanks heated. Even when ffa is above 5% (when harv rds are high), most Cos blend batches of oil to keep ffs below 4% to distribute. Nobody throws crude palm oil away...

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2017-03-20 12:18 | Report Abuse

Short-term Target for FGV is RM3.00.
1. New investors buying stake in FGV
2. FGV-PT Eagle JV on upstream biz
3. FGV-Cofco on China distribution biz
4. Higher crop production, CPO prices, Rubber prices in 2017
5. 2017 annual report for a bumper year

Malaysian are only world-best in one thing only.... planting oil palms
and nobody has lost money growing oil palms unless it is stolen

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2017-03-06 20:57 | Report Abuse

on % warrants not held by issuer, check Bursa announcements 1st week of month, see http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/structured-warrants/5357825

Kenanga only hold 17% of C16

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2017-02-28 13:29 | Report Abuse

FGV net profit 4Q16 is 110M... so FGV out of ICU, now in Ward 6 recovering and recuperating.. should be out of hospital by mid 2017

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2017-02-27 16:34 | Report Abuse

... so tomorrow is a suspense or a suspension ?!

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2017-02-23 17:34 | Report Abuse

...if by Friday close, no Qtr4 financial report....
then most likely by Monday, the counter will be suspended
... just wait for breaking news