probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

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Stock

2021-06-11 17:14 | Report Abuse

yes, agreed windy1974

Stock

2021-06-11 17:11 | Report Abuse

and that is at full manpower utilization

even if use the whole work of 1770 people (which includes admin & internal workshop which should be exculded), at max you can get 300m per qtr


Revenue of billion completely does not make sense...

but i am appalled by how ignorant analyst are also...

Stock

2021-06-11 17:09 | Report Abuse

i believe their service engineers who actually work on call basis , would have a max charge of Eur 400 per day

take 600 fellows on avg x 90 days per qtr you get service revenue of:

= max 90m per qtr...

Stock

2021-06-11 17:05 | Report Abuse

makes sense, we have another way to check what is more realistic revenue...

Posted by Windy1974 > Jun 11, 2021 5:03 PM | Report Abuse

Yes. The greatest strength is to find out and admit our own mistakes.
Serba 25% revenue from Malaysia? Even that i am doubtful. How much is Dayang's revenue in Malaysia? 1B? Serba is smaller in Malaysia than Dayang, how to do 1B?
The biggest O&G companies in Malaysia namely Sapura & MMHE only roughly do RM1B per year for Malaysia business.
For Serba business in Malaysia, RM100-200M would be a more realistic figure. You just have to look at few years before their listing to get an idea.
For those who think they are supporting BUMI company, think twice. Karim is a Chinese.
When it comes to crook, many in KLSE are Chinese. BTW, i am chinese too

Stock

2021-06-11 16:56 | Report Abuse

we never know how price will behave for SCIB, Kpower etc...perhaps already priced in

but one thing for sure - serba had been making myr billions of fake transaction

Stock

2021-06-11 16:53 | Report Abuse

yeah , it became fake first before selling not the other way like many sifus in i3 do...he he

Posted by CharlesT > Jun 11, 2021 4:51 PM | Report Abuse

Posted by Windy1974 > Jun 11, 2021 4:48 PM | Report Abuse

probability. Their website looks dodgy but base on what you alleged they don't exist?

When he still hold SCIB then it is real

When he didnt hold SCIB anymore then it's fake

Stock

2021-06-11 16:52 | Report Abuse

but of course we do not how serba's price will move from current level

i believe the revenue from Petronas is all real...

Stock

2021-06-11 16:51 | Report Abuse

yes, no company in UAE where you cannot find from google map

they are using fake address and building which does not exist

and phone number who no one answer even when called from UAE at any working hours

Posted by Windy1974 > Jun 11, 2021 4:48 PM | Report Abuse

probability. Their website looks dodgy but base on what you alleged they don't exist?

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2021-06-11 16:34 | Report Abuse

yes no choice but to sell SCIB too

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2021-06-11 16:26 | Report Abuse

we investigate we learn and we change...as long is one is honest in their opinion

Stock

2021-06-11 16:26 | Report Abuse

PLEASE BE WARNED!


Posted by probability > Jun 11, 2021 4:23 PM | Report Abuse X

Just verified that Najmat al Maisan LLC does not even exist physically. They have a fake website.

Serba is 100% confirmed fraud.

Stock

2021-06-11 16:24 | Report Abuse

its a stock definitely will go to PN17

majorshareholder will only dispose going forward

Stock

2021-06-11 16:23 | Report Abuse

Just verified that Najmat al Maisan LLC does not even exist physically. They have a fake website.

Serba is 100% confirmed fraud.

Stock

2021-06-11 16:23 | Report Abuse

This is disaster company, not worth to put a penny

Stock

2021-06-11 16:22 | Report Abuse

Just verified that Najmat al Maisan LLC does not even exist physically. They have a fake website.

Serba is 100% confirmed fraud.

Stock

2021-06-07 20:55 | Report Abuse

this is 100% true, all companies are trying to delay payments as long as possible for cash flow reasons since mid 2020

Posted by Hotstuff > Jun 7, 2021 8:49 PM | Report Abuse

Of the high receivables, Abdul Karim says in reply to a WhatsApp query, “Compared to the total revenues, it’s acceptable. The Covid-19 lockdown in other countries is posing a real challenge to get prompt payments. [So far, there has been] no indication of bad debts.”

Stock

2021-06-07 20:36 | Report Abuse

next qtr earnings will be explosive

thats why Syed Mokhtar wants to acquire before the results out

Stock

2021-06-07 20:35 | Report Abuse

No sell tomorrow guys, lets see how high it can go

News & Blogs

2021-06-07 20:11 | Report Abuse

Meanwhile, in a brief phone conversation, Serba Dinamik’s managing director and CEO Datuk Mohd Abdul Karim Abdullah laments what he perceives as the unfairness of the whole issue with KPMG. “It’s not fair; we have been transparent, we have been in constant contact with Bursa [Malaysia], our shareholders, [as per] our responsibility.

“They [KPMG] have been our auditors for seven years. Why now, suddenly [have they raised these issues]?” he questions.

“[Serba Dinamik] is intact. We have strong fundamentals; we will ride this out. I’m also bound by the legal framework,” he adds, explaining that he is not at liberty to elaborate on the issues.

News & Blogs

2021-06-07 19:10 | Report Abuse

so either they have it or dont, since this discussion has way passed 31Dec

looks like they dont have a proper monitoring system in place

News & Blogs

2021-06-07 19:01 | Report Abuse

i did not get what SD mean by saying vouch by wednesday, that sounds like just within days they can revert on it

stocktake on something taken place on the past? Or are they trying to retrieve stocktake data taken earlier..

i cant comment much on this without knowing the specifics

News & Blogs

2021-06-07 18:17 | Report Abuse

Business under Covid 19 is changing very fast ma....Mah sing already making profit from nitrile gloves liao!

Stock

2021-06-07 18:16 | Report Abuse

Business under Covid 19 is changing very fast ma....Mah sing already making profit from nitrile gloves liao!

Stock

2021-06-07 18:15 | Report Abuse

Talk to Serba la...why hide yourself with the auditors in AC room

News & Blogs

2021-06-07 18:14 | Report Abuse

They had extended the FY by another qtr right? The audit is for the extended period from 31Dec 2020 right?

Stock

2021-06-07 18:10 | Report Abuse

wouldn't it be easier to ask Najmat to show the services they had provided on the IT related service instead of just checking on their website?

is KPMG afraid if they call up Najmat on this, Najmat will quickly change their website to IT related services?? LOL....

Stock
News & Blogs

2021-06-07 17:25 | Report Abuse

is KPMG adamant that the docs has to be as per standard practice?

Have they spent time to sincerely heed advice as per SD, giving benefit of doubt to SD?

presenting the image taken of the laborer's house in Bahrain instead of checking with serba first (over a phone call) on possible wrong location... speaks volumes on the state of mind of these auditor

Stock

2021-06-07 17:24 | Report Abuse

is KPMG adamant that documentation has to be as per standard practice?

Have they spent time to sincerely heed advice as per SD, giving benefit of doubt to SD?

presenting the image taken of the labourer's house in Bahrain instead of checking with serba first (over a phone call) on possible wrong location... speaks volumes on the state of mind of these auditor

News & Blogs

2021-06-07 15:40 | Report Abuse

simple logic - if SD really wants to do money laundering at such large scale they would have made sure these entities look extremely professional to avoid any doubts by any parties...

but that was not the case...and was not the intention

News & Blogs

2021-06-07 15:32 | Report Abuse

Knowing how middle east companies work...Invoices appear like kindergarten standard and large transaction using companies with simple e-mail addresses with one man show...i can see how Serba Dinamik had adopted the Saudi Bedouins culture....

after all we have locals here who copycat everything practiced by the saudis ...with brains to support Hamas...

we can see how professional our govn is...

News & Blogs

2021-06-07 15:24 | Report Abuse

This kind of question and answer can pull the share price by 60% kah? LOL...

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2021-06-06 21:08 | Report Abuse

i can really imagine how Kadier whould have felt like seeing this kind of queries from KPMG....

Stock

2021-06-06 21:07 | Report Abuse

well i am not free to discuss about individuals who add no value on ascertaining what is the truth between KPMG - SD arguments

Stock

2021-06-06 21:03 | Report Abuse

windy1974...who knows you could be on the same network of auditor friends...with simple business analysis by looking at financial statements

Stock

2021-06-06 21:01 | Report Abuse

the presentation material (KPMG - SD coumminicaton) was dated 5th May, Jon (ex-auditor) was talking with conviction that he dont trust SD (an MNC with billions annual revenue) on financial figures especially from Qatar on 19th May...much ahead of media release on the issue.

Easy to connect the lines...

Posted by Sslee > Jun 6, 2021 8:42 PM | Report Abuse

@probability stop personal attack. Auditors are just doing their job. If your documentations are incompleted with typo error the fault is on you.

Stock

2021-06-06 20:36 | Report Abuse

I request all i3 members to download the powerpoint presentation showing KPMG query & SERBA's reply and judge yourself who will be in the right eventually.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/595333804730641/permalink/831207167809969/

Stock

2021-06-06 20:35 | Report Abuse

I request all i3 members to download the powerpoint presentation showing KPMG query & SERBA's reply and judge yourself who will be in the right eventually.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/595333804730641/permalink/831207167809969/

Stock

2021-06-06 20:35 | Report Abuse

I request all i3 members to download the powerpoint presentation showing KPMG query & SERBA's reply and judge yourself who will be in the right eventually.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/595333804730641/permalink/831207167809969/

Stock

2021-06-06 20:24 | Report Abuse

this whole suspicion was triggered by Jonathan Choi aka ChoivoCapital which influenced his friends who are likely the auditors of KPMG dealing with SD.....when you see things in an irrational bias - suspicion..everything will look the way you want it..

Stock

2021-06-06 20:21 | Report Abuse

I think someone should post the powerpoint presentation in i3....

SD will use a labourer's address in Bahrain to deal is it? what kind of common sense this auditors have liao...

Stock

2021-06-06 20:16 | Report Abuse

this bunch of auditors who has no practical business experience seem to be on hyper mode to suspect everything ...and they think everything can be verified just by looking at the numbers in financial statements...

Stock

2021-06-06 20:14 | Report Abuse

what has happen between KPMG and SD...is exactly how Jonathan Choi debates with Philip...

i have a strong suspicion that KPMG auditor is one of Jon's friends as an ex-auditor...this explains why he can convincingly attack SD during his interview on 19th May much ahead of this issue coming to the media spotlight....

really nerd auditors exactly like Jon

Stock

2021-06-06 20:13 | Report Abuse

Thanks for sharing ALANCHEE, everything mentioned there is exactly as i had imagined...

the auditors brain is exactly like Jonathan choi's...suspect things like a fagg*t..

Posted by ALANCHEE78 > Jun 6, 2021 7:54 PM | Report Abuse

https://www.facebook.com/groups/595333804730641/permalink/831207167809969/

Stock

2021-06-06 20:07 | Report Abuse

Thanks for sharing ALANCHEE, everything mentioned there is exactly as i had imagined...

the auditors brain is exactly like Jonathan choi's...suspect things like a fagg*t..

Posted by ALANCHEE78 > Jun 6, 2021 7:54 PM | Report Abuse

https://www.facebook.com/groups/595333804730641/permalink/831207167809969/

Stock

2021-06-06 19:35 | Report Abuse

any services accrued to particular purchase order which are not completed (i.e ready for Invoicing), will be book under work in progress (WIP), be it the services taken place at SD's office, or at client's site..... as long as its related to the purchase order, it has no choice but to sit as inventory

e.g, you spend 9 days for quarantine at the hotel in Qatar before executing job, and 200 days at Qatargas site, and return to Sarawak with another 10 days quarantine, and yet your accounts have not invoiced Qtargas, all the cost incurred for travelling, board & lodging will still be sitting as inventory...



Posted by Mikecyc > Jun 6, 2021 7:28 PM | Report Abuse

Haha WIP work in progress parts is belong to Supplier .. not delivered to site yet ...

Stock

2021-06-06 19:23 | Report Abuse

Root cause of all issues, c19

- improper docs both from SD and clients causing suspicion and inaccessibility for verification, due to work from home adaptation in middle east region
- high inventory ( in the form of intangible WIP not GIT) due to excessive quarantine duration of service engineer, delaying invoicing

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