probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

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User Comments
Stock

2019-10-12 23:05 | Report Abuse

thanks pjseow, you too!

Stock

2019-10-12 16:48 | Report Abuse

Mr.Koon, i think you should now start allowing people to comment on your blogs. Nobody will give harsh stupid comments nowdays....its good for the brain to have two way communications....instead one way (selectively).

News & Blogs

2019-10-12 16:44 | Report Abuse

Calvin, can you post Koon's recent blog on his reply to recommended stocks. May be we all can recommend it in i3....

Stock

2019-10-12 16:38 | Report Abuse

I think Monday it will definitely break RM 2. Simply because it has come bloody this far.....

Stock
News & Blogs

2019-10-12 14:22 | Report Abuse

wondering if sudden rise in liquidity on Monday will raise selling force more than buying on Monday..

as the rise earlier was in anticipation of the positive effects of liquidity (market had already priced the good news)

good time to buy if it drops significantly

Stock

2019-10-12 13:08 | Report Abuse

Made 100% gain here (but lost a lot elsewhere), thanks to your guidance pjseow and many other undisclosed sifus (teoct, coolio, etc)

i had to exit due to margin of safety tolerance (but this is all subjective).

my sincere appreciations to all

Posted by pjseow > Oct 12, 2019 8:51 AM | Report Abuse

Dayang is the most volatile stock I have ever invested in my 20 years investment history . Within 8 months , it can swing up 100 % ,down 50 % from the peak and swing back more than 100 % from the low . It is not for the faint hearted . You need very strong conviction on the fundamentals of the company . Otherwise , you will be " eaten " by the big fish . Many perished during the May and June period after the Right Issue announcement and bad QOQ but good yoy Q1 result . It was considered as bad news then . Today these same news are considered as good news .

News & Blogs

2019-10-11 19:27 | Report Abuse

Cant take care of people in your own country...kepo on myanmar, israel, and india now on how they treat muslims for what? Idiot country

Stock

2019-10-11 17:26 | Report Abuse

one of the best recommendation from Koon...perhaps the only

Stock
Stock

2019-10-11 14:46 | Report Abuse

this will be the champion of all O&G stocks soon....

Stock

2019-10-11 14:44 | Report Abuse

either you buy now or never

Stock

2019-10-11 14:38 | Report Abuse

TP 1.73 given by Publicbank

Stock

2019-10-11 14:36 | Report Abuse

accelerated acquisitions...and IMO2020...Brent will soar in 2.5 months!

Aramco listing

Stock

2019-10-11 14:35 | Report Abuse

too much growth potential

Stock

2019-10-11 14:34 | Report Abuse

Time to whack Hibiscus!

News & Blogs

2019-10-06 20:37 | Report Abuse

Thanks to your feedback too sslee.

News & Blogs

2019-10-06 20:12 | Report Abuse

Just realized your reply Stockraider. Thanks

News & Blogs

2019-10-06 19:38 | Report Abuse

Hi Jason Toshi Ho, thanks for the attempt to explain...i totally agree with you on value creation - that is why we have GDP growth.

And money has to be in System as per the size of economy, else we will have deflation or inflation (if in excess). Its like addition of salt in growing stream of river (value) to maintain salinity level.

What i was actually trying to grasp was the mechanism the money is injected to the Circular flow of Money in a closed economy.

I am aware of the Interest Rate effects too.

As far i understand, either via reduction of interest rates or via quantitative easing by active purchasing of government bonds to inject money to the economy is still a BORROWING.

It is still a liability on a balance sheet of commercial bank (if it came from central bank via encouragement of borrowing, by interest rate reduction or even reduction of reserve ratio) or the bond issuer, where the borrowed money eventually has to be paid back from business profits.

If there no other way to inject it (i am not sure if there is), Revenue cannot indefinitely be higher than wages. It should balance to give net zero profit when the economy stops expanding.

This to me has a very deep ethical implication if one is truly concern for future generations.

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 21:27 | Report Abuse

economy appears like a growing child....and every time central bank injects money to the economy to avoid deflation, its like feeding food to his tummy for his hunger...

just that the child has to work later for paying back for the food given ahead...in the form of return from investment made from these borrowings.....

all sounds well as long he keeps growing...

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 20:21 | Report Abuse

If all government spending source is from taxation...then the only source of profit comes from pure Borrowings then... very much like what qqq3 said

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 20:13 | Report Abuse

thanks 3iii, i have done some self studying too from web info...

in a closed economy, there is no export or import or net export is zero, (X-M) = 0

that leaves GDP = Consumption + Investment from Savings + Government spending....(1)

and on Gross National Income, GNP = Income + Profit...(2)

Using equation (1) and (2), and at max possible Consumption rate , C = Income without any savings, the only source of Profit becomes Investment and Government expenditure then...

..................

GDP = C + I + G ...(1)
GNI = Inc + Profit...(2)

when C = Inc, at max consumption rate possible without any Savings. S = O...Investment from savings also becomes zero...

G = Profit

only source of Profit becomes Government expenditure or Investment from Savings or borrowings then...

that is why Investment by the Government or Central Bank injection is so crucial to sustain the capitalism game i guess

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 19:34 | Report Abuse

ahemm.....was guessing in that direction too..thanks for the little enlightening qqq3...sincerely.

feel free to enlighten more how the economy works....very interesting and essential to know indeed.

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 19:19 | Report Abuse

and yet we all talk about investment to make profit...

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 19:14 | Report Abuse

sifu raider, cheoky, 3ii, icon, qqq3...any of you can answer this?

businesses exist to make profit and all production from upstream to downstream has to derive the revenue eventually...from goods and services finally consumed by end consumer...

if the end consumer's source of income (source of money) is from the wages.....how can the revenue generated to businesses from their consumption ever be higher than the wages given to produce the consumables?

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 19:00 | Report Abuse

i hope profit is just not a 'zero sum' game...where another company necessarily makes a loss for another to make profit

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 18:57 | Report Abuse

sslee sifu, i have one very dumb question....

if all business collectively (economy-wide in a closed economy) makes profit, i.e total revenue is more than all the wages & cost of production...

from where is the money for profit coming from? Mass balance of the money does not make sense if one argues...the revenue is from the wages earned by the households.

........

any sifu can help to answer this disturbing fact? :(

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 13:10 | Report Abuse

one seeking cash....the other paying out as dividend

though such actions not necessarily indicate management's believe on their business future prospects...

its worth a deeper look i guess

News & Blogs

2019-10-05 12:45 | Report Abuse

isn't Carimin most similar business nature to Dayang?

News & Blogs

2019-10-01 13:48 | Report Abuse

yistock now legendary status

News & Blogs

2019-09-28 12:30 | Report Abuse

not no money to eat...lost appetite already...lol!

News & Blogs

2019-09-28 12:12 | Report Abuse

ha ha..just about to say that

Posted by David > Sep 28, 2019 12:06 PM | Report Abuse

The way ah Q licked mahtir balls, I don't think he is Chinese, he could be female and is one of the family members of mahtir. If Mahtir an Indian can disguised as Malay, as his members, Ah Q could be Indian/Malay follow his style to disguise as Chinese, thinking that she can fooled us.

News & Blogs

2019-09-28 12:11 | Report Abuse

but most these points are not new...i think PH is the new factor in picture causing market become paralyzed..

their policy, decision keeps changing....no strong strategy giving hope of a brighter malaysia

LGE is a faggot...Dr. M is a dominating asshole..Maszlee a brainless shit...

I see only a few brains like Jomo...there are many brainy businessman...but they seem to be more interested in short term self interests...

News & Blogs

2019-09-28 12:04 | Report Abuse

nice article, thanks salvador

Stock

2019-09-26 20:10 | Report Abuse

almost 10% below PP, its like PP on PP

Stock

2019-09-24 20:49 | Report Abuse

walao eh..director himself acquired today!

Stock

2019-09-22 19:11 | Report Abuse

tomorrow collapse

Stock

2019-09-20 13:54 | Report Abuse

Petronas posted RM121bil revenue, net profit at RM28.9bil for 1H

By by FARAH ADILLA - September 20, 2019 @ 1:23pm

https://www.nst.com.my/business/2019/09/522878/petronas-posted-rm121bil-revenue-net-profit-rm289bil-1h

Stock

2019-09-20 12:59 | Report Abuse

they will reap more profit from maintenance than the capital purchase by govt...

nigeria JV even at 50% stake...for 200 over million population...its 3 times the size of Malaysia

Stock

2019-09-20 12:55 | Report Abuse

Govt approves RM73mil to install CCTVs in all police lockups
NATION
Friday, 20 Sep 2019

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2019/09/20/govt-approves-rm73mil-to-install-cctvs-in-all-police-lockups

Stock

2019-09-20 12:54 | Report Abuse

Govt approves RM73mil to install CCTVs in all police lockups
NATION
Friday, 20 Sep 2019

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2019/09/20/govt-approves-rm73mil-to-install-cctvs-in-all-police-lockups

Stock

2019-09-20 12:50 | Report Abuse

above 1 coming...

Stock

2019-09-19 00:53 | Report Abuse

next week for sure below 60 usd/brl

Stock

2019-09-17 22:18 | Report Abuse

firstly...i dont think their production was affected 50% in the first place...Saudi's use this opportunity to sell bulk at high price...and then short kaw kaw...

i think reality is less than 10% affected...and they will revive within weeks...the flame of fire was just too small to consider as catastrophic

smart ass

Stock

2019-09-17 22:14 | Report Abuse

64 USD now...before even the manager instruct the rig operator to raise output price collapse already...sad.

Stock
Stock

2019-09-17 21:56 | Report Abuse

Its 65 now just in 2 hrs...from 69 usd/brl.

appears like 60 USD/brl wont take a week to reach.

Stock

2019-09-17 19:43 | Report Abuse

how to miss boat...when there is hole to sink it....it will surely return back to the shore