So any idea next week

Look like critical time

Up or drop again

ring Perisai have dropped about 47 percent and moreover their contractual terms and rates were intact and NOT tied to oil prices....d same goes to Suma I think...epf etc r buying.Fund managers will be back in action after seasonal holidays..lets see what happens next week?
04/01/2015 09:56


Not tie to oil price???

What mean???

Then same with petronas too????

Petronas= sumatec= perisai???

How tomorrow


Can go in?

DreamHunter Just think of those dudes who bought at 28.5 sen, then sold in panic and at loss at 18.5 sen.

Our prayers go to them.

Who knows, maybe even Oxygen/6969 is one of them.
03/01/2015 14:09


Still can up to 0.30??

Think will up to 65-80

This indicator gave warnings to the early 2000 top and crash by over two years, but it also presented signals much closer to the late 2007 top and crash. Take note that it also fell less sharply just ahead of that serious 20% correction in 2011.

High-yield bonds are starting to spike again (which points down in this inverse version) with falling oil prices and concerns over defaults in the fracking and energy sectors that I’ve covered in recent articles.

If this indicator keeps falling a bit, we could see another minor correction just ahead. If it turns back up that would be bullish and confirm higher prices, which seems more likely.

When it starts to turn down more sharply this bubble should be very close to over. That could occur in January, but more likely around March forward of 2015.

It looks like oil prices are fishing for a short-term bottom around $49 to $50. If it bounces for a few months, which is likely, then this indicator should move back up and stock prices could keep edging up towards 2,175 or higher on that S&P 500 channel above.

Then again, oil looks like it’s heading towards $32 in the coming months, with no support below the present level, there is heavy resistance between $75 and $80 where oil broke down out of a long channel recently.

I’ll be looking for oil to rally back towards $64 to $75 and then start heading down again as the first leading indicator. I’ll also be looking for this inverse high-yield spread to head back down more sharply as the second signal of an impending peak possibly looming on the horizon.

Oil crashes again, high-yield bond rates spike higher and stocks start to crash. That’s the most likely scenario ahead.

We’ll be watching and keep you posted.

Got positive n negative news


Good sign

低油價 將使全球獲益 但恐低不長久
2015/01/02 22:55 鉅亨網編譯郭照青

2014年，油價下跌至五年低點。新年伊始，油價是否會再度下跌？

經濟學人主編富蘭克林(Daniel Franklin)認為，低油價將會持續一陣子。這對消費者是好消息。

低油價意味汽車加油與家庭取暖支出將減少。省下的錢歸於消費者，有利振興經濟。富蘭克林認為，這有助推升世界經濟。「整體而言，這對世界經濟可能有利。好處大多會落在富有國家，他們生產與消費都最多。」

低油價當能改善美國經濟，幾個陷困境歐洲國家亦將獲益。

這是好的一面，當然也有壞的一面。低油價將使得部份經濟體受創。「原油生產國將因而受創，他們的收入，大多依賴原油。某些國家，如委內瑞拉，有違約風險。最困頓的，可能是俄羅斯。西方國家的制裁已使其經濟遭遇嚴重問題，」富蘭克林說。原油佔俄羅斯出口的半數。已然面臨貨幣下跌的普丁總統，可能見到俄羅斯經濟進一步惡化。

但富蘭克林預期油價終將反彈。他指出：「油價終將反彈，因為投資減少，周期將再度擺盪回來。隨著時間，因缺少投資，生產不足將開始出現。」

油價漲勢會多快，那些國家將獲益或受創，將是2015年的經濟觀察重點。

油價低點何在？分析師：可能每桶約30美元
2015/01/03 00:02 鉅亨網編譯郭照青

提防下檔！油價的挫跌走勢可能尚未結束。

根據CNNMoney分析報導，周三，原油價格再度受創，跌破每桶53美元，至大衰退以來所未見低點。這讓人很難想像，僅僅於7月時，油價猶高於每桶100美元。

很少有人預見到能源的跌勢即將到來。現在，跌勢已來到眼前，分析師警告，油價可能再度下跌，因為動能依舊呈現下降趨勢。

「如果目前的水準無法守住，油價可能下跌至2008年底與2009年初水準--約每桶30美元。這種情況，沒有理由不會發生，」Telvent DTN公司分析師紐桑(Darin Newsom)說。

這對美國總體經濟而言，將會是好消息，尤其消費者在加油時，就可節省荷包。如果油價跌至每桶約40美元，則美國汽油平均價格將來到每加侖約1.80美元。

然而，低油價也會壓縮石油業，包括高成本的美國頁岩油及加拿大油砂生產商。至今，能源業已宣布裁員達數千人。

油價為何如此之低？原油下挫，主要係因北美能源革命導致供給過多。

為打壓這些新的生產商，以維持市佔率，OPEC於11月底決議維持產量不變，供給過多問題因而惡化。

此外，由於中國大陸經濟減緩，世界對原油的胃口，已不再貪得無厭。中國大陸原油需求一直都大幅成長，但現在，成長率已降至個位數。

Nasdaq顧問公司分析師艾斯那(Tamar Essner)說：「中國大陸經濟正在成熟，對原油需求因而減少。」

美國與其他成熟經濟體，使用燃料已更具效益，也使得全球需求日益減緩。

近來利比亞供給中斷，但對油價並未造成衝擊。其實，油價還持續下跌。

這次並非原油價格首度大幅下跌。在1990年代末期，供給過多及亞洲經濟動盪，便曾讓油價大幅下挫。

現在與當時最大的不同在於，投資原油的人數已大幅增加。

油價資訊服務公司分析師柯羅澤(Tom Kloza)說，一旦投資人感到恐慌，並出脫持有部位，則油價盤旋下跌的機會就將大增。屆時，油價便可能見到35美元，甚至可能短暫見到25美元。2015年，什麼情況都有可能。

86868 Dream hunter... good one...

and Sumatec will fly high.....because Sumatec is a service provider...

Sumatec says .....I don't care if Oil Price is up or down....

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

It's like, if one could imagine the market being like a dude who could speak, then he is like now saying, 'Hey, what the frekkin heck! I am the frekkin market. Oil is just ONLY one frekkin global commodity among many. Now, starting from today, I am going to go wherever I frekkin please, regardless of that frekkin oil'.

Well, something like that.
02/01/2015 23:54




Then can go up lol

Possible 0.40 again ???

tklim Researcher info...oil price and stock market going separate ways......Let's see what happen next week onwards.....Take a look at all O & G stocks today......
02/01/2015 21:35


What mean???

Mean share market drop

Oil price up???

6 Pieces of Advice For 2015 From Warren Buffett By Lucy Mueller (Business Insider | Original Link) · On January 1, 2015

5. When Stock Prices Drop, Buy — Don’t Sell
It was a volatile year for the market and Buffett’s wealth; the investor lost about $2 billion in the course of several days in October when Coke and IBM took a hit after their quarterly earnings reports. Buffett kept calm, though, giving several interviews in which he explained why he was a fan of bear markets.

Granted, when you’ve got $63 billion to your name, this kind of a hit is lunch money. But, as the Oracle explained to CNBC, investors with itchy trigger fingers rarely succeed.

“I like buying it as it goes down, and the more it goes down, the more I like to buy. … If you told me that the market was going to go down 500 points next week, I would have bought those same businesses and stocks yesterday. I don’t know how to tell what the market’s going to do. I do know how to pick out reasonable businesses to own over a long period of time.”

Noraini Ismail DH ...me too wish I had the nujum eyes I did'nt expect price to drop this low......but my TA safe me quite a bit......so I start shorting for intraday gain......at first suffered some capital loss but after several shorting....the intraday gain pave the the chance to buy more at lower price..... I stop trading 2 weeks ago. Today I start accumulating.....hopefully price will not drop lower than 0.20......I will short if price break 0.20.....
02/01/2015 16:39


Noraini: still possible up to 0.40 for RI?

Happy new year

Coming up....

Noraini Ismail Today I'm shopping spree....time to accumulate.....targeting 5m units .......que 0.205 for 500k but makan 300k ....will hold 6months or till reach 0.30.......whichever earlier.....
02/01/2015 15:59



Good to heard it

Noraini

How about the signal now???


Any uptrend ???

I feel like going up soon

X
YkJohn11 Sumatec


Eat up please
02/01/2015 14:54
X
YkJohn11 Waiting for u

New year
02/01/2015 14:54


Yes


Coming coming steady

Waiting for u

New year

Sumatec


Eat up please

Oil rebound

DreamHunter RM24.6 mil profit from RM42.2 mil profit margin, thereby 58.2% profit margin, for Q3, 2014.

That is all the Hunter of Dreams needs to guide him. For now.
01/01/2015 21:11


So when going up to 0.30-0.40

How about Q4??
Profit 100% again?

Ring PETALING JAYA: Malaysian oil and gas (O&G) companies are not directly afflicted by the oil price volatility, as they are service providers with operations in various segments along the value chain, according to CIMB Research.“Service providers are not affected by the oil price volatility ....@Ring remember Suma also a Service Provider.
01/01/2015 11:54


Ring: this is super good news for new year

But can up tmrrw???

石油價格大戰 沙特是最強者
2014/12/31 15:25 鉅亨網新聞中心
(來源：北美新浪)

2014年接近尾聲時，中東爆發了一場新的鬥爭。值得慶幸的是，這次鬥爭不會沾染血腥之名，之后也不會留下寡婦和孤兒。它不會涉及失去的領土或是滯留的難民，也不是為了宗教或意識形態而戰。

這遠非一場常規戰爭，但是，它卻是一場為中東未來命運及其國際地位而展開的關鍵鬥爭。

我這裏指的是圍繞石油展開的鬥爭。石油資源為中東地區提供了戰略根基。在這一動蕩地區的地緣政治中，需要考量的因素不只是石油，但沒有什麼比石油更重要了。

領導這次鬥爭的是沙地阿拉伯。作為世界最大的石油出口國以及石油輸出國組織(Opec,中文簡稱“歐佩克”)長期以來的“老大哥”，沙特正在為其油氣之王的地位而鬥爭。保住這一地位不僅對沙特王國的經濟，而且對其作為海灣地區強國以及西方主要阿拉伯戰略盟友的角色至關重要。

事實證明，沙特不願意或者沒有能力遏制近幾個月來的油價下跌，而且圍繞沙特政府的動機，有很多激烈的爭論。沙特是在故意促成油價低迷，來摧毀其區域競爭對手伊朗的經濟嗎？抑或是參與了和美國的共同謀劃，以強化對俄羅斯的壓力？

結果證明，兩者都不是。沙特並沒放棄其傳統的石油戰略與外交政策相分離的政策，即使它可能樂於看到自身行為對立場不同的國家生副作用。

對沙特政府來，還有更重要的事情。為了保持過去一年裏展現出的更加自信的姿態，它要承受油價下跌帶來的很大風險。當前石油需求減弱，而供給增多，這主要歸因於美國頁岩開發潮。在這種形勢下，沙特希望維持其在世界石油市場的份額。

經過一段長時間而又神秘的沉默后，沙特經驗豐富的石油部長阿里納伊米(Ali Al-Naimi)在聖誕節前明確表示，通過拒絕減產(在非歐佩克油國不這樣做的情況下)，沙特在試圖向世界證明適者生存的道理。

而在這場較量中，沙特正是最強者，因為它的生產成本最低，債務也少，而且擁有超過7000億美元的龐大外匯儲備。

納伊米告訴業通訊《中東經濟調查》(Middle East Economic Survey)：沙特不僅要捍衛自己的市場份額；還宣告了“只有效率高的生產國才應該得到市場份額”。

納伊米解答了關於動機的難題。但他留下了一系列其他的待解之謎，有助解開這些謎題的線索將推動油價走勢，並決定沙特的策略能否成功。

《中東經濟調查》前編輯瓦利德卡杜裏(Walid Khadduri)說，納伊米有鋼鐵般的意志，他對自己選擇的任何戰略都有貫徹到底的決心。但他也在採取“一項有許多未解問題的政策，在這一政策中，沙特可以控制本國的產能，但無法左右其他一切”。

例如，目前還不知道沙特政府是否有一個價格底線，一旦這個底線被超越，它將願意減產。再就是沙特與其最親密的歐佩克阿拉伯成員伙伴能在多大程度上維持不減產的共識，因為一些伙伴並不能像沙特那樣強大到可以經受住財政損失。

也許最棘手的問題在於沙特內部。盡管收入顯著減少，沙特剛剛發布的2015年預算顯示總支出將略有增加，以緩解懷疑者對石油收入減少將引起經濟放緩的擔憂。

在沙特王室以外的技術官僚中，納伊米是最有影響力的，而且深得病中國王的信任。盡管商界頗有微詞，但有理由相信這樣一個關鍵決定是在王室高級成員相當廣泛的支持下做出的。

然而，與美國頁岩油的鬥爭可能是曠日持久的，這或將考驗沙特脆弱的國內共識。隨沙特外匯儲備的日漸消耗，它還能沉住氣多久呢？

(來源：FT中文網 譯者/申凱)

Big good news


Sumatec chart look like support


Waiting up to 0.28-0.30

Next year

Good support

So how??

Hold??

Who still hold?

Big news big news

Waiting

Ring Brent rises to output concerns
30 DECEMBER 2014 @ 12:49 AM

LONDON: Brent crude oil rose to US$60 per barrel yesterday, supported by concerns about disruption to output from Libya, but a global supply glut kept prices nearly 50 per cent off their peak for the year.
30/12/2014 07:34



57.99 now la.....mana up??

Any update big news relate RI???

Who can predict next week??

simon333 predict , small reformacy is going on in region , strong rebound for the window dressing before closed the 2014 year end .
27/12/2014 13:19


Simon:

Ur word all positive
But sumatec still pending

預算洩底！沙國估明年油價80美元 預算赤字390億美元
2014/12/26 14:25 鉅亨網編譯張正芊 綜合外電


沙烏地阿拉伯首都街景。(圖:AFP)

受到國際油價大跌影響，沙烏地阿拉伯財政部週四 (25 日) 預估，明年財政赤字將由今年的 540 億里亞爾暴增至 1450 億里亞爾 (390 億美元)。《彭博社》引述前沙國經濟顧問 John Sfakianakis 估計，這意味沙國很可能假設明年油價將達每桶 80 美元。

杜拜投資公司 Arqaam Capital 估計，沙國估計明年預算赤字將相當於國內生產毛額 (GDP) 的 5%。沙財政部預估，明年國家收入將銳減逾 30% 至 7150 億里亞爾，支出同樣也將由今年估計較原訂目標暴增 29% 的 1.1 兆里亞爾減至 8600 億里亞爾。

報導指出，石油占沙國去年國家收入的比例高達 89%。曾任沙國財政部首席經濟顧問的 Sfakianakis 指出，沙國對於今年油價的預設值是每桶 103 美元，而眾人原本預期沙政府會將明年預算預設的油價訂在 60 美元左右，但這將會對油市釋出負面訊息；因此今日預算書顯示，沙國表明他們預期油價將彈回 80 美元。

僅管石油輸出國組織 (OPEC) 僅次於沙國的第二大產油國伊拉克，在本週發布的明年財政預算書中預設屆時油價是 60 美元。但沙國石油部長 Ali Al-Naimi 本月 21 日已表示，他「100% 相信」油價將自目前低水準反彈，因為全球經濟成長加速將提振原油需求，加上生產成本較高的其他油企將減產。

為了因應政府收入減少，沙財政部表示，明年將「更努力」來刪減占政府支出 50%的薪資及津貼。《沙烏地通訊社》則引述沙國經濟部長 Mohammad Al-Jasser 報導，政府將透過舉債及動用外匯存底來填補明年的預算赤字。

Heard January will push up again

stonenut Guys libya oil terminal kenak attack.... oil price naik!
26/12/2014 19:25


Where link

From private message

If up to 75-80 next year early before march

All must run....

What is the real trigger? Obviously rapidly falling oil prices.

Recall that the greatest bubble burst I have seen in modern history was the oil crash from $147 to $32 in just over four months in mid- to late 2008. Oil is highly volatile and traded with high leverage.

Oil traded in a range of $75 to $115 for years and then broke out of that sharply, just like gold did in early 2013 (we had a strong sell signal in gold and silver in late April of 2011 right at the top for silver at $49). The first sharp drop was from $106 to $54 — $52 or near 50% in just 6 months with most of that in a matter of weeks!

Frackers have created an additional three million plus barrels per day in the recent fracking bubble and it’s been fueled by such cheap debt as it’s capital intensive to find new oil sources. Cheap money would make it far more attractive and create a bubble…

Surprise, surprise!

But here’s the dynamics. Most frackers break even between $55 and $85.

So there will be little or no new drilling or junk bond issuance after this recent drop. But the variable costs of “lifting” the oil out are only $10 to $20.

This means that present rigs will keep producing and the production bubble that took off in 2011 will continue into at least late 2015 before such wells start to max out as they only last two years on average.

This means supply will continue to expand for about a year while global growth continues to decelerate, and it’ll probably expand by even more than we forecasted through our demographic projection. This means oil will fall further in 2015, with another crash likely to bottom by September.

After breaking the key $75 to $80 levels in early November, the only support is at the late 2008 lows of $32. I expect oil to rally a bit into early 2015 back towards $72 to $80 and then to crash again.

This next crash is likely to start by late March, if not earlier.

Noraini:

From the chart

Look like going up again tmrrw

Waiting RI news

Waiting afternoon show

If hit higher then good show Soon

Target price 0.45

For RI

If right issue on

Target price may be 0.40-0.45

stonenut I dont see why sumatec a debt free comp cant reach Rm1.00 in near future...

kazakstan future looks good with China support.
20/12/2014 17:43

DreamHunter It will reach RM5 eventually, StoneNut. RM5, at least.

And by that time DreamHunter would hv managed to collect 10,000 big lots of Suma WB. At least.

Then he will leave it to that Oxygen @ LaughMeDie @ FartCryDie @ SureLaughDie @ FartLaughCry @ OptiMouse @ OptiMouth @ MusangFoxKing @ DoRaeMon @ TruthSeeker @ HappyTrradingz etc. etc. etc. diimwiit kiddy dikkhead dude to work out how much he would be worth that time.
20/12/2014 17:50



No wonder

PM Adik join sumatec???

X
YkJohn11 stonenut Sumate rm1.00 no problem d.. with china sign billions dollars deal with kazak...
kazak and sumatec will fly...najib bro will say bagus...
20/12/2014 13:06



Why kazak???

Any news?
20/12/2014 14:35

Ring http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/14/china-kazakhstan-idUSL3N0TY05320141214
20/12/2014 14:49

Ring China, Kazakhstan to sign $10 bln in deals including oil, infrastructure-Xinhua
20/12/2014 14:50

DreamHunter So, a delicious bit of Suma surprise show last week then, aye fellas?
20/12/2014 14:50


Then that is good news ????


Can go up next week??

Right issue still on?

stonenut Sumate rm1.00 no problem d.. with china sign billions dollars deal with kazak...
kazak and sumatec will fly...najib bro will say bagus...
20/12/2014 13:06



Why kazak???

Any news?

1star Oil rebound ??? haha......oil will crash to US45 or lower........good luck Ringgit !!!!!
20/12/2014 13:27


Nola

Some researcher said will hit USD80 again then stable there

N 2016 may be crush

How the right issue


Still on???

Possible 0.40 again??

When

Noraini
Dreamhunter
Sang jero
Looiks
Strategist

All Diam Diam

Mean

Will go up soon

69_69 THE DROP WILL BE MORE PAINFUL CUZ MANY NOW CAUGHT AT ABOVE 20C
BE GREEDY FOR NOTHING EXACTLY RIGHT
WONDER WHAT THE KAPITAN HAS TO SAY ABOUT THIS, HE HAS DISAPPEARED WITHOUT A TRACE, CLEARLY TOLD FORUM PRICE MIGHT DROP INSTEAD IT WHEN UP THE MOST SINCE SEPTEMBER HAHAHA
AND WHERE IS PUAN NORAINI?
STRATEGISST?
SJ?
YKJOHN?
HALIMS55?
86868?
STARGAZER?
MANMIN?
MUSAHI57 AND 69?
DREAM DONKEY?
SO QUIET TODAY WHEN IT'S SUPPOSED TO BE THE MOST EXCITING??? STRANGE ISN'T IT?
18/12/2014 17:07


I m here

Noraini:

How the updated chart???

look like something big news behind it



all get ready

be careful

any big news???


how about the RI?

on?