r°Moi

AhMoi | Joined since 2014-04-03

Investing Experience -
Risk Profile -

Followers

0

Following

0

Blog Posts

0

Threads

5,802

Blogs

Threads

Portfolio

Follower

Following

Summary
Total comments
5,802
Past 30 days
0
Past 7 days
0
Today
0

User Comments
Stock

2015-12-17 11:01 | Report Abuse

.

Dark forces have tried to exploit the Indon report...... didn't work out

Dark forces have tried to cause fear ahead of the FED..... not working out

AirAsia price is more robust today.... nowadays..... share buyback.. privatisation... big sticks

Think no need to wait and hope the price will drop liao.... buy

.

Stock

2015-12-16 17:02 | Report Abuse

This time 2 bids up at closing......

ValueCap was that you???

Nay.... most likely black force striking back.....

Stock

2015-12-16 14:12 | Report Abuse

Wah.... small dark forces... working on it too

Stock

2015-12-16 08:21 | Report Abuse

CIMB also was subjected to a gap down in the last minute yesterday... a few other counters too.... Dark forces.....

Stock

2015-12-13 17:10 | Report Abuse

Just luv em awesomeness movie... Cinderella... living happily ever after... wish same for TF

Stock

2015-12-11 11:52 | Report Abuse

In the short term... it is hard to predict what EPF will do.. as it appears to be non financials.. as it has been a one way street

Over the mid and longer term... fundamentals will prevail... bearing in mind low oil prices.. and worst of FX accounted for...

Stock

2015-12-11 08:08 | Report Abuse

EPF.... the contrarian?

Down to around 6%...

People are after TF??

Stock

2015-12-10 08:05 | Report Abuse

EPF.....wassup... what is the problem? More political than financial?

TF... confirmed MM's guy?

Stock

2015-12-07 13:42 | Report Abuse

.


....... with Goldman Sachs seeing a possibility of $20 per barrel.



Commodities

OPEC decision to keep output high pulls oil prices close to 2015 lows
By Reuters / Reuters | December 7, 2015 : 9:45 AM MYT



SINGAPORE (Dec 7): Crude prices fell on Monday in the first trading session after OPEC-members failed to agree on output targets to reduce a bulging glut that has resulted in oil prices falling by more than 60 percent since June 2014.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries failed to agree on an oil production ceiling on Friday at a meeting that ended in acrimony after Iran said it would not consider any production curbs until it restores output scaled back for years under Western sanctions.

This compounded an oil glut that sees production exceed demand between 0.5-2 million barrels per day and that has resulted in a more than 60 percent price drop since 2014.
U.S. crude was trading at $39.58 a barrel at 0038 GMT, down 39 cents. Internationally traded Brent futures were down 16 cents at $42.84 per barrel. This left both benchmarks near 2015 lows and not far off levels seen during the peak of the global financial crisis of 2008/2009.

Analysts said that OPEC would likely maintain its production around current levels of 31.5 million barrel per day and that a decision on how to handle new volumes expected to come to the market once western sanctions against Iran are dropped would be delayed until the group's next meeting in June 2016.

"Past communiques have at least included statements to adhere... or maintain output in line with the production target (of 30 million barrels per day). This one glaringly did not," Barclays bank said.

Not only did OPEC decide to keep its output target high, but analysts said that it would likely continue to exceed its quota as individual members offer discounts to customers in defense of market share.

Barclays said that OPEC faced an "impossible trinity of achieving higher market share, higher prices and higher demand through a nominal target which members continue to breach."

As a result of ongoing oversupply, analysts said that prices would fall further, with Goldman Sachs seeing a possibility of $20 per barrel.

.

Stock

2015-12-07 13:38 | Report Abuse

.


AirAsia has weathered the Indon report rather well dont you think??


Those who have thought otherwise will be rushing to buy soon.......



Faulty part...not maintenance

Faulty training... not human error


Anyway.... insured ler

.

News & Blogs

2015-12-06 16:00 | Report Abuse

Thank you

You have raised my horizon...

Now I am able to see the face behind and understand the psychology beneath a chart : )

News & Blogs

2015-12-06 15:46 | Report Abuse

HaHaHa A+++ for presentation and animation

Like the.... Based on candlestick analysis... a period of indecision.. part.. you put a face and the psychology on the chart

Stock

2015-12-06 15:32 | Report Abuse

.


Bad blood and brinkmanship... is now not just external but internal too... and..... ‘It’s Ceilingless'... bullying each other...


Oil prices ain't gonna go up any time soon... in fact gonna be low for a long long time...



168th Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meeting in Vienna, Austria, on Friday, Dec. 4, 2015.


OPEC abandoned all pretense this week of acting as a cartel. It’s now every member for itself.

At a chaotic meeting Friday in Vienna that was expected to last four hours but expanded to nearly seven, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries tossed aside the idea of limiting production to control prices. Instead, it went all in for the one-year-old Saudi Arabia-led policy of pumping, pumping, pumping until rivals -- external, such as Russia and U.S. shale drillers, as well as internal -- are squeezed out of market share.

“Lots of people said that OPEC was dead; OPEC itself just confirmed it,” Jamie Webster, a Washington-based oil analyst for IHS Inc., said in Vienna.

OPEC has set a production target almost without interruption since 1982, though member countries often ignored it and pumped well above it. The ceiling of 30 million barrels a day, in place since 2011 and now abandoned as too rigid, is no exception. OPEC output has outstripped it for 18 consecutive months, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Now the organization says it will keep pumping as much as it does now -- about 31.5 million barrels a day -- effectively endorsing limitless output.

The oversupply has sent the price of Brent, a global oil benchmark, to a six-year low, triggering the worst slump in the energy sector since the 2008 world financial crisis. It’s cut the profits of major oil companies such as Exxon Mobil Corp. and BP Plc in half while crude-rich countries such as Mexico and Russia have watched their currencies plunge and their coffers shrink.

On Friday, there was no talk of even setting a production target that member countries could then disregard.


‘It’s Ceilingless’

“Effectively, it’s ceilingless,” said Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh. “Everyone does whatever they want.”

Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu, the Nigerian minister, reinforced the message, saying the market shouldn’t worry about the “semantics” of targets or real production.

“We aren’t going to go back to a cartel and work against the customers -- that time has passed,” said United Arab Emirates Minister Suhail Al Mazrouei.

Most of the market “doesn’t have any ceiling,” Iraqi Oil Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi told reporters. “Americans don’t have any ceiling. Russians don’t have any ceiling. Why should OPEC have a ceiling?”

The prospect of OPEC, which accounts for roughly 40 percent of the world’s oil production, taking U.S. TV personality Sarah Palin’s advice to “drill, baby, drill” sent crude prices further downward. The U.S. benchmark dropped 5.7 percent between 8:14 a.m. and 9:06 a.m. New York time on Friday, hovering around $40 a barrel the rest of the session. On June 30, 2014, the price was $105.37 a barrel.

The oversupply is likely to continue in the new year. Iran, for years under sanctions related to its nuclear program, has promised to lift its production to as much as 4 million barrels a day by the end of 2016, up from about 3.3 million barrels a day currently.

Acrimonious End

The meeting on Friday at times looked as if it might be headed to an acrimonious end, similar to a gathering in June 2011 when OPEC was unable to agree on policy and ministers openly attacked each other. At the time, Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said he personally had had one of his “worst-ever” meetings.

No official would go that far to describe this conference, yet when ministers and delegates left the OPEC building, near the iconic Vienna State Opera house, they were speechless and grim. Within an hour, some of the them, including representatives of Saudi Arabia and Iran, were heading to the airport. Al-Naimi said he was traveling to Paris to take part in climate-change talks. Delegates from Venezuela, which pushed hard to cut the old ceiling by about five percent, would only say OPEC “didn’t decide anything,” a sign of the deep frustration with the new policies in the cash-strapped South American country.

Officials nonetheless did their best to conceal any division. Asked what arguments, if any, went on inside the small meeting room where OPEC ministers seclude themselves without the presence of aides, Iran’s Zanganeh simply said, “There were discussions.”

That was most likely polite understatement, as Iran’s rival, Saudi Arabia, carried the day. This time around, OPEC didn’t look like the group that American diplomat Henry Kissinger once described as able to blackmail national economies and whole industries. Instead, it looked like they might have spent the last few days bullying each other.

.

Stock

2015-12-04 16:17 | Report Abuse

Oh..... I hardly know you... don't you think the question is kind of direct.... and... it is kind of too early for you to pop the question? : )

Stock

2015-12-04 12:04 | Report Abuse

Wah.... the share price is behaving like the company has given out a RM 1 billion donation.... : )

Stock

2015-12-04 11:56 | Report Abuse

That........ and try your best to be in sync with em Wellingtons...

Stock
Stock

2015-12-04 11:30 | Report Abuse

Yes.......................... even Yellen

Stock

2015-12-04 11:28 | Report Abuse

.

The Wellingtons have sold around 28 million shares in just the 2 weeks before the 3Q15 results....

So...... now... any bad news... is good news to them.... as they are long term investors

.

Stock

2015-12-04 08:10 | Report Abuse

.


Faulty design.... not maintenance

Faulty training... not human error



Faulty design.... not maintenance

Particular attention will be paid to the rudder travel limiter unit, which the crash report showed had a history of faults dating to the 1990s.

a history of faults dating to the 1990s.


Nurcahyo Utomo, who led the crash investigation, said Airbus has recommended improvements to the component that failed on Flight 8501, but the problem is not serious enough to ground the A320 fleet.

but the problem is not serious enough..


In an e-mailed response, Airbus said it had taken note of the details in the crash investigation report. The report did not recommend any changes to the rudder travel limiter unit, the company said.

“We do foresee both legal and financial impact to Airbus with respect to AirAsia Flight 8501,” said Mark D. Martin, chief executive of Dubai-based Martin Consulting LLC, adding airline operators of the A320 could potentially face fleet grounding or costs if any affected aircraft needed to be inspected or modified.


We do foresee both legal and financial impact to Airbus.....

Whatever losses or cost suffer by airlines due to this less than 100% satisfactory rudder design.. can claim or sue Airbus??




Faulty training... not human error

And.... I am very sure the two pilots had tried their very best to recover.... but just can't... as it has been said that it was not necessary for them to be trained for "upset recovery".... RIP


http://www.theedgemarkets.com/en/article/indonesia-orders-airbus-a320-inspections-after-crash-report

.

Stock

2015-12-03 08:11 | Report Abuse

.


Complicated..... you bet... not a dull day



Stay focused


Wellingtons took advantage of the boost in the very very very immediate term from good statistics to unload 28m shares.... and is now taking advantage of the bad 3Q15 results.. and any negative news? to buy


The bad blood and brinkmanship ain't gonna stop any time soon....oil prices below USD 40 and going down... and 1MDB is winding down





KAQ4468 Gua 110% standing with Ah Moi side

36-24-36 mesti mariiiiiiii




Posted by r°Moi > Dec 2, 2015 12:46 PM | Report Abuse

.


Will never be below 1.00....


as Wellingtons have already sold 28m shares....


as 10% share buyback can be a big stick......


as taking private is an appealing possibility....


as oil prices remain low... as RM is getting stronger vs USD....


as a cash call cooked up by GMT has been proven not required.. as JV partners are loaded...


as short sellers no longer dare... anyway... to short 1.50 to 1.30 really not much of a gain... potentially lots of pain


.
02/12/2015 18:48

.

Stock

2015-12-02 13:01 | Report Abuse

I am good yes.... and I am not going to tell you a thing... : )




Cimb Bank= Kiss Bank r°Moi, care to englighten what is Tony plan to stop short selling. Wow, r°Moi, you are really an expert. I am waiting to hear from you. Thank you.



Posted by r°Moi > Dec 2, 2015 11:59 AM | Report Abuse

Looks like Tony has a plan..... a good plan... to cover his ass from margin calls... a pretty convincing plan backed by financial muscle I suppose..... so good so that no short sellers even dare to take advantage of the Indon report to short...

02/12/2015 12:49

Stock

2015-12-02 12:46 | Report Abuse

.


Will never be below 1.00....


as Wellingtons have already sold 28m shares....


as 10% share buyback can be a big stick......


as taking private is an appealing possibility....


as oil prices remain low... as RM is getting stronger vs USD....


as a cash call cooked up by GMT has been proven not required.. as JV partners are loaded...


as short sellers no longer dare... anyway... to short 1.50 to 1.30 really not much of a gain... potentially lots of pain


.

Stock

2015-12-02 12:10 | Report Abuse

Well....... you ass is not in jeopardy... can take things slowly... but not Tony

Stock

2015-12-02 11:59 | Report Abuse

.


Looks like Tony has a plan..... a good plan... to cover his ass from margin calls... a pretty convincing plan backed by financial muscle I suppose..... so good so that no short sellers even dare to take advantage of the Indon report to short...


1.60 Tony still uneasy...


1.80 Tony can sleep better already...


More than 2.00 Tony and bankers back to buddy buddy


.

Stock

2015-12-01 08:14 | Report Abuse

Today... today......today..... or give and take 2....or maybe 3.. 4 week time.. will be the turning point of AirAsia share price : )

Stock

2015-12-01 08:09 | Report Abuse

Admittedly air mishap or such potentially may drag down AirAsia for a quater or two in a big way.... new small startup not so likely

Stock

2015-11-30 08:06 | Report Abuse

Wellingtons sold a total of about 28,700,000 shares... within 2 weeks before the release of the 3Q15 results....


And..... sure enough the day after the results... AirAsia down as much as 7%

Stock

2015-11-29 14:38 | Report Abuse

turbulence time ended, fabulous time started

Stock

2015-11-27 12:47 | Report Abuse

So far .... no sighting of grandiose short sellers working it... working it....

Stock

2015-11-27 08:16 | Report Abuse

.

Institutional investors.. heartless....

Short sellers.. ruthless....

Tony is like.... powerless....


Better watch closely.... just in case.. they decide to do something.... something bad.... to have ikan bilis for lunch...



Ikan bilis don't be clueless


.

Stock

2015-11-27 08:10 | Report Abuse

.


The way Wellington and EPF have been selling... it is hard to make a case that they didn't see this big lousy bottom line coming....



Enough caution has been given.....


Posted by r°Moi > Nov 22, 2015 01:56 PM | Report Abuse X


Let it be.... let it beeeee... let it beee... let it be


Big Institutional investors are the ones doing big selling at the moment.... be cool... don't be too eager to catch what they are throwing...... let it be.... let it beeeee... let it beee... let it be

.


Posted by r°Moi > Nov 17, 2015 04:12 PM | Report Abuse

Ya.. share buyback.... maybe on maybe not.... why the urgency?? Can't wait till next AGM?

Tony can't rely on 3Q results to push up AirAsias price??

Or even worst... 3Q results will make AirAsias price to drop a lot....... ? ; )



Posted by r°Moi > Nov 10, 2015 02:05 PM | Report Abuse X

3Q15 overall load was ok... so 3Q15 top line will be presentable... as AirAsia brand name would see to it..

Anyway... well.. you know.. as usual... AirAsia is complicated.... watch... USD v RM... IAA impact.. in the very vey immediate term


.

Stock

2015-11-26 19:16 | Report Abuse

.


0.146... Coming in at the lower end of my estimate... I tell you I am so bloody accurate... I am good


I am Oracle !!!!





r°Moi .


Well... yeah.. occasionally... headline is worst than the bite

But..... bad forex aside

IMHO... expect big item .. for headline to be sensationalised


Will AirAsia be shaken and stirred.... like Johotin... like Frontken... . what will happen... if... say...... 0.15 to 0.20... is taken off AirAsias NTA??

.
26/11/2015 08:25


.

Stock

2015-11-26 16:36 | Report Abuse

Feel like Tony is working hard... very hard... lean on me...

Stock

2015-11-26 16:31 | Report Abuse

Heavy selling....?? Shaken and stirred??

Stock

2015-11-26 16:18 | Report Abuse

Top line.... vs..... Bottom line.... vs..... Headline

Stock

2015-11-26 08:25 | Report Abuse

.


Well... yeah.. occasionally... headline is worst than the bite

But..... bad forex aside

IMHO... expect big item .. for headline to be sensationalised


Will AirAsia be shaken and stirred.... like Johotin... like Frontken... . what will happen... if... say...... 0.15 to 0.20... is taken off AirAsias NTA??

.

Stock

2015-11-24 11:17 | Report Abuse

Buy % 90%........................................................................... by Tony??

Can sustain?

Stock

2015-11-24 11:15 | Report Abuse

Ferisc r'moi, right. This is what worrying me.

24/11/2015 09:15

Stock

2015-11-24 08:23 | Report Abuse

.

Well.... yeah.. occasionally.. headline is worst than the bite

But..... bad forex aside

IMO... expect big item .. for headline to be sensationalised


.



Simulation for orientation.....



HEADLINE... LETHAL HEADLINE



LETHAL HEADLINE

IOI Corp - Dragged by FX Translation Loss



LETHAL HEADLINE

IOI Corporation - Massive forex losses hurt 1Q


Worst ever quarter hit by forex losses....

Expect some selling pressure following the poor 1Q results given no forex losses reversal in sight yet....

What’s New

IOI Corp (IOI) went into the red and posted a 1QFY6/16 headline loss of MYR719m due to huge unrealised forex translation losses of MYR854m as the MYR fell sharply by ~16% vs the USD during the quarter



LETHAL HEADLINE

Palm oil giant IOI Corp Bhd plunged into the red


KUALA LUMPUR: Palm oil giant IOI Corp Bhd plunged into the red, posting a net loss of RM719 million or 11.38 sen per share for the first financial quarter ended Sept 30, 2015 (1QFY16), compared to a net profit of RM176.7 million or 2.78 sen per share in 1QFY15, hit by foreign currency translation and fair-value losses





Price.... from around 3.40 to 3.10.... effects of lethal headlines always linger for a while........ regardless of unrealised...hedging.. bla bla


Get oriented


.

Stock

2015-11-23 17:48 | Report Abuse

Buy % 23%..................................................................................... Ikan bilis... be cool

Stock

2015-11-23 17:45 | Report Abuse

Buy % 23%........................................................................................................

Stock

2015-11-23 13:04 | Report Abuse

Abstinent is hard on the fresh..... I know

But.... the climax that will come later will be explosive... I trust

Stock

2015-11-23 11:38 | Report Abuse

.

Institutional investors ; Tony ; Retailers


Institutional investors selling... Tony spurring.... Retailers buying...

.

Stock

2015-11-22 13:56 | Report Abuse

.


Let it be.... let it beeeee... let it beee... let it be


Big Institutional investors are the ones doing big selling at the moment.... be cool... don't be too eager to catch what they are throwing...... let it be.... let it beeeee... let it beee... let it be


Tony would be more anxious to push it up than you and me....


Big institutional investors sell it down.... Tony has to push it up

Big institutional investors sell it down.... Tony has to push it up

Big institutional investors sell it down.... Tony has to push it up

Big institutional investors sell it down.... Tony has to push it up

Beautiful!


Be cool...


Let it be.... let it beeeee... let it beee... let it be


.

Stock

2015-11-21 14:54 | Report Abuse

.

Simulation for orientation.....



HEADLINE... LETHAL HEADLINE



LETHAL HEADLINE

IOI Corp - Dragged by FX Translation Loss



LETHAL HEADLINE

IOI Corporation - Massive forex losses hurt 1Q


Worst ever quarter hit by forex losses....

Expect some selling pressure following the poor 1Q results given no forex losses reversal in sight yet....

What’s New

IOI Corp (IOI) went into the red and posted a 1QFY6/16 headline loss of MYR719m due to huge unrealised forex translation losses of MYR854m as the MYR fell sharply by ~16% vs the USD during the quarter



LETHAL HEADLINE


Palm oil giant IOI Corp Bhd plunged into the red


KUALA LUMPUR: Palm oil giant IOI Corp Bhd plunged into the red, posting a net loss of RM719 million or 11.38 sen per share for the first financial quarter ended Sept 30, 2015 (1QFY16), compared to a net profit of RM176.7 million or 2.78 sen per share in 1QFY15, hit by foreign currency translation and fair-value losses





Price.... from around 3.40 to 3.10.... effects of lethal headlines always linger for a while........ regardless of unrealised...hedging.. bla bla


Get oriented


.

Stock

2015-11-18 11:31 | Report Abuse

Anyway.... how would you feel... if.... say.... 0.15.. 0.20... is taken off AirAsias NTA??

Stock

2015-11-18 11:29 | Report Abuse

What I have seen from PBB and other... 3Q15 out by 26-11