Croxxx @fightingdragons

Macquarie got so many shares to sell down to depress the price just to save their CW?
14/06/2020 12:50 PM

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All this got 1 year to plan ahead one mah. Anyway, they just need to send a few Kimgolds to forums to spread fear, and then next week sell low a bit to get the ball rolling and all the panic sellers will start to freak out and sell cheap. Then the bank will just buy cheap and get ready for the next uptrend. IB make money from volatility, if they can create and time that volatility then they make even more.

Let's discuss timing:

Supermax most likely go sideways next week due to macquarie warrant. Just hold and wait for after 19 June.

Then new analyst reports will most likely start coming out end June / early July to start the ball rolling again and shoot up as it rolls towards announcement date.

Freetospeak, based on your calculation, which upcoming QR should have peak profit before tapering off (assuming no second wave of covid19)?

freetospeak, don't waste your time with these guys trying to defend Supermax. Glove bull cycle is pretty much predetermined by market makers - when it goes up, when it goes down. Even without covid it would have gone up this year that's why many already vested before January. The fear mongers have a role to play - to shake out the weak, and to create profitable trade for the market makers so that they will continue to be incentivized to drive the bull cycle. What we do will not make much difference to the uptrend.

Kimgold, you also fear mongering in Comfort? I thought only in Supermax hehehe

95% growth is for Feb-Apr, May-Jul will see another double with higher ASPs. Thank the director for selling over the past few weeks to tame down the share price. If it was $4.2 with this result, there would be a selldown which they may not be able to recover from. With this result at $3, it doesn't seem unfair in view of future earnings. Should be able to move past $4.

Take a break from gloves guys. Enjoy the weekend.

Does anyone know when is Comfort's QR announcement? Based on last year, it should be some time next week. Anyone know the exact date?

Kimgold, won't go down much but will hover below 8.2 due to call warrant. Tell lah what's your desired entry price since you so aggressive fear mongering. Not likely to fall to next support level so you might as well buy now.

Unless you're working for Macquarie haha

You must ask if Kimgold doesn't hold any Supermax shares why is he investing time in this forum? Altruistic person trying to save other people's money? Or trying to push down the price so he can buy cheap? If you're a day trader or contra player hoping for quick profit, please listen to Kimgold. If you can hold for at least a month, hold for reward.

Supermax may be suppressed until next week. Macquarie warrant expiring 19 Jun. Great for those collecting

Don't worry guys. Gloves bull run will last at least another 6 months or more. Even if vaccine comes out, there will be a short term panic sell but it will come back up because earnings are guaranteed to be good for the next 1-2 financial years

freetospeak don't tell me you are losing faith?

Hope you guys managed to get cheap sale.

Analyst report and re-rating sudah keluar. May close green today.

Top Glove should hold at 16+

Good time to buy guys. Good luck shopping.

RM25 is CGSCIMB. RM35 ... still not verified as I have not seen the actual analyst report that's why asking if it is real.

Those who can hold just wait out the panic selling today from those who bought high or take this opportunity to buy cheap. Normal glove bull cycle usually last 1 to 1.5 years. This is a SUPER DUPER cycle so it is definitely not over yet as we are less than 6 months in only.

Kim -- you mentioned the Public Invest target price RM35... where to find this report? I hear it mention a few times but can't find the report.

More selling today from panic sellers, contra traders and those who bought high. Next week will come back up.

Actually there're not much changes with the US covid19 cases... the new cases has been fairly consistent the past 2 weeks (still high 20k daily but gradually declining). It is just that the Dow Jones have shot up so much there's no where to go but down. So Wall Street just needs to come up with a story about the virus coming back to profit from a fall.

Those who bought gloves recently hoping to make a quick 5% profit without putting in capital - these are the people sharks will flush out this week. Those who can hold wait for all the re-rating news.

This is not the 2nd wave. Still 1st wave in the US, just that they did a sloppy job of trying to control it + reopening too fast + riots

It's ok, slow and steady better. Imagine if it goes up average 1% a day, it will already reach $12 in one month's time. Too fast too soon and will result in sharp correction. Also, this deters the contra buyers from leeching on hoping for a quick +5% profit.

Ok back to work guys. Productivity so low today everyone check glove price only.

YTH888 Be prepare to enter the million dollar club as for me, i am preparing to enter the billion dollar club.
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Wah, smart pretty + billionaire some more

SGX 6.1 now...

SGX suppose to start at 1pm

SGX dunno why trading not moving. buy/sell both at 5.95 but the last price is still 5.65

Much much higher than expected. Does that mean all the 'high' TP are very conservative estimates?

Phew

goreng_kaki 1 MORE HOURS TO ANNOUNCE!!!!!

500M NET PROFIT!!!!

TP RM 35!!!!!!

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You keep shouting RM35 and Public Invest research report but where is this report lah

Kimgold hoping to buy at 8 that's why so many last warning.

Darkest before the storm?

U bought without knowing how to calculate?

DannyArcher @joyvest

Who told you that? If 250m, then price should be around RM16-19
If RM200m, then RM15
If more than RM300m.... those that still hold a large potion can now retire.
11/06/2020 10:49 AM

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Yeah, if >220m, then on track, no hair cut.

Top Glove is scheduled to release its financial performance for 3QFY20 on 11 June
2020. We expect the quarterly profit to be RM230-240mn (+103.1% QoQ, +214.7%
YoY) before climbing higher to RM625-635mn levels in 4QFY20, thanks to price
escalations. For 2HFY20 performance, we expect the profit to jump to RM855-
875mn (vs. RM227.1mn in 1H20). For FY20 as a whole, we expect the profit to grow
199.5% to RM1.1bn.

https://eresearchsystem.bursamalaysia.com/eResearch/webdownload.pub?id=32529

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Hopefully TA Securities is right.

Technically I think they can't buy if they know good results coming/share price going up as this would count as insider trading. If you saw Supermax case last week, directors bought before the margin finance correction.

YTH888 Fightingdragons I tried buying four boys. Harta, top glove, HLT, rubberex

Cannot jaga at all.

Top skill needed to exit at the highest for all. Sold all and choose one.

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I bought Dec-Mar so less stressful to jaga. But wish I had dumped tai sam kor and bought more tai sei kor. ROI so different.

Didn't touch Rubberex.

If not, we'll have a correction...

Happy enough if they hit 230m or >100% yoy/qoq as what CGS-CIMB projected below

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TOPG is set to release its 3QFY8/20 results on 11 June 20 and we believe it recorded
>100% yoy and qoq increases in 3QFY20 net profit.

Sigh, director buying shares not a good sign. Usually means correction coming but encouraging you to stay invested.

YTH888 Fightingdragons you should go back to TG. Switch sides? :p
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Cannot lah, I got taikor, tai yee kor, tai sam kor, tai sei kor and tai mmm kor also. Cannot takes sides must be fair :D

joyvest Not really, if TG could make 250M, its expected share price should be RM 25 in theory of cos...
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FY20 net profit estimates:
HLINVEST -- RM1,017m
CGSCIMB -- RM1,371m
UOB -- RM863m
DBS -- RM1,002m
KENANGA -- RM989m
MAYBANK -- RM1,135m
C. SUISSE -- RM1,029m

Q1 and Q2 combined is only 228m. Balance for Q3 and Q4 ranges from 635-1143m. Q4 will be better than Q3. If you assume average of 1,058m... 230m for Q3 700m+ for Q4 is feasible assuming these analysts got their numbers within the ballpark.

RM25 TP is based on FY21 assumptions I believe.

joyvest Free2speak, if they can make 145m, then we are safe
11/06/2020 9:38 AM

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They will definitely make 145m. Last year's projection already about ~140m each for Q3 and Q4. Question is whether will breach 230m i.e. +100% qoq

Remember guys, if TG drops, Supermax will drop also so don't wish bad luck on the taikor

Wonder how YTH888 is like in person !

Posted by Kimgold > Jun 11, 2020 6:24 AM | Report Abuse

It also makes me wonder why are people taking profit for the past 3 days if they think the QR results is going to be good.

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One may also see this differently. Usually if results bad, they (those with inside info) will goreng towards QR date to exit high first before it drops when results come out. Price could be depressed cos those with inside info spread fear and control price to collect low before good news come out.

I guess we will only know once result is out tomorrow.

I have just gone through the various analyst reports from Dec 2019 to current. Their net profit estimates for FY20 originally was around 400-600m between Dec-Mar. Only starting May it started to get revised upwards to 800-1000m.

Maybank in early May estimated FY20 net profit at 831m, then later in end May increased its estimate to 1,135m. For them to stick their necks out to increase their estimate by 36% barely a few weeks after the initial estimate tells you that either (1) they are very confident of their new estimate / there is strong evidence to make them change their minds (2) they are trying to defraud investors somehow by pushing up the price or (3) they are totally incompetent.

Which do you think it is?

YTH : Why sell Top Glove tomorrow evening? QR no good?