gerry188

gerry188 | Joined since 2014-03-31

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Stock

2014-04-12 13:47 | Report Abuse

The share movement seems to mimic Iris ie play the share until it hits the targetted PP price + 5%, and then you will see a selldown (in Iris, the selling started from 61sen down to 49.5sen yesterday with expectations that it will continue its downward momentum to 45 - 46sen before stabilising).

This counter may still have some fundamental value but I would personally take a position only if it retraces at least 50% of the recent upward move from RM 1.62 ie in the price range from RM 1.80 to 1.83. If the price weakens further because of the ongoing correction in the US markets, you could see the stock retracing to 1.70 (50dma).

There is a reason for the MD to sell and that is to lock in profit from the recent price rally, which is obviously quite artificial.

Stock

2014-04-12 13:30 | Report Abuse

Of course, looking at the comments posted by forumners in this thread, I think that most of us here are holding the mother share, haha!!

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2014-04-12 13:28 | Report Abuse

madiba - excellent analyses.

On my end, I think that the majority shareholder (Chew) sold the warrants to firstly, finance his mother share purchase and secondly, to release to interested parties the WA as a trading block.

If you were monitoring the WA last week during the volume and price spike, you would have seen very determined buying ie someone was trying to stay ahead of retail buying.

So, it is very likely that the WA will continue to outpace the mother share when the stock starts moving in the next two weeks.

Stock

2014-04-11 17:11 | Report Abuse

Mr Ooi TB - many thanks for your wonderful advice on buying and selling!!

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2014-04-11 15:31 | Report Abuse

Wait for 4pm ping pong show and see if it gives any hint on the direction!!

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2014-04-11 14:43 | Report Abuse

pzul - not yet, still consolidating.

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2014-04-11 12:14 | Report Abuse

Notwithstanding, the stock should be consolidating - T+3 and T+4 on Monday for high volume and spike earlier

Stock

2014-04-11 12:13 | Report Abuse

It depends on your risk profile - both will move up if goreng. The WA offers more leverage.

General

2014-04-11 11:45 | Report Abuse

Bro newman - what news can we expect from Inari? At the moment, the stock is just consolidating with buying support from 2.73 to 2.76

General

2014-04-11 11:44 | Report Abuse

kytan - thanks for sharing. don't be afraid that such tips will bring people to holland - we are all supposed to do our own homework before we buy or sell.

Stock

2014-04-11 11:40 | Report Abuse

Technicals getting worse - all indicators have turned down.

Only positives are the PP at 51sen and low volume selling. Possible that it will follow lower bollinger band which has a downward slope and trade down to 46sen.

My opinion only - let's see what actually happens.

Stock

2014-04-11 11:24 | Report Abuse

vincentteoh - Normally have to shake out the oil so that can pack in more sardines (that's why they pack more sardines and less oil in each tin as the oil is expensive). Let's see if more sardines follow the trend up.

Stock

2014-04-11 11:08 | Report Abuse

The US markets drop looks like a controlled drop ie drop 1%, recover 0.5%. Yesterday dropped 2%, perhaps it will recover by 1% over the next 2 trading days.

I think the FEDs want a 5% correction in total but a drop of 5% in one day will obviously destroy confidence and perhaps lead to an even bigger 10% correction.

It is expected once the correction is completed that the S&P can breach 2000 and perhaps hit 2045.

Anyway, the above is only my opinion.

Stock

2014-04-11 11:08 | Report Abuse

The US markets drop looks like a controlled drop ie drop 1%, recover 0.5%. Yesterday dropped 2%, perhaps it will recover by 1% over the next 2 trading days.

I think the FEDs want a 5% correction in total but a drop of 5% in one day will obviously destroy confidence and perhaps lead to an even bigger 10% correction.

It is expected once the correction is completed that the S&P can breach 2000 and perhaps hit 2045.

Anyway, the above is only my opinion.

Stock

2014-04-11 11:00 | Report Abuse

dofazdu8 - buying is kicking in. perhaps it is a good time to add and average (for those who bought at the high).

This is just my opinion and not a buy or sell call - please use your own judgement. For your information, I'm just looking at the technicals - I do not have any inside information.

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2014-04-11 10:39 | Report Abuse

KNM WA already running, MPay WA under accumulation. My opinion only. This is not a buy or sell call.

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2014-04-11 10:37 | Report Abuse

Today should be clearing T+3 players - so don't expect a spike. Rather look at support levels(mother 31.5 to 32sen and WA 22 to 23sen)and see if it is well supported with large volume shares being accumulated here.

Stock

2014-04-11 10:29 | Report Abuse

Buying volume starting to increase - still good opportunity to accumulate together with the operator.

This is only my opinion and not a buy or sell call. Please use your own judgement.

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2014-04-11 10:26 | Report Abuse

TP today 93 to 95sen. Now clearing all T+4 players and also today's daytraders

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2014-04-10 23:38 | Report Abuse

Possible its contra players. 2moro T+4?? But T+3 well absorbed.

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2014-04-10 23:35 | Report Abuse

madiba - main shareholder buying a big amount of mother shares at a much higher price than your average. a lot of zakat funds should be coming to you to help others!!!!

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2014-04-10 23:30 | Report Abuse

Alex - the TA analysis done by matrixcool, not me. just adding my own observations as I have been daytrading recently.

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2014-04-10 23:20 | Report Abuse

Since the counter hit a high of 2.91, it has been consolidating with very visible and strong support around 2.75. The technicals have improved over the last 2 days - it should be ready to move up strongly to break the current high of 2.91. matrixcool says that if it breaches 2.91, the TP is around 3.20.

If there are additional good news like MB transfer, good 1st quarter results and of course the rumored bonus issue, then it can trade upwards strongly from 3.20 as it will then be in uncharted territory.

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2014-04-10 23:12 | Report Abuse

pzul - definitely game on, bro. as I said earlier, when you and frens show up here, then it is an indication that it is frying time!

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2014-04-10 23:07 | Report Abuse

Why WallStreetBaller said bankers cashing out at 88sen? Is this the reason the counter could not clear 89sen?

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2014-04-10 22:50 | Report Abuse

Points to note:
1. PP - 51sen
2. Size of PP - 200+ million shares
3. The PP still hasn't been completed to date
4. Will the operator fry the counter to RM 1.00 to benefit the PP holders?

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2014-04-10 22:45 | Report Abuse

Perhaps iWarrants is correct - the operators simply cannot dislodge any significant WB shares from current retail holders; therefore cannot start the frying process.

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2014-04-10 22:24 | Report Abuse

Cweed is correct - this counter is for the strong hearted only.

Even if it shows a bearish reversal, there can still be a lot of bull traps. Do trade cautiously - if unable to take the volatility, better to look at Mpay WA or KNM WA.

Stock

2014-04-10 22:13 | Report Abuse

One of madiba's parameters just occurred - director acquiring significant amount of mother shares at a relatively high price (15million shares at 29sen - to be used as a trading block?). The director also disposed 20million WA at 18sen (to be used as a trading block by others?).

Note that all the above is just speculation but I am certainly taking delivery of all MPay stock that I purchased over the last 2 days even though it is slightly higher than today's prices.

This is not a buy or sell call - please use your own judgement.

Stock

2014-04-10 18:16 | Report Abuse

Well, well!! I'm sure all of us would like to see this counter move up strongly whether due to FA or TA reasons (OTB says FA + TA will be best).

At the moment, there are a lot of unknowns - why did one director sell a large portion of his mother shares while the other sold all her warrants (you should see what happened to XDL when the major shareholder sold all his warrants).

Why hasn't any 3rd party surfaced as a substantial shareholder even though the last few sales by Ngu were married deals?

Why haven't any announcements been made on the company's efforts in trying to procure a significant share of the tele towers announced in the budget last year?

Without some clarity on the above it is perhaps a bit tough to rate this stock as a FA counter. So, it will be necessary to look at the technicals to see if there is a bearish reversal in trend so that both TA and FA players will benefit.

Is there anybody here who has some insider inkling on what exactly is happening in the company?

Stock

2014-04-10 17:46 | Report Abuse

rocketjet - your assessment is spot on. operator is still collecting the stock between 21 to 23sen. looking at the volumes done the last few days, the show could restart next week (track the technicals and see whether a bearish reversal kicks in).

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2014-04-10 17:43 | Report Abuse

Haha, ping pong up this time. If this continues the next 2 trading days, I think we will be seeing a bearish reversal.

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2014-04-10 17:40 | Report Abuse

Errata: madiba indicated 45sen mother.

Those with positions at 32sen and below should hold for the midterm and trade the counter on dips.

Stock

2014-04-10 17:37 | Report Abuse

As I stated earlier, the operators are still accumulating with support now at 22sen WA and 31.5sen mother. If that is the case, then TP 1 of 38.5sen could be breached rather quickly and the next TP of 41sen as speculated in madiba's posting (ie if the play is like the show in February)should be achievable.

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2014-04-10 16:19 | Report Abuse

Chinese dragon awakened. Anyone dares to go in? Could be ping pong down by 5pm

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2014-04-09 11:44 | Report Abuse

haha, zekuan, doesn't look like anybody here is trying get others to buy. just some cheering like in football. if score, then good!!

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2014-04-09 11:39 | Report Abuse

Monica - fortunebullz's insight should be welcome. he is just offering another perspective. and he has not tried to discredit anybody here nor has he tried to spread any rumors

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2014-04-09 11:08 | Report Abuse

foretunebullz - looks like WiseEye is correct. mother is dropping back so that long term holders can buy more!!

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2014-04-09 10:14 | Report Abuse

Should move up strongly in the afternoon

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2014-04-09 09:54 | Report Abuse

Big blocks of sellers - 24.5/25.0sen WA and 34.0sen mother. Appears to be ongoing accumulation. If these roadblocks are taken out today, there will be a strong run to 38.5sen mother and 29.0sen WA

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2014-04-09 08:50 | Report Abuse

xlan - still have 2 wait to see the next few days trading for confirmation that it is a bearish reversal. Dun get your hopes up too high, ok!

On top of that, if the stock is manipulated, then the TA readings may be distorted.

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2014-04-09 08:48 | Report Abuse

WY Chan - the technicals look good, so unlikely the price will drop. but anyway this is just my personal opinion, not a buy or sell call.

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2014-04-08 22:55 | Report Abuse

dofazdu8 - no need to panic. counter is bottoming and technicals show that a bearish reversal can start as early as tomorrow. Resistance is at and around 26sen

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2014-04-08 22:48 | Report Abuse

Beautiful candlestick formation over the past 4 days. Like calvintaneng has stated, should breach 1.00 next 2 to 3 days and test previous high of 1.03

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2014-04-08 22:40 | Report Abuse

If tomorrow a strong white candle forms, then can see rally continuing all the way to 38sen before consolidating.

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2014-04-08 22:37 | Report Abuse

2 dojis formed over the last 2 days. Can also see from buy/sell volumes that there is very strong buying support at 2.75 and the dojis confirm the strong support at 2.75.

I think this counter will continue rallying in one or 2 days time. Should trade upwards to the top bollinger band around 3.00 to 3.03

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2014-04-08 22:26 | Report Abuse

I think the Theme should still rock - plenty of towers to be built in East malaysia (both govt and private).

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2014-04-08 22:21 | Report Abuse

foretunebullz - Thank you for sharing. So, this then looks like the same situation - stale bulls liquidation from 29.5sen to 22.5sen, breakout at 24sen and a Stage 2 rally all the way to 48sen!!!

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2014-04-08 22:05 | Report Abuse

50dma is at 33sen and this is considered a minor resistance between 30sen and 36sen resistance levels.

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2014-04-08 22:03 | Report Abuse

Sorry - if it can breach 30sen on rebound from 27sen, then next major resistance is at 36sen