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2016-10-24 10:09 | Report Abuse
I checked the details of BPLANT's 2Q2016, there was one off gain from land disposal. If we were to exclude this one off item, the EPS might be less than 1 sen.
2016-10-23 20:20 | Report Abuse
If I were to include those middle size plantation companies, then the chart will have too many lines. Someone who is interested in small and mid cap companies could make their own study and monitoring.
Last Friday Budget, Najib proposed research on small and mid cap companies, also GLIC will allocate up to 3 billion to fund managers to invest in these small and mid cap companies.
Good news to the investors who like small and mid cap, their share prices may fly.
2016-10-23 19:52 | Report Abuse
calvintaneng,
Are you talking about this Neoh Choo Ee & Company Sdn. Berhad, I have no idea. I would like to hear from you the details and reason why Dynaquest bought them.
Anyway, Dynaquest gave 3.5 Combined Rating only, and the production is not so much at the moment, may be increase due to young trees?
MHC is also too small, I am not interested.
CBIP is more like a service provider to oil palm industry, I dont think they big estate land. I must say CBIP is a very good company.
2016-10-23 18:30 | Report Abuse
speakup,
I check that BPLANT is not really big, its production is about the same as UTDPLT.
I see they pay good dividend, and for 1H2016, the EPS is already 8.76 sen, so both PE and DY look good.
The problem is Dynaquest gave BPLANT a Combined Rating of 3.0 only, a bit too low,
we need to study more about this company.
2016-10-11 21:06 | Report Abuse
For small cap company, need to check integrity of the major shareholders/directors.
2016-09-11 18:09 | Report Abuse
Now with GAMUDA-WE at 1.35, it is better to buy GAMUDA at 4.86, or dont buy any of them.
2016-09-10 18:05 | Report Abuse
imoogi99, I did try to input 28%, and get the fair value of 1.44 too, I think the calculator is not very accurate on this, especially when the % is high.
I make my own binomial calculation using excel spreadsheet, I found that the calculation of fair value are accurate to within plus minus 1%.
So you can rely on this calculator.
2016-09-10 17:17 | Report Abuse
imoogi99, By definition, the Implied Volatility (IV) means "It is implying that the future volatility will be at that % if this warrant market price is fair". I am not good in explaining, you can google and find out proper definition.
2016-09-10 16:39 | Report Abuse
IBanker, You will have your answer if you understand how binomial method calculate. I am not going to explain to you because you are rude. Go to MENSA and take an IQ test if you have balls, then show me your score.
2016-09-08 09:50 | Report Abuse
Let say FKLI go up 1 point,
For holding short 1 contract of FKLI, you make loss of RM50, or RM100 per 2 contratcs.
For holding 1 unit of C48, you make profit of RM1/700, or RM100 per 70000 units.
2016-09-04 12:07 | Report Abuse
The Big Fund's NAV is only around 1.00 now.
In order to pay out high dividend, the NAV ideally should be at least around 1.07 end of this year, or else the NAV will go below 1.00 ex-dividend which I think nobody like it.
So I predict the index will be at least above 1700 level on the last trading day.
2016-09-03 20:16 | Report Abuse
这篇文章误导人。。
2016-08-22 21:25 | Report Abuse
他猜净利20M至30M之间,我却猜是净利120M左右,差别那么远,有趣有趣,看到时候开出的成绩是多少。
他说目标价是2.76,我呢觉得1.00都算贵。
2016-08-08 18:53 | Report Abuse
For Choice #1, you can look at FBMKLCI-EA, it is an ETF tracking closely KLCI Index, but I did not monitor this ETF, dont know got volume or not.
Or forget about #1, simply choose from among #2, #3, #4 and #5. And my this article is in fact talking about Spread, i.e. short #3 and buy #4.
2016-08-08 10:32 | Report Abuse
I dont predict the movement/direction of Index, what I do is to compare the following alternatives.
1) Buy a basket of index counters, i.e. KLCI, and expect to receive dividends.
2) Buy FKLI July, no dividend, so for fair comparison we have to add all expected dividend ex-dated from now to End July.
3) Buy FKLI August, no dividend, so for fair comparison we have to add all expected dividend ex-dated from now to End August.
4) Buy FKLI September, no dividend, so for fair comparison we have to add all expected dividend ex-dated from now to End September.
5) Buy FKLI December, no dividend, so for fair comparison we have to add all expected dividend ex-dated from now to End December.
Then choose the best choice.
2016-08-07 16:55 | Report Abuse
1)Not really understand your question. Take the month of August, the blue point was 1657.5, add up estimated dividend of 6.5, so the red point was 1664. At present, the dividend for whole year is around 50 points, so this 6.5 points is not an average, it is based on estimation of all dividends likely to be ex-dated in August.
2) The blue points were all the market prices, meaning to say it is result of human behavior which is unpredictae, so most probably it will not repeat next year, further more the whole lot of players would not be the same.
2016-08-02 18:58 | Report Abuse
1) Monitor all the dividend ex-date of the 30 index counters, assume same as previous year.
2) Not sure, but I think No.
2016-07-19 10:01 | Report Abuse
cherry88,
We look at FKLI Sep, it is now at 1663, base on this as the underlying, the fair value of C54 is 0.1033, it is still a bit more expensive.
The reason why we use FKLI Sep instead of KLCI (now at 1672) as the underlying is because FKLI Sep is the market consensus that the KLCI would be around 1672 by End September.
2016-07-19 09:31 | Report Abuse
In this case, we can choose to be a gambler, or alternatively just choose to take the small arbitrage gain. Should we go for arbitrage gain, then it would be real good news if the index go higher than 1700 by end of the month, the higher the better.
2016-07-18 20:09 | Report Abuse
For arbitrage purpose, The correct mixture is 2 contracts of FKLI and 66700 units of FBMKLCI-HW.
2016-05-28 16:25 | Report Abuse
Papayashot, no answer from me.
2016-05-28 14:07 | Report Abuse
I think Maybank's 1st Qtr result was quite good.
The operating profit before impairment loss was 2772m against 2498m of last year 1st Qtr, an increase of 11%.
The only problem was the impairment loss of 865m. Will there be more and more impairment loss for the near future? I dont know.
Anyway, Maybank is a company that must not fail, all parties must work hard to ensure that it is profitable.
It weights 20% in ASB porfolio.
2016-05-26 15:07 | Report Abuse
作者不清楚EPF计算盈利的方式。
EPF是不计算Paper Gain/Loss,所以只要EPF套利多一些涨价了的投资,又继续收起跌价了的投资,那么盈利方面就好看了。
2016-05-15 19:58 | Report Abuse
At this uncertain time, go for blue chips of:
1) Export orientated.
2) Consistent Dividend Growth.
3) Dividend Yield ~ higher than KLCI's DY.
4) Price Earning Ratio ~ lower than KLCI's PE.
2016-05-13 09:07 | Report Abuse
Maybe sell from left (1) to right (many, so that less than 5% each, no need to announce).
2016-05-12 20:00 | Report Abuse
There are 3 islamic bond listed in BURSA that you can buy, The return is around 4% plus, depending on at what price you buy. Their codes are 0400GA, GB and GC, all these 3 bond are guaranteed by Malaysian government.
2016-05-12 19:41 | Report Abuse
Kuan sold 21.8m PA yesterday.
He still holds 19.3m (17%) mother share.
Now the largest shareholder is Greenfield (Director Lim Yoon Loy and partner), Greenfield holds 32.3m (27%) mother share and 220m (44%) PA.
Dont know Innofarm holds how many mother share, could be between aero to 4.99%, as they are no longer major shareholder, no need to announce any change in shareholding.
2016-05-12 19:06 | Report Abuse
He still has 19.7m mother share.
2016-05-12 18:19 | Report Abuse
Kuan Poh Huat sold all his PA on 11th May.
2016-05-11 20:15 | Report Abuse
So far they have only collected 7m plus from conversion.
2016-05-11 09:32 | Report Abuse
The value of a option/warrant depends on:
1) Higher gear higher fair value.
2) Lower dividend yield higher fair value.
3) Higher mother share volatility higher fair value.
4) Higher mother share ROI higher fair value.
5) Longer CW life higher fair value.
Therefore you need option calculator, otherwise dont touch.
2016-05-10 10:50 | Report Abuse
Dont understand why people buy WA at 14c.
2016-05-10 09:52 | Report Abuse
GoodBoy, No problem and Thanks.
2016-05-10 08:55 | Report Abuse
GoodBoy, from where you know that Innofarm holding 35% SGB-PA?
2016-05-09 18:17 | Report Abuse
OMG, Innofarm dump so many shares on 3rd May until less than 5%, no longer a major shareholder.
2016-05-07 16:35 | Report Abuse
flyingkite, it gives some confidence to us on the fair value of SGB.
Also there is chance that they may goreng for another round, hopefully this time less people get trapped.
2016-05-07 14:21 | Report Abuse
Update info on Innofarm trading
1) 19 Apr: Buy 7.1m share
2) 22 Apr: Sell 1.0m share
3) 25 Apr: Sell 0.3m share
4) 26 Apr: Sell 5.0m share
5) 27 Apr: Sell 5.6m share
6) 28 Apr: Sell 1.9m share
7) 29 Apr: Buy 3.8m share
I tot they would have continued to sell shares on 29th Apr, but surprisingly they announced on Friday that they instead bought 3.8m share. Their balance of shares increased to 11.6m.
Checked the data and I found that the high and low on 29th Apr were 1.02 and 0.895.
So guys, this is a very good news for all of us.
2016-05-06 12:21 | Report Abuse
NeverLossAgain, I cant predict the market prices (solely depend on buyers and seller) for PA and WA if mother share go up/down to 80 cents / 50 cents.
However, I can show you the intrinsic values:
1) For mother share at 80 cents,
PA's intrinsic value is the higher of 80c - 54c = 26c, or 80c / 10 = 8c, so it is 26c.
WA's intrinsic value is 80c - 60c = 20c.
2) For mother share at 50 cents,
PA's intrinsic value is the higher of 50c - 54c = 0c, or 50c / 10 = 5c, so it is 5c.
WA's intrinsic value is 50c - 60c = 0c.
So in all cases, PA's intrinsic value value will be higher than WA's.
2016-05-06 11:38 | Report Abuse
Those who hold WA are in a higher risk position compare to mother share and PA. They should ask themselves a question why not swap to mother share or PA.
2016-05-06 09:23 | Report Abuse
Innofarm disposed 1.9m shares on 28th Apr, but announced only on yesterday, which was one week later, I believed they did not violated the rule. But why does the rule allow the major shareholder to have one week time to just announce the changes in shareholding? If the company share buy back can be announced on the same evening, I dont see any problem for the major shareholders to announce their changes of shareholding on the same evening. I think BURSA should tighten the rule.
2016-05-05 18:51 | Report Abuse
Innofarm announced just now that they sold another 1.9m share on 28th Apr, the balance was 7.9m shares, I think they had also sold some more on 29th Apr and 3rd May, yet to announce.
1) 19 Apr: Buy 7.1m share
2) 22 Apr: Sell 1.0m share
3) 25 Apr: Sell 0.3m share
4) 26 Apr: Sell 5.0m share
5) 27 Apr: Sell 5.6m share
6) 28 Apr: Sell 1.9m share
2016-05-05 14:46 | Report Abuse
Tomorrow 6m new shares. But I think most of them will not in hurry to sell as the PA and WA are no longer in big discount
2016-05-05 12:17 | Report Abuse
I bet their 1st quarter EPS will be around 1 or 2 cents per share, excluding Fair value changes in Land Lease Agreement (‘LLA’) liability.
2016-05-05 10:53 | Report Abuse
I bet their 1st quarter EPS will be around 1 or 2 cents per share, excluding Fair value changes in Land Lease Agreement (‘LLA’) liability.
2016-05-04 19:43 | Report Abuse
Should investigate Innofarm,
1) 19 Apr: Buy 7.1m share
2) 22 Apr: Sell 1.0m share
3) 25 Apr: Sell 0.3m share
4) 26 Apr: Sell 5.0m share
5) 27 Apr: Sell 5.6m share
2016-05-04 15:53 | Report Abuse
Good to have UMA, at least the board of directors have to say something.
Blog: Dear Mr. Koon from kcchongnz
2016-12-02 19:23 | Report Abuse
I am just wondering, is it legally OK to give our password to someone to trade for us? And of course the other question is, is it legally OK to get password from someone and trade for him?
My opinion is never get or give password for any purpose, what for looking for trouble?