necro

necro | Joined since 2012-02-23

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Stock

2016-02-07 15:36 | Report Abuse

RM3.50 price to RM3.80 valuation is not that much...
Hopefully can get cheap
The potential is there in long term..

Stock

2016-02-04 16:41 | Report Abuse

possibility there will be a bonus issue

Stock

2016-01-26 14:31 | Report Abuse

I believe there will be bonus issue like happen 10years ago...

Stock

2016-01-20 19:26 | Report Abuse

People who buy XOX-OR their purpose is to sell for capital appreciation in short term time frame (since its trade for only a week) or to subscribe the right issue at specific price fix by XOX BERHAD...

So what will happen to XOX-OR if you don't sell or subscribe for the right issue?..

XOX-OR become worthless and you can't see it tradeablde and traceable in KLCI...

So guys plan wise...

Stock

2016-01-20 19:05 | Report Abuse

Necro suka CCMDBIO sama YSPSAH...

Stock

2016-01-20 08:51 | Report Abuse

Right issue coming no wonder lembik

News & Blogs

2016-01-18 15:33 | Report Abuse

Gila 70%!!!...Tu company bapak KAU!!

Stock

2016-01-18 15:08 | Report Abuse

TECHNICALLY DOWNTREND STOCK...
TRADERS WHO ENTERS ON DAILY & MONTHLY SET UP IS ADVISE TO CUT LOSS...

Stock

2016-01-11 23:34 | Report Abuse

Dividend yield=RM0.0735÷RM3.82×100%

Stock

2016-01-04 15:44 | Report Abuse

1. Discount Rate: d=12%

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1=5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years or 20%, whichever is less => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years equals 0..

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2=4%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1=10

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2=10

6. Free Cash Flow Per Share: fcf=RM0.18.
# DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the earnings per share is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

###################

Public Packages Holdings Bhd's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

DCF (FCF Based) = fcf * {[(1+g1)/(1+d) + (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+ (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 * [(1+g2)/(1+d) + (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}
set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.12) = 0.9375
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.12) = 0.928571428571###########



DCF (FCF Based) = fcf * {[x + x^2 + ... + x^10] + x^10 * [y + y^2 + ... + y^10]}
= fcf * [x * (1-x^10) / (1-x) + x^10 * y * (1-y^10) / (1-y)]
= 0.18 * 10.7016
= 1.93########


Margin of Safety (FCF Based) = (DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / DCF (FCF Based)
= (1.926288 - 0.96) / 1.926288
= 50.16 %###########

Stock

2016-01-04 15:40 | Report Abuse

1. Discount Rate: d=12%

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1=5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years or 20%, whichever is less => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years equals 0, => Growth Rate: 5%

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2=4%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1=10

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2=10

6. Earnings Per Share: eps=RM0.12. #####


Public Packages Holdings Bhd's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

DCF (Earnings Based) = Earnings Per Share * {[(1+g1)/(1+d) + (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+ (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 * [(1+g2)/(1+d) + (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}
set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.12) = 0.9375
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.12) = 0.928571428571

DCF (Earnings Based) = eps * {[x + x^2 + ... + x^10] + x^10 * [y + y^2 + ... + y^10]}
= eps * [x * (1-x^10) / (1-x) + x^10 * y * (1-y^10) / (1-y)]
= 0.12 * 10.7016
= 1.28#####


Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) = (DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / DCF (Earnings Based)
= (1.284192 - 0.96) / 1.284192
= 25.24 %####

News & Blogs
Stock

2016-01-03 19:56 | Report Abuse

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

“Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years”.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)”

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Stock

2016-01-03 19:55 | Report Abuse

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.

Stock

2016-01-03 19:55 | Report Abuse

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

NTPM Holdings Bhd's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Apr. 2015 is calculated as

Graham Number
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * Earnings Per Share)
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * (Total Equity - Intangibles) * Net Income (Continuing Operations)) / Shares Outstanding
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * (360.325 - 21.038) * 42.642) / 1123.16
= 0.51
NTPM Holdings Bhd's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2015 is calculated as

Graham Number
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * Earnings Per Share)
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * (Total Equity - Intangibles) * Net Income (Continuing Operations)) / Shares Outstanding
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * (393.974 - 23.633) * 56.405) / 1123.155
= 0.61

Stock

2016-01-03 19:53 | Report Abuse

DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d=12%

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1=5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years or 20%, whichever is less => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years equals 0, => Growth Rate: 5%

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2=4%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1=10

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2=10

6. Earnings Per Share: eps=RM0.05.

Stock

2016-01-03 19:51 | Report Abuse

PM Holdings Bhd's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

DCF (Earnings Based) = Earnings Per Share * {[(1+g1)/(1+d) + (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+ (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 * [(1+g2)/(1+d) + (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}
set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.12) = 0.9375
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.12) = 0.928571428571###



DCF (Earnings Based) = eps * {[x + x^2 + ... + x^10] + x^10 * [y + y^2 + ... + y^10]}
= eps * [x * (1-x^10) / (1-x) + x^10 * y * (1-y^10) / (1-y)]
= 0.05 * 10.7016
= RM0.54###




Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) = (DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / DCF (Earnings Based)
= (0.53508 - 0.88) / 0.53508
= -64.46###

News & Blogs

2015-12-30 20:04 | Report Abuse

Hahahaha....janganlah marah abam ayam..nanti tua nanti!!!

News & Blogs

2015-12-30 18:20 | Report Abuse

Kcchong mind share your opinion on Ayam Tua favorite counter

NTPM

Stock

2015-12-29 11:28 | Report Abuse

Halega berapa lu beli abam?

Stock

2015-12-29 08:40 | Report Abuse

Ada beli kaa Ayam Tua?...pukul 2pagi pon promote NTPM!!!...

Stock

2015-12-28 22:20 | Report Abuse

Hahahaha...muksibat sungguh!!

Stock

2015-12-28 22:20 | Report Abuse

Oiii kena ketum ker?

Stock

2015-12-28 17:05 | Report Abuse

Shark counter...
Suspicious 5 transactionts 1lot buy 5minute before 5PM...

Shark wanna move up???

Stock

2015-12-28 07:23 | Report Abuse

LTKM: Sells land in Klang for RM26.0m. LTKM’s unit, Lumi Jaya SB, has disposed a 2.13ha industrial land in Kapar, Klang, for RM26.0m to JM Asiajaya SB. “The sale proceeds from the proposed disposal is expected to be utilised for future acquisition of landbank and/or for working capital purposes for the group,” LTKM said. (Bernama)

Stock

2015-12-24 11:04 | Report Abuse

Wow gap up...nvm..
Thanks traders in Century ;)

Stock

2015-12-20 18:38 | Report Abuse

Once a RM9++ company

Stock

2015-12-18 16:47 | Report Abuse

Correction...take profit....wait at RM1.25-1.21 area..journey still far...

Stock

2015-12-16 20:19 | Report Abuse

Was con counter making comeback

Stock

2015-12-16 20:10 | Report Abuse

Brocoli total post 2211

All minta tips kaa?

Stock

2015-12-16 20:06 | Report Abuse

RM1.14 resistants

News & Blogs
Stock

2015-12-16 17:08 | Report Abuse

Fundamentally RM1.80++ is the target...
Technically RM1.48 is next target to be test...

Well in the end its back to supply & demand concept...
Good luck fellas

Profit huat lai lai

Stock

2015-12-16 05:36 | Report Abuse

FA & TA is just weapon bongokkkk...
Kalo nak kaya but syarikat lepas Tu apungkan jadikan diri ko director y ada billion shares pada harga par RM0.10...

Sohai

Stock

2015-12-14 21:51 | Report Abuse

Berlobang bontot XoX punya promoter...
Sedap tak kerapu masak 3rasa warung ikan Bakar Pak Lan?...

XoXo

Stock

2015-12-11 16:41 | Report Abuse

Kesian Pos become victim of Drb-Hicom bail out project..
Once you were my darling Pos Malaysia.. =(

Stock

2015-12-11 16:27 | Report Abuse

For me I prefer P/E of 17times with earning RM0.09/share after dilution process...

Stock

2015-12-11 07:13 | Report Abuse

Earning dilution to Pos Malaysia

Stock

2015-12-11 07:12 | Report Abuse

KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 10): DRB-Hicom Bhd (DRB-Hicom) has offered to sell to Pos Malaysia Bhd, in which it owns 32.21%, its KL Airport Services Sdn Bhd (KLAS) business and part of a freehold industrial land in Shah Alam, Selangor, for RM835.16 million, to consolidate its logistics business under Pos Malaysia.
The total disposal consideration of RM835.16 million in respect of the proposed disposals shall be satisfied via the issuance of 250.80 million new ordinary shares of RM0.50 each in Pos Malaysia to HICOM Holdings at an issue price of RM3.33 per share.
The issue price of the shares shall be adjusted in the event the market price of Pos Malaysia shares on a date closer to the signing of the sale and purchase agreements in relation to the proposed disposals, exceeds a 10% variance from the stipulated issue price.

Stock

2015-12-11 06:52 | Report Abuse

I manage to watch Konsortium Logistics Berhad quarter report before the thread deleted by i3 admin...guess what loss although revenue >RM50Million per quarter..

Stock

2015-12-11 06:47 | Report Abuse

This is why drop so much..
Bail out project..expect next 2quarter will be challenging to maintain profit although there will be high in profit contribute by Konsortium Logistik..

This remind me of JV between Pos & Transmile..

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/drb-hicom-plans-logistics-consolidation-rm835m-disposals-pos-malaysia?

Stock

2015-12-09 19:42 | Report Abuse

Belah silasat.. :P

Stock

2015-12-09 18:49 | Report Abuse

Something brewing...let's do CSI to this stock

Stock

2015-12-08 14:45 | Report Abuse

8/12/15 till 31/12/15 !!!wow!!!