Particle and MDF boards pricing maintained and cost of raw materials dropped quite significant, hope to see 1st positive quarterly result.

How can lowest income group benefit RM 828 from GST. 2014 BR1M was Rm 650 and next year is Rm 950. The increase is only Rm 300. If based on your figure, the benefit is only Rm 228.

Based on the report, year 2015 has only 9 months into GST and able to collect RM 21.7 billion. If base on full year, the collection is amounted to Rm 29 billion. With our population of 29 million, everyone of us is paying average of Rm 1000 per year. My family of 5 person, which mean that my bills are Rm 5000 per annum. With expected of collection of Rm 21.7 billion, the increase in government revenue is only Rm 0.69 billion, then why go for GST, you can increase gambling and cigarate duties, the government can get more than the amount.

All furniture manufacturers, Vanachai, Mieco and Hevea are in uptrend (chart wise ) except Evergreen. Can its price continue to stay at present level? ????

One day buy back 5 over percent, maximum 10% only.

Nbtrend, I am still hold to Evergreen and have same feeling as you that it may come back soon. Most of the Evergreen's investors are in losing position now and they might not to off load the share at the moment as the price for particle and MDF boards are improving. Other same business nature companies's share price have run up significantly except Evergreen. This is because of special provision of losses for log and major maintenance for the plant last quarter. The management must be understood that the situation and next quarter result must be improving significantly.( All negative news had announced and taken care off)

Thank NOBY. Your message is highly appreciated. Otherwise, hanging in the air, not knowing what action to take.

Bought another 200k yesterday in expect of good 2nd quarterly result. StockLearner, thank for the information about the legal suit's claim.

StockLearner, from Hevea, Vanachai and Mieco quarterly report, I believed that particle board and Mdf board industry are in recovery stage. Evergreen turnover and profit will definitely improving. The share price was falling from Rm 1.60 to the lowest of Rm0.45 and now rebound back to only Rm0.62. I think that the price may go to Rm0.87 which is also my target price.
I believed that Evergreen has a good management team but not in a good industry. The legal settlement with Naza, according to management was baseless and misleading, I trust them will do a good job. Let wait for the quarterly result before next move to be analised.

Vanachai, Thailand move up 17% yesterday and 80% for last two weeks. Same business nature with Hevea. After Q2 result out on 14/8/2014, the share up already almost 50%.

Vanachai went up by 17% or TB 1.25. Last two weeks, the share has moved up 80%. Hope it will spread to Evergreen, same business nature. Sellers subsided. May rebound tomorrow.

6 months net profit for Vanachai Group is THB 194.4M or Rm 19.4m.

Bought 300k at 0.65 during yesterday last 10 minutes sell down.

Must has good result coming quarter as Thai company Vanachai report good profit growth with particle board.

Vanachai group is Thai company whose has the same nature business as Hevea. Profit margin jump 100% from last quarter. From the price movement, HEvea profit must be very good.

Vanachai Group Public Co. Ltd. Announces Consolidated and Company Earnings Results for the Second Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2014
Aug 14 14
Vanachai Group Public Co. Ltd. announced consolidated and company earnings results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2014. For the quarter, on consolidated basis, the company reported net profit of THB 126,392,000 compared to net loss of THB 164,507,000 a year ago. EPS was THB 0.10 compared to LPS of THB 0.13 a year ago. The company and its subsidiaries have the total revenue from sales in amount of THB 2,588.2 million which is increasing from the year 2013 at equivalence of THB 651.5 million or approximately by 34%. These caused, the world economic is likely to be rebounded, which the sale total revenue of the company increasing from the year 2013. the net profit has increase THB 290.9 million or 177% for the main reasons: the total sales has increased THB 651.5 million, due to sales volume of Particleboards has increased by 59%. The average price of MDF Board has increased by 10%. Net cash flow used operating activities is THB 41.4 million, increase by THB 689.7 million from the previous year because of increase in trade and other receivable by THB 659.3 million, revenue department receivable by THB 73.5 million, increase in the inventories by THB 649.4 million, increase trade and other payable by THB 298.5 million and decrease advance received from customers by THB 110.9 million. For the six months, on consolidated basis, the company reported net profit of THB 194,403,000 compared to net loss of THB 281,849,000 a year ago. EPS was THB 0.15 compared to LPS of THB 0.22 a year ago. For the quarter, on company basis, the company reported net profit of THB 82,819,000 compared to net loss of THB 9,707,000 a year ago. EPS was THB 0.06 compared to LPS of THB 0.01 a year ago. For the six months, on company basis, the company reported net profit of THB 77,769,000 compared to net loss of THB 80,387,000 a year ago. EPS was THB 0.06 compared to LPS of THB 0.06 a year ago.

Vanachai Group Public Co. Ltd. Announces Consolidated and Company Earnings Results for the Second Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2014
Aug 14 14
Vanachai Group Public Co. Ltd. announced consolidated and company earnings results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2014. For the quarter, on consolidated basis, the company reported net profit of THB 126,392,000 compared to net loss of THB 164,507,000 a year ago. EPS was THB 0.10 compared to LPS of THB 0.13 a year ago. The company and its subsidiaries have the total revenue from sales in amount of THB 2,588.2 million which is increasing from the year 2013 at equivalence of THB 651.5 million or approximately by 34%. These caused, the world economic is likely to be rebounded, which the sale total revenue of the company increasing from the year 2013. the net profit has increase THB 290.9 million or 177% for the main reasons: the total sales has increased THB 651.5 million, due to sales volume of Particleboards has increased by 59%. The average price of MDF Board has increased by 10%. Net cash flow used operating activities is THB 41.4 million, increase by THB 689.7 million from the previous year because of increase in trade and other receivable by THB 659.3 million, revenue department receivable by THB 73.5 million, increase in the inventories by THB 649.4 million, increase trade and other payable by THB 298.5 million and decrease advance received from customers by THB 110.9 million. For the six months, on consolidated basis, the company reported net profit of THB 194,403,000 compared to net loss of THB 281,849,000 a year ago. EPS was THB 0.15 compared to LPS of THB 0.22 a year ago

StockLearner, my wish come true when the price can go up to 90 cents which is my cost of the share. Any way thank you.

Vanachai group go up another 30 cents or 5% to TB 6.35.

Yesterday, Vanachai group share( Thailand) increased by 8% or TB 0.45 from TB 5.60 to TB 6.05. The group 2 nd quarter result is due to announce and definately must be a good quarter. Last week, the share went up by more than 20%. Hopefully, next week is Evergreen turn to go up up.......

It is not easy to get informations about Evergreen since the company stop issuing data about market pricing. Thank you very much.

At the moment, foudamental is not that importance and more people are go for technical analysis. Active volume is more preferred.

sleepingtiger, thank you.

Sleepingtiger, please more elaborate on your statement. Thank you.

KC, thank you. May be I am lucky.

KC, I also made quite a lot during year 2010 and the market turn around after then, what I made was eroded. This time, I try not to go into same situation, to reduce impact on my investment in case of market turn, I started to buy YTLREIT from my liquidation of Pmetal shares at average price of Rm 0.92. I had received first dividend of 2.08 cents a month plus ago and going to get the second dividend of 2.4848 cents by end of the month. I intended not to go into buying any shares from now onward until market corrected significantly and keep Ytlreit for dividend. KC, am I in the right strategy? Or what is your advise? Thank you.

TQ KC. I bought some Pmetal 2 year plus ago at around Rm 1.70. Lately the price shoot up very fast from Rm 2.2 and when it came to Rm3.50, I fear that the price will turn around and my profit will erase. So, my decision to start selling from Rm 3.50 to 3.72 for 50% of the share to lock in the profit. However, the share keep going up and when it touch Rm 4.50, my feeling told me that I have enough profit and start to liquidate another 50% from Rm 4.51 to 4.80. The share continue to go up to Rm 5.80 yesterday. I am please to make good profit from the share. KC, is my investment strategy ok? If you are in my position, what is your strategy? TQ

You can search for "murasaki ts" to find out what MTSB company is doing.

Qwerty, a bit sad to see you withdrew your write out. I hope you still can share with us. Personally I am not yet in LB cos I am fundamental player, I don't know much about the company. I knew that with present market sentiment, no so much depend on fundamental but more better on technical analysis.

Qwerty, I keep track of what your write and guess that with present share market sentiment, you must have made tons of money lately. My view is that you know when to enter and out of share, even though you may be wrong, but less chances. These has made you the winner of the game. Thank a lot for sharing of information.

Qwerty, hope you can continue your information sharing with us. I have learnt from you last few days and feel that my investment strategy is more maturing. Thank a lot Qwerty.

If Mr Q can be correct, he will be better than Warren Buffet and next richest man in the world. What he want is to educate us to know better about share analysis. Qwerty, I like your analysis even though, I sold my Pmetal a bit early. But I have learned a lot from you last few days about technical analysis. Thank you for your sharing.

Last two days bought in 500k share based on weekly chart indicated break up. Today confirmed and hope strong move next week.

Qwerty,I had liquidated all my Pmetal yesterday. Good profit. Any other share you are in?

Natural gas keep dropping mean urea price is dropping too. Main component of glue manufacturing is urea and also mean that glue cost is dropping too. Rubber price is dropping and more rubber estates will chop down the old trees for replanting. Main cost of MDF board is rubber logs which is about one third of the production cost. Glue cost is about one quarter of the production cost. The rest is labour and utility cost. So I think the company may turn to profit second quarter and continue into next quarter.

Qwerty, I like your analysis which is in line with my view too. Let see tomorrow morning can break Rm4.50 which has 172k seller waiting.

Aluminium price hit another high this year and warehouse stock at low again also

World Cup is over, Pmetal is up again. Aluminium price is year high and warehouse stock is year low.

Because most small players are already taken profit and they are no more in Pmetal.

Can any one found out that Sinopec(China)/Knm at Rapid Project was disqualified and lost the project to Toyo Engineering group. Is true, Knm will not get the Rm1.8B.

My experience with call warrant was KNM 4 years ago. Exercise price Rm2.00, ratio at 4:1. Price KNM at Rm3.20, KNM-CB at Rm0.28. which is 2 cents below actual value. I started to accumulated. 2 weeks before expired, the operator started to dump KNM to near Rm2.00. The last 5 days average price of KNM were used to calculate the final settlement price, and I loss significant on the Call Warrant. From then, I never touch Call Warrant again as it was no fair to us. My advise based on my experience only.

If by next May and June,2015, Pmetal price at Rm3.50, Ca and Cb will be zero value. High risk! If Ca at Rm 0.30, Pmetal price must be at Rm5.98.

Secured Rm 1.8 billion from Rapid Project.

Ca Rm 0.20 is equivalent to Pmetal Rm 5.18

World Cup will start soon, all fund managers go for holiday, this month will be very dull for the stock market.

Aluminium warehouse stock dropped to one year low indicated demand is up and price will up too. Turnover per quarter is near to Rm900M and will boost further ahead.

Unexpected dividend of 5 cents for 1st quarter. May be more to come as the result will get even better over next few quarters.

Secured a big project from Rapid.

The drawn down of Aluminium from warehouse stock is about 10000 ton per day for last two weeks. Good sign of Aluminium price will go up.

Based on Rm 0.225 for Pmetal-CA, you are only break even when price of Pmetal gone up to Rm 5.38 on 28/5/2015, one year from now. Conversion price = Rm 3.58 and ratio 8:1, the calculation is = Rm 3.58 + 8 x Rm 0.225 = Rm 5.38. Be careful of your hard earn money.