wiki123

wiki123 | Joined since 2014-03-03

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Stock

2018-11-19 11:31 | Report Abuse

during the budget

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2018-11-19 11:30 | Report Abuse

not so sure, the recent Finance Minister said the budget, all to be payout by end 2019... so not sure if can complete by early 2019...

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2018-11-19 11:21 | Report Abuse

u mean the gst refund?

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2018-11-19 11:21 | Report Abuse

" they will get back the refunds in a few months" how does it work? can enlighten?

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2018-11-19 11:02 | Report Abuse

re: Highfive, correct on the interest... but this is only analysis on their accounts, what actions they do is still something of interest... coz, can see that their funding cost has gone up... which is not good... they are now transferring debt from long term debt to short term debt... hopefully the banker as chairman can help maneuver the best funding option...

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2018-11-19 10:36 | Report Abuse

read through Kossan report over the weekend, interesting, at least profit is increasing... but margin expansion is still not there... took on a lot of debt for expansion... i think for acquisition of land in Perak, building of 2 new plants as well... but strange is its margin increase due to more revenue, like gloves, increased 18%, but profit also increased 18%... which should be profit also increase much more... so i would think volume increase, but either ASP under pressure or opex increases due to nitrile cost... don't really like the debt increase... at least superman's debt is backed by gst/tax refundable of 30+mil, 2 big landbank which they can monetise, treasury shares of RM48mil (which is now worth RM100mil)... easily cash of more than RM150mil.... which can cut debt to half or at least use for expansion...

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2018-11-18 12:58 | Report Abuse

This glory will be helped by kossan good result...

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2018-11-16 17:40 | Report Abuse

ok, let me count based on symmetry... low 2.86 to 3.70 (0.84), then low again to 3.50, then next target (3.50+0.84) = 4.33?

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2018-11-16 15:21 | Report Abuse

yayah... 4.20 mari...

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2018-11-16 15:11 | Report Abuse

on fire... not factory ya...

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2018-11-16 11:54 | Report Abuse

but you have a point, if past 3.80, 4.20 next... 80/20 rule...

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2018-11-16 11:49 | Report Abuse

3.20 or 4.20? 3.20 here many pple cry...

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2018-11-16 11:22 | Report Abuse

Monday t+7... maybe monday only real action?

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2018-11-15 14:22 | Report Abuse

@raja, mine is daily EMA13 and EMA34... almost similar to your weekly MA10... but weekly MA10 can't catch the fall in end aug... not that i took profit then also... i just left it for this stock, usually for other stock, i would do the exit and enter when EMA13 cross back up EMA34... :)

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2018-11-15 09:11 | Report Abuse

if no t+4 then t+7 or t+10... still got one more cw expiring end of this month...

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2018-11-14 20:12 | Report Abuse

@tys.. tomorrow can 3.80 if us market turnaround...

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2018-11-14 14:28 | Report Abuse

@qqq3, wah this layhong looks attractive... from chart think can still go to 0.70+... ur opinion?

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2018-11-14 11:10 | Report Abuse

ohh kc, i remember reading about his stuff... about accounting method etc... the way to value etc... maybe a bit too conservative for me... I like growth stock better...

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2018-11-14 10:59 | Report Abuse

@qqq3, whats the story about layhong? and who is kc?

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2018-11-14 09:50 | Report Abuse

sure break... today t+4

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2018-11-14 09:29 | Report Abuse

@lching... true... but they say use gross profit from lens, so no loss there... just don't show profit in lens only... glove profit still jalan... 30% glove extra factory 10 & 11 jalan in end 2017... 9 months later, you see first sign of income due to receivables and sales lead time... etc... later next Q you will see better efficiency glove line result in Perak contributing...

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2018-11-14 09:26 | Report Abuse

nope... only recently when it's so attractive at 1++... but i like to analyse historical chart... and see their behaviour... this one sleeping since 2007... whoever holds this cry ler...

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2018-11-14 09:21 | Report Abuse

that time got APL industries issue... in 2007, so after split 2.30... it went downhill all the way... coz need to charge impairment etc... this time, so far didn't see anything that affects financial. worst case is more tax etc... nothing related to financial... not even jail is related to financial.. i think we have a chance at 2.30 again... and possibly if US drops during that time, it may do a back test at 2 for support....

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2018-11-14 09:13 | Report Abuse

For historical, during 2007, it went from 2.60 to 4.54... then on first day of split close at 2.30...

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2018-11-14 08:58 | Report Abuse

i remember Datosri mentioned before, when they analyse this sector, they found margins can be as high as 1000%... it does make sense, contact lens is only polymer... that small piece of polymer is how much you think? and their lens is thin one, not thick... other ingredients are filcon II water, and electricity... those robotics, need high electricity? no need... the chemist they hire now, can deal with 70million, and upon expansion 200million... no need to add more... headcount expenses is upfront... not like gloves keep expanding, keep adding headcounts...

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2018-11-14 08:40 | Report Abuse

Wah Charles, you are really big investor ler... ok give you one tip... US (DJIA & S&P) will have a good rally... S&P may even rally to about 2900... enough to fool many pple thinking ath again... it will ath but not now... during this rally, see superman can how much? i think maybe close to ath? should be close to 4.50... unless another good news come, then above 4.50... so i think it's intention is to split around 2?

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2018-11-13 17:09 | Report Abuse

no choice, in M'sia our market is so small... to invest need very selective... to do multiple times, you need to choose company with global market and access... selective semi-con, gloves, etc... industrials that can sell to whole world...

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2018-11-13 17:07 | Report Abuse

glove no pro... those who have a lot of Harta & topglove is pro... me sikit saja...

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2018-11-13 17:05 | Report Abuse

@charles, yes 70million lens per year... machine cost RM100mil for the first 70million, understood is RM150mil for the next 150million pieces .... but superman is not harta... usually it overpromise but underdeliver (timeline wise)... meaning, it takes longer time to execute... hence the lower PE... Harta is smooth operator... superman always like to play with the clouds when flying...
Dont forget, St Shine optical makes lenses for Hubble contacts of USA... who is charging USD33 per 60 pieces lens... and still make quite a fair bit of profit...

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2018-11-13 16:18 | Report Abuse

Similarly for Seed contact lens, current production = 450million lens per year (37.5million per month)
https://www.scmp.com/country-reports/business/topics/japan-business-report-2018/article/2143422/contact-lens-pioneer-seed
Seed yearly revenue is about RM1b.... gross profit is about RM470million
https://asia.nikkei.com/Companies/Seed-Co.-Ltd.-7743
That means the selling price is about RM2.22 per piece vs cost of RM1... (malaysia cost of production is less against japan)
For Superman, their selling price is USD30 (RM126) in US for 60 pieces (30 pairs). In M'sia it is pricing it about RM60 for 60 pieces (RM1 per piece, or RM2 per pair, initially was priced at RM130)... we can guesstimate that the revenue per year of 70million pieces is between RM70million to RM150million. Gross profit could be in the region of RM35 to 70million per year.... Lets take RM40million as a guide... when they add 150million pieces (becomes 220million in total), that will be RM40 X 3 = RM120million profit in few years time... ? that's quite conservative against St Shine of RM200+million net profit for 250million pieces... even at 100million profit, it is still 100% from yearly net profit...

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2018-11-13 13:48 | Report Abuse

for info purpose, St Shine optical's (of Taiwan) net profit is about RM200+million with 250million pcs of lens... that's where superman wants to expand to adding 150million pcs to its 70million pcs in few years time... St Shine said 20 new lines will be open to satisfy demand in Japan and USA...
http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/biz/archives/2018/03/26/2003690026

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2018-11-13 13:34 | Report Abuse

china no 1 trade guy talking to US... will not totally resolve the trade issue, but at least formulate a framework for discussion before negotiations... should see a bounce in market...

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2018-11-13 08:59 | Report Abuse

In Malaysia alone, if 300k person (1% of population) wear lens, will require 300000*30(pieces)*2(1 pair)*12 months will require 200million pcs, easily surpass whatever production Superman can produce...

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2018-11-13 08:47 | Report Abuse

contact lens fact:- in 2012, more than 6 per 10 people in 2012 wear either glasses or lens worldwide. so this is a hugely potential sector....

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2018-11-12 18:05 | Report Abuse

re: Raja, 10 weeks MA is nice.... :)

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2018-11-12 09:13 | Report Abuse

if we use SMA 50 and SMA200, then SMA50 already cross downwards below SMA200, if use EMA, then 50 is still above 200... hmm... don't know which to use...

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2018-11-09 18:26 | Report Abuse

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5969897

the last time the director was active was in the acquisition and liquidation of share was in 2009 and 2010... this time's purchase in time for a bull cycle to come?

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2018-11-09 08:34 | Report Abuse

@pang, you wanna catch the remaining juice? still got room to go...

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2018-11-08 17:07 | Report Abuse

it has to work very hard... else MA50 will cross MA200... tomorrow uptrend will continue so that MA50 can reverse up to stay above MA200....

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2018-11-08 16:48 | Report Abuse

short term, bb10 and rsi can be your friend...

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2018-11-08 15:47 | Report Abuse

this one if they really want to push, one news eg like China contact lens approval news... .can really push past 4....

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2018-11-08 15:46 | Report Abuse

@Charles, maybe coming soon...

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2018-11-08 15:46 | Report Abuse

on short term, all the way until 3.90 also not overheat... nice...

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2018-11-08 15:40 | Report Abuse

@poorinvestor, aiyo the bolinger band 10 still not overheat... why sell so fast? still got lots of room to go...

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2018-11-08 08:47 | Report Abuse

hi, i3lurker, what is the announcement?

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2018-11-07 17:56 | Report Abuse

3.50 and above coming...