strong company but no people support the company. is that why drop in short term? but if it is a good fundamental company, long term the price will shoot triple or even more? am i right?
MONEY TALK Supercomnet Technologies (SCT MK) Staging For A Stronger Comeback 3Q20 was an uneventful quarter dragged by forex losses, cost overrun and higher raw material cost for a new project start-up. That said, we understand these were just temporary setbacks which should not recur after the improvement in learning curve. Scomnet is staging for a stronger comeback,backed by strong orderbook visibility from its broad spectrum of key clients. Maintain BUY with target price of RM2.40. RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS A temporary blip. Supercomnet Technologies (Scomnet) recorded a dismal 3Q20 core net profit of RM5.5m (+3.5% qoq, +19.6 yoy), bringing 9M20 core net profit to Rm13.8m which only made up 51% of our full-year estimate. Nevertheless, 3Q20 revenue grew 7.8% yoy to RM37.8m, backed by stronger sales from both the medical and automobile segments. Bottom-line shortfall and margin downtick on exceptional outflows. Despite stronger revenue in the quarter, we noticed a plunge in net margin that impacted the bottom-line numbers. On a yoy basis, the slight decline in net margin (-1.1% yoy) was mainly due to labour and raw material cost overrun, driven by one of its key medical clients’ urgent demand surge for its endoscope cable. The rejection rate of this product spiked during the quarter, causing higher wastage of raw materials as well as overtime shifts to fulfil the overwhelming demand. All that being said, we understand that all these are non-recurring items as management has taken the necessary steps to achieve better efficiency with cost normalisation expected from 4Q20 onwards. More clarity on SMP’s robust orderbook guidance... Our recent channel check with management revealed that orderbook volume for Scomnet’s medical segment, Supercomal Medical Products (SMP), remains strong, with orderbook visibility until 2Q21 and 1Q22 for key clients – customer E and customer A respectively. Note that both customers made up about 90% of SMP’s revenue in 2019. …but slight disruption from COVID-19 impact. Due to the COVID-19 disruption, there are some reduction in orders volume from its customer M. Vis-à-vis the decent sales projection from this customer which could boost its earnings by 25% from 3Q20 onwards, the mass production has been delayed on COVID-19 disruption. Nevertheless, the shortfall of revenue contribution from this customer was partially offset by stronger demand from customer A and customer E.
Multi-pronged catalysts to sustain supercharged growth beyond 2021. We believe Scomnet will emerge as one of the most prominent global healthcare proxies in Malaysia and poised to deliver explosive earnings in FY21. This will be mainly driven by: a) resilient earnings visibility from its strong medical orderbooks on hand; b) incremental revenue from new medical products (D’Clot Catheter, Colonoscopy GI and Gastroscopy GI which will begin mass production in 1Q21; customer M’s D’Clot and new clients’ blood clotting product); c) near-term capacity expansion to fulfil explosive demand for medical segment’s products; d) significant contribution from new automobile client – customer P from 3Q21 onwards; and e) transfer to healthcare sector and mainboard listing which could catalyse a potential valuation rerating. Maintain BUY with a target price of RM2.40. Post meeting, we have trimmed our 2020- 21 revenue forecasts by 12% and 10% respectively to reflect lower contributions from Mermaid Medical and PSA on the slower orderbook projections. We are also assuming a full conversion of existing warrants into our valuations, factoring in share base of 857.3m shares and theoretical cash increment of RM140m. In terms of valuation (refer RHS valuation table), we have pegged our target price to 35x 2021F PE, its 3-year mean and at a discount to Bursa Malaysia Healthcare Index of 43x. INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS Medical segment: SMP will see its full potential in FY21. SMP’s growth will be fuelled by several new products which are poised for commercial production from 2021 onwards. a) For customer A, the spotlight will be on its Colonoscopy GI, Gastrocopy GI and Duodenoscopy GI which is expected to contribute about 15-20% of incremental group revenue from 2021 onwards. The overwhelming demand for its endoscopy cables, which has seen a tremendous sales leap of several folds compared to pre-MCO levels, will also significantly enhance earnings. b) For customer E, SMP will continue to benefit from the expansion of medical orderbook with organic yoy growth of at least 10-16% for its existing products, while there are also about seven projects with customer E on hand. c) For customer M, the mass production of its D’Clot HD Catheter has been pushed back due to the delays in product training processes amid COVID-19 disruptions. That said, this is just a temporary setback and production should be able to start immediately once the doctors are able to conduct physical training and complete the production requirements. d) We also understand that SMP has secured a new client with a prominent new blood clotting product for dialysis. While Scomnet recently presented the product to FDA in Los Angeles, the approval results should be announced in Feb/Mar 21. Notably, the US Navy Force has signed an agreement to receive supply of this blood clotting product. We believe this product can contribute positively to SMP’s earnings as early as 2Q21 next year immediately after FDA approval, given that SMP has already allocated the facilities and equipment required for commercial production. Automobile segment: Growth trajectory from customer P. The emergence of Supercomal Advanced Cables’ (SAC) latest key customer P will enhance the growth of Scomnet’s automobile segment. The agreement from this customer, which allows SAC to supply wire harnessing and fuel tanks (higher margin), is expected to contribute about 20- 30% incremental revenue to SAC’s current revenue base in 2021, with subsequent years to see higher revenue contributions. 2021’s earnings growth will be backed by new revenue streams from this customer. We also understand that customer P has recently put in another RM6.6m capex into SAC to purchase wire harness and fuel tank production equipment.
not lies but they just take from old reports? the rakuten report is a September report. see link below with the TP 2.68. i'm sure if they see the new quarterly earningsm they will adjust the TP
Jazzkhor... this is not a goreng counter ... read some good comments from this forum, the price will automatically adjust up accordingly once the results improved. I will hold this counter for at least 6 more months ...:>
UAE says Sinopharm vaccine has 86% efficacy against COVID-19
DUBAI (Reuters) - An experimental coronavirus vaccine developed by China’s Sinopharm has 86% efficacy against the virus, the United Arab Emirates health ministry said on Wednesday, citing an interim analysis of a human trial underway there.
The Gulf Arab state in July started Phase 3 clinical trials of the vaccine, developed by Beijing Institute of Biological Product, a unit of Sinopharm’s China National Biotec Group (CNBG). In September, the UAE approved its emergency use for certain groups.
The analysis also shows “99% seroconversion rate of neutralizing antibody and 100% effectiveness in preventing moderate and severe cases of the disease”, the ministry said in a statement carried by the state news agency.
“The analysis shows no serious safety concerns,” it said.
It also said it had officially registered the vaccine, without elaborating, and that 31,000 volunteers across 125 nationalities participated in the UAE trial.
United Arab Emirates Claims China’s Sinopharm Vaccine Is 100% Effective At Preventing Moderate And Severe Covid-19
TOPLINE The experimental vaccine developed by China National Pharmaceutical Group, also known as Sinopharm, is 86% effective at preventing Covid-19 infection and 100% effective at preventing severe and moderate disease, health officials from the United Arab Emirates announced Wednesday, although with scarce detail provided about the trial.
The UAE health ministry cited an interim analysis of a late-stage clinical trial involving 31,000 volunteers as the source of its information, though neither they nor Sinopharm provided any data from the trial to validate the claims such as how many participants were infected or how many actually received the vaccine.
The ministry said “no serious safety concerns” were observed, though, again, no information on side effects was provided.
The ministry said the announcement is a “significant vote of confidence by the UAE’s health authorities in the safety and efficacy of this vaccine.”
The ministry added that it had officially registered the vaccine at the request of the manufacturer, which it says could eventually lead to the shot’s widespread authorization.
Supercomnet Technologies (SCT MK) Staging For A Stronger Comeback 3Q20 was an uneventful quarter dragged by forex losses, cost overrun and higher raw material cost for a new project start-up. That said, we understand these were just temporary setbacks which should not recur after the improvement in learning curve. Scomnet is staging for a stronger comeback,backed by strong orderbook visibility from its broad spectrum of key clients. Maintain BUY with target price of RM2.40. RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS A temporary blip. Supercomnet Technologies (Scomnet) recorded a dismal 3Q20 core net profit of RM5.5m (+3.5% qoq, +19.6 yoy), bringing 9M20 core net profit to Rm13.8m which only made up 51% of our full-year estimate. Nevertheless, 3Q20 revenue grew 7.8% yoy to RM37.8m, backed by stronger sales from both the medical and automobile segments. Bottom-line shortfall and margin downtick on exceptional outflows. Despite stronger revenue in the quarter, we noticed a plunge in net margin that impacted the bottom-line numbers. On a yoy basis, the slight decline in net margin (-1.1% yoy) was mainly due to labour and raw material cost overrun, driven by one of its key medical clients’ urgent demand surge for its endoscope cable. The rejection rate of this product spiked during the quarter, causing higher wastage of raw materials as well as overtime shifts to fulfil the overwhelming demand. All that being said, we understand that all these are non-recurring items as management has taken the necessary steps to achieve better efficiency with cost normalisation expected from 4Q20 onwards. More clarity on SMP’s robust orderbook guidance... Our recent channel check with management revealed that orderbook volume for Scomnet’s medical segment, Supercomal Medical Products (SMP), remains strong, with orderbook visibility until 2Q21 and 1Q22 for key clients – customer E and customer A respectively. Note that both customers made up about 90% of SMP’s revenue in 2019. …but slight disruption from COVID-19 impact. Due to the COVID-19 disruption, there are some reduction in orders volume from its customer M. Vis-à-vis the decent sales projection from this customer which could boost its earnings by 25% from 3Q20 onwards, the mass production has been delayed on COVID-19 disruption. Nevertheless, the shortfall of revenue contribution from this customer was partially offset by stronger demand from customer A and customer E.
07/12/2020 6:25 PM

bigearl Multi-pronged catalysts to sustain supercharged growth beyond 2021. We believe Scomnet will emerge as one of the most prominent global healthcare proxies in Malaysia and poised to deliver explosive earnings in FY21. This will be mainly driven by: a) resilient earnings visibility from its strong medical orderbooks on hand; b) incremental revenue from new medical products (D’Clot Catheter, Colonoscopy GI and Gastroscopy GI which will begin mass production in 1Q21; customer M’s D’Clot and new clients’ blood clotting product); c) near-term capacity expansion to fulfil explosive demand for medical segment’s products; d) significant contribution from new automobile client – customer P from 3Q21 onwards; and e) transfer to healthcare sector and mainboard listing which could catalyse a potential valuation rerating. Maintain BUY with a target price of RM2.40. Post meeting, we have trimmed our 2020- 21 revenue forecasts by 12% and 10% respectively to reflect lower contributions from Mermaid Medical and PSA on the slower orderbook projections. We are also assuming a full conversion of existing warrants into our valuations, factoring in share base of 857.3m shares and theoretical cash increment of RM140m. In terms of valuation (refer RHS valuation table), we have pegged our target price to 35x 2021F PE, its 3-year mean and at a discount to Bursa Malaysia Healthcare Index of 43x. INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS Medical segment: SMP will see its full potential in FY21. SMP’s growth will be fuelled by several new products which are poised for com
on from 2021 onwards. a) For customer A, the spotlight will be on its Colonoscopy GI, Gastrocopy GI and Duodenoscopy GI which is expected to contribute about 15-20% of incremental group revenue from 2021 onwards. The overwhelming demand for its endoscopy cables, which has seen a tremendous sales leap of several folds compared to pre-MCO levels, will also significantly enhance earnings. b) For customer E, SMP will continue to benefit from the expansion of medical orderbook with organic yoy growth of at least 10-16% for its existing products, while there are also about seven projects with customer E on hand. c) For customer M, the mass production of its D’Clot HD Catheter has been pushed back due to the delays in product training processes amid COVID-19 disruptions. That said, this is just a temporary setback and production should be able to start immediately once the doctors are able to conduct physical training and complete the production requirements. d) We also understand that SMP has secured a new client with a prominent new blood clotting product for dialysis. While Scomnet recently presented the product to FDA in Los Angeles, the approval results should be announced in Feb/Mar 21. Notably, the US Navy Force has signed an agreement to receive supply of this blood clotting product. We believe this product can contribute positively to SMP’s earnings as early as 2Q21 next year immediately after FDA approval, given that SMP has already allocated the facilities and equipment required for commercial production. Automobile segment: Growth trajectory from customer P. The emergence of Supercomal Advanced Cables’ (SAC) latest key customer P will enhance the growth of Scomnet’s automobile segment. The agreement from this customer, which allows SAC to supply wire harnessing and fuel tanks (higher margin), is expected to contribute about 20- 30% incremental revenue to SAC’s current revenue base in 2021, with subsequent years to see higher revenue contributions. 2021’s earnings growth will be backed by new revenue streams from this customer. We also understand that customer P has recently put in another RM6.6m capex into SAC to purchase wire harness and fuel tank production equipment.
The trends we've noticed at Supercomnet Technologies Berhad are quite reassuring. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 14%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 483%. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.
In Conclusion...
In summary, it's great to see that Supercomnet Technologies Berhad can compound returns by consistently reinvesting capital at increasing rates of return, because these are some of the key ingredients of those highly sought after multi-baggers. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last five years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
jazzkhor
139 posts
Posted by jazzkhor > 2020-12-04 15:54 | Report Abuse
My gut feel also good counter. But seeing this dropping. My faith have drop