Hibiscus's Mr.Kenneth and Perisai's Zainol are good buddies, yesterday hibiscus bought Shell asset ...... These 2 very interesting , don't miss the boat might fly to 15sen?
Exercise caution while trading in Perisai. When a company goes into PN17, it means the company`s liabilities are higher than its nett assets. If the bond holders believe that there is a way out, then restructuring of the loan will take place but if after looking into the books of Perisai, the bond holders feel that winding up is the only option, then the company goes into receivership. Just to quote past cases, SJA was liquidated by Hong Leong Nominees many years ago when they gained control of SJA through minority shareholders support. But yet upon taking control of SJA, Hong Leong Nominees just asset stripped and liquidated SJA to recover whatever they could for their masters. Minority shareholders interests was of no concern of theirs. Another case was Lityan/ Theta, Tabung Haji went to the courts to fight against KLSE`s order to delist Lityan/ Theta. Why did Tabung Haji opposed the delisting of Lityan/ Theta? Because they had invested too much money into Lityan/Theta and would have to write off hundreds of millions if Lityan/ Theta was delisted and later goes bankrupt. What Tabung Haji did was appoint new managers for Lityan/Theta and consolidate Lityan`s shares. Something like 30 lots of 1000 units becoming one new lot of 1000 units. And later, Rights issue at RM 1.00 nominal was offered to shareholders. But till today, Lityan/ Theta could not recover from its financial losses and is hovering at around 0.32 sen per unit. I guess the losses suffered by Tabung Haji and other shareholders is beyond recovery. Perisai is staring at either extremes of what I have just explained. So be very careful. Just go back and read what I posted during the period between March 2013 till September 2013 to understand the situation more clearly.
I have to disagree on a couple of points in yr statement.
1. PN 17 - It does not mean that liabilities r in excess of assets.
In the case of Perisai, it's NTA is 52 sen which means if the company is liquidated, all ordinary shareholders gets repaid 52 sen per share that the hold after paying all bankers including Bond Holders. But in the real world, since Perisai is under duress (Having cash flow problems) the assets will be sold under different circumstances i.e. Forced sale values which under extreme cirmstances under 50-70% discount . Please do remember the impairment for most of the assets have happened at last year end so this time around the forced sale discount may not be much lower.
2. Perisai is facing cash flow problems, having overstretched on asset purchase which r not generating income. If those assets can be liquidated at near purchase prices, bond holders cane be repaid in full but this will take some time . Bond holders want their money now but that was impossible hence default was the best option.
3. Perisai will be under court protection so bond holders may not have total control of the company but control of only those assets which were financed by the bonds.
I believe the bond holders know that they can get their money back in full without taking any haircut cos Perisai's NTA is of better quality & liquidation is the best option for them.
Not every PN17 company situation is the same. 2 examples of extremity
1. MAA cash rich PN17 company
2. Trive (Etitech) GN1/PN17 - reorganised, assets were of poor quality, bankers converted loans to shares & warrants, after reorganised, slowly wrote off more no value assets assets, showed 30m sales just to prop up the balance sheet but money still not collected after 1 yr, now almost all the old directors have resigned, directors hold no shares, rolling the shares in the mkt, soon will slip to PN 17 again if no business plan
Fyi ------- I hold no shares in any of these companies
why suddenly those ppl who refrain to invest in perisai PN17 would willing to write such lengthy explanation without collecting single cent to advise ppl on financial stuff, if we go profession for advise some more get charges. Ya the world has free lunch, now we see the free lunch posted every now and then for advising ppl cut loss .
Ya, china ppl buy in perisai. if not Tabung Haji cut loss and disposed million shares, which stupid guy go to pick up all the rubbish PN 17 shares at this moment ? Million units changed hand with just 0.005 cent down.
Chokra you mention 2 cases of unsuccessful (well from the point of view of minority shareholders anyway) PN 17 cases. Can you balance your argument for the interested parties here by providing 2 cases of successful PN17, where the companies managed to turn around? You see there is no point in painting pictures of doom and gloom without providing the alternative scenarios to allow people to make informed judgements.
Tq Jetli for your fair comments. I concede not all PN17 companies are a disaster. Yes, a cash rich company with no significant core business can also be classified under PN17. I was airing my thoughts after reading and listening to what the oil and gas industry is undergoing right now. I get my news from newspapers, CNBC and Bloomberg. Right now charter rates for oil and gas assets are pegged to oil prices and obviously there is a mismatch between charter rates and money that is needed to service bank loans to purchase these assets that were ordered or planned when oil was USD 110.00 per barrel and beyond. I hope oil and gas companies will have no more need to write down their asset values. Please take note that Perisai have to take delivery of their preordered oil rigs Pacific 102 and 103 respectively from Sembawang Shipyard. As it is, their MOPU oil rig and pipe laying Enterprise is idling without any sign of new contracts. It is going to be very difficult for Perisai. Some companies will manage to ride through the oil price storm but some will not. Just for the record, currently I do not own any shares in oil and gas companies. Less some readers might think I am a trouble maker, I shall refrain to comment on this counter in the future.
Chokra........I was not taking any swipe at you. In fact I'm very happy that u wrote a very interesting piece, was just disagreeing on certain points in case u missed it. Not many people like u is out there, so pls do carry on . Many r silent readers who do appreciate intelligent comments & discourse. A lot of retail investors have no idea what they r putting their money into. So don't worry what people think of u as there r lots of moles working for syndicates in the forums
yeah. Hope cokra and jetli can ignore those negative people. But then, they exist in all these discussion groups. Many do appreciate your helpful comments. Sharing is caring.
Don`t worry Jetli. I know we both meant well by posting our thoughts in trying alert naive investors who can be taken for a ride. They have to look out for vultures who can set them up for a kill. Have a good day Jetli.
Started playing since I was 26 years old. Guess I was there in every occasion, whether it was good or bad. Many times rode it like a rollercoaster. But played based usually on fundamentals. Overall on the plus side. Enough to lead a simple life. Now at 61 years old, I am very conservative. Cannot afford to make big mistakes anymore because I will run out of time to make a recovery. Never trust analysts who work for Investment Banks. There are some good guys in i3investor forum like Kcchongnz who give good advice. Heed the advice of experienced investors and you will make fewer mistakes. Good luck to all of you.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
KedahMalay
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Posted by KedahMalay > 2016-10-13 14:38 | Report Abuse
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