But if Focus were to continue with is current up trend until 30 September, fair value gain will sure to break Rm 1 billion. Don't know what game the owner play.
Update after today closing, FINTEC 90 days historical volatility was 122.44%,
Input Interest Rate of 2%, and Dividend Yield of 0%,
We get: FINTEC-WA Implied Volatility is 72.6%, FINTEC-WB Implied Volatility is 83.9%, FINTEC-PA Implied Volatility is 0% or not meaningful as there is no premium.
Average of the above 3 Implied Volatility = 52.17%, input into my spreadsheet, the results: FINTEC-WA fair value = RM0.0355 FINTEC-WB fair value = RM0.0550 FINTEC-PA fair value = RM0.1241
chankyew50 Wait until 30 September and see whether Dow Jones can hold, KLCI can hold and Focus can hold around Rm2.40. If all can hold, Fintec is going to have fair value gain of about Rm 800 million, that will make the fair value gain of Rm128 million just announced for Quarter ending 30 June chicken feet. 03/09/2020 3:50 PM
Wah Fintec 800mil gain. Beat all the GLC companies and become the next Topglove stock.
If Fintec is able to cash out some of it’s portfolios then it’s share price will shoot up. Investors realized that most of the gains are still on paper and the number of total shares increased as investors took the opportunity to convert preference shares. I guess it will stay around this price for some time. Unless there’s any major announcement or declaration of dividend.
Once Fintec is above 16 sens it is better to hold the PA instead of converted 2xPA into one Fintec because PA can be treated as Warrant with conversion at 8 sens. If Fintec can up 4 sens to 20 sens, each PA rightfully should also up 4 sens to 12 sens. With 2 PA the gain is 8 sens double that of one Fintec.
FINTEC GLOBAL BERHAD ["FINTEC" or "the Company"] - PRESS RELEASE - FINTEC UNDERTAKES RIGHTS ISSUE EXERCISE TO VENTURE INTO MEDICAL GLOVE MAKING BUSINESS
Right issue is when the company will start asking money from Shareholders. Usually depend on the value of the WA C. If it's attractive enough and you have cash, I think it's good to have the RI.
5 Rights Shares with 4 free Warrants C for every 5 existing shares to raise RM 81.9m . Total rights shares issued will be 2,002,820,441 units with 1,602,256,352 Warrant C. RM 81.9m/2,003,820,441 = 0.04 per rights share. Imagine paying 0.04 to get a rights share with 0.8 unit free warrant C. What a bargain! Meaning for every 1000 existing units u get 1000 rights shares units and 800 units warrants C for RM 40.
Fintec is not a scam. Its run by very ingenious people.if you are just a hit n run person then this counter is not for All things being equal the counter will do well.
I think the key question is what you think is the underlying value of this co? From there you can work out if the rights issue price of 0,04 ( colectively with your existing shares) is above or below the underlying value per share of the co after the expanded share base.
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chankyew50
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Posted by chankyew50 > 2020-09-03 15:57 | Report Abuse
But if Focus were to continue with is current up trend until 30 September, fair value gain will sure to break Rm 1 billion. Don't know what game the owner play.