US tariff wouldn't affect Malaysia steel manufacturers, it is stupid to assume it would affect the steel manufacturers here coz our manufacturers hardly export steel products to outsudsvof Asesn nations n USA... If iron ore maintains US 60-65 per ton ,it should get profit from the mining activities of her subsidiary, Eastern Steel ...
it's been a long day from where we begin , so glad to see hiapteck back!!!
“However, the recent announcement by the United States under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act 1962 to impose 25% import tariffs on steel products may have an impact on the steel export market globally. The group remains optimistic on the steel industry outlook in Malaysia as it is well supported by the strong fundamentals in the construction activities as evidenced by the 5.8% growth in the construction sector in the fourth quarter of 2017. This positive growth is attributed to all sub-sectors particularly in public transport infrastructure projects,” it said.
Agree with the sentiments regarding US tariff, majority of Malaysia steel consumption is tied to construction industry, as is other ASEAN5. (http://www.seaisi.org/News/5250/Iron+and+Steel+Industry+in+ASEAN:+Characteristics+and+Supply+Capability) However if other Asian ASEAN countries can't export to US (exclusion rules not finalized yet), that might affect steel finished goods competition in local market. So far though, raw materials price is up, shortage across the market, but I believe Hiap Teck always has one up their sleeves when it comes to raw material, should be good for Q3.
Hope someone can shed even more light on Eastern Steel.
Not really, none of the ASEAN nations in top 7/8 of nations that US imported her steels; the US mainly imported steel products from Canada, Mexico , South Korea n Russia , the thought of Malaysia manufacturers would get affected , should be funny n based on rumour ... Some more , the local manufacturers mainly only produce for local market n export some to other ASEAN nations, the quantity to export to outside of ASEAN is minimal ...
The fact that Kevin mentioned is true. Unfortunately, is the whole market sentiment that got steel counter into the unfavorable side, and Hiap is not alone. Nevertheless, another side of the coin about current fiasco (Trump effect) deemed to be "temporary" and also Hiap is highly investable looking at the current price and the current price would be strongly backed by all the potential development hiap could probably have, including JV, FY18 EBIT turnaround plan. Speaking of JV, China counterpart seeking additional shares in the JV also a strong indication all the potential that Eastern Steel may unleash in the near future.
Not to mention Hiap current price is one of the lowest in the region, given company size and current / future development, is like second to none. One can estimate how strong the upside this price can travel.
I happened upon some info from steel industry that I need help with analyzing. In 2016 Malaysia's Bars, Section, Pipe & Tube estimate consumption 5.27mil MT, about 2.5mil MT import, <0.5mil MT export . Overall 40% steel imports from China, 19% from Japan, 11% from Korea, 9% from ASEAN, I don't have the specific products' import countries. The import numbers mean that the market is big enough for Malaysian manufacturers to do more, or it could also mean, regional competition can do more. Would like to hear more expert thoughts, thank you all.
Occa, thanks for sharing the statistic. By nature, China or Malaysia are not key exporter to US, hence recent tarrif seriously no impact in their operation, however, sentiment in temporary, yes. Therefore, doubt that imports & exports statistic will have big shift from local manufacturer point of view in mid term. Interesting to note also, those country in Asia that exempted from US tarriff may create opportunity for Asean steel player instead, such as Malaysia. For example if Taiwan get exempted, they would prioritise US market over Asean market due to better price, it would then means Asean has to resort inter-Asean to source raw materials. If this happens, it will create stronger demand in steel that allows wider avenue for local manufacturer like Hiap. From regulations perspective, safe guard in Malaysia imposed since late 2016 for steel concrete reinforcing bar (rebar) and steel wire rods & deformed bar in coils. In that context, Hiap Tec is direct beneficiary, that protection mainly to curb unnecessary dumps from other region esp china that directly impacting local steel price negatively. Malaysia safe guard is a direct fire wall for local steel manufacturers. In addition to this, China has also undergone tremendous measure to cut total country production via environmental regulations. Many factories cracked down since early Q4 2017. In nut shell, US tarriff looks bad but can also augur well for local players at the same time depending forward trend movement & changes. Mostly, local steel player like Hiap Tek productions output is largely cater local construction demand, that never ending demand. Short to mid term , Hiap Tek looks highly promising. More so now with successful JV-Eastern Steel as upstream maker behind their back. Another Ann Joo in the making. Current price attractive enough? Sure it is.
Stock market all about future, no historical. The results announced yesterday was 2 months ago results. Future maybe different. Current share price already telling you about less robust results
Occa, Malaysia has imposed a tariff of 14-16% for steel products imported from China ( the tariff would shield off the cheaper steel products from China n help out the local steel manufacturers which had face huge losses in 2014-16 n the tariff would continue until 2019 if I m not mistaken ); if U want to talk about global situations of US tariff on Steels, from the articles of many sources , only South Korea having heavier impact among the Asian countries n China as the largest steel producing nation may dump some to ASEAN nations but our market is shielded / protected by 14-16 % tariff .... N the amount of US imported per year is not really huge compared to yearly production of the world n China, in conclusion the impact to local manufacturers still minimal by the US tariff but not sure the slow down in property developments have how much impact at steel consumption , the economists still think growth rate of 2-3% for Malaysia market, guess so...
Anzo sumatec very syndicated counters. at the same time based on historical trends, hiap teck was having many issues. this is not counters like press metal and ann joo. need to see quality of earniings
This company is expended... if you stay near Meru n Kapar. Can see Hiaptek big plant there... 2 years before only few plant there. But last year there expended and can see clearly another few big plant raise... it mean this company growing and we can see it in their quater report gaining for QoQ..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
richboy
188 posts
Posted by richboy > 2018-03-29 19:42 | Report Abuse
Perhaps tomorrow can up awhile then down back..good for goreng kaki! Not good for long term investor at this uncertainly market. :))