Aiyoo!! What the heck is happening?? This is the counter that I liked the most. Well, serves me right, and a valuable lesson here - never, ever fall in love with a counter. Any counter. The warnings from the technical readings were there but I chose to just ignore these. Huge, basic mistake.
No wonder two EDs left unceremoniously at end 2014 followed by a management re-shuffle. The construction division is in a mess. Explanation for the division's abysmal performance is so much gobbledygook. The Indian IPP appears to be at a standstill Q after Q with little progress. However, it will be interesting to see if the Fairfax group keeps faith and continues buying in this sell down. Also if shareholder Koon Yew Yin has already taken flight. Looking forward to the 2014 Annual Audited Accounts for more disclosure.
Lohman are you sure of management re-shuffle in mudajaya???? I knew this sought of thing will happen.... investor relation officer of mudajaya is benjamin,,, his no is 0378067825, now is the best time to call this snake,, because of mudajaya recent losses snake will open it mouth n spit out some words... usually the mouth of this cunning snake is shut close... take advantage of the situation...to me the snake told me that the first powerplant will fire in the first or second quarter
But you cannot dig much from this snake,, it s a cunning snake or dragon.. i just hear what he was telling, but deep in my heart i do not trust this snake... but no choice but sometimes friendship with snakes is needed to dig up something... so i want all newbies who had invested in this stock to communicate with him, n share your discussion with him on this i3 site...thanks
Another thing this snake told me actually kidex is not cancelled by ruling party but only selangor ruling party was giving probelm on this project kidex, do not know if this is true
Please keep away the big devil koon away from this site..admin of i3 is supporting him strongly, so please be carefull guys n also NEWBIES...you can play with the snakes carefully, but do not get yourself bitten by it
One day, when the glory comes It will be ours, it will be ours Oh, one day, when the war is done We will be sure, we will be here sure Oh, glory, glory Oh, glory, glory
Freedom is like religion to us
They say, "Stay down" and we stand up
One day, when the glory comes It will be ours, it will be ours Oh, one day, when the war is done We will be sure, we will be here sure Oh, glory, glory Oh, glory, glory glory
And we'll fight on to the finish Then when it's all done We'll cry glory, oh glory We'll cry glory, oh glory
One day, when the glory comes It will be ours, it will be ours Oh, one day, when the war is done We will be sure, we will be here sure Oh, glory, glory Oh, glory, glory glory
When the war is done, when it's all said and done We'll cry glory, oh glory
Shame on you i3 !!! Shame on you i3 !!! Shame on you i3 !!! Shame on you i3 !!!
Blog: Mudajaya: Indian Power Project Completion - Koon Yew Yin
Jul 7, 2014 10:06 AM | Report Abuse
Lohman, I appreciate and understand your comment. My main object in saying that I bought large amount of Jaya Tiasa and Mudajaya is to show my confidence in them, although it may sound like bragging. Can you imagine what the readers will say when the price of these 2 counters come down after I boasted? I will have to find a place to hide.
Ya... i3 shame on you.... for letting yourself to be used
when k's blog were on, i3 acted in such urgency to delete without a trace any posts which would not assist his exit.. by very unusual way
when k managed to dump like all of 50000 units of vs plus latitude as people have wised up to him... i3 was pressured and came back for a second round by deleting more posts and banned people for a few days
i3 shame on you!!!
One day, when the glory comes It will be ours, it will be ours Oh, one day, when the war is done We will be sure, we will be here sure Oh, glory, glory Oh, glory, glory
Raising the red flag for FY14 Mudajaya posted a core net loss in FY14 vs. our and consensus' projected net profit forecasts. A major provision (c.RM200m) relating to cost overruns for a domestic power plant job took us by surprise in 4Q. FY14’s operating stats of depleting domestic orders, shrinking tender book, declining construction margins, and further delays in the India IPP venture suggest a more challenging earnings outlook from FY15, and are now potential de-rating catalysts. While other new regional IPP ventures may be positives, they are not sizeable enough to make an impact. We cut our FY15-16 EPS forecasts and target price, still based on a 40% RNAV discount. Downgrade to Reduce from Hold. Switch to Muhibbah Engineering, our preferred small/mid-cap pick. FY14 below expectations Mudajaya reported an FY14 net loss of RM71m vs. our and consensus' net profit forecasts. We had not expected the group to book the sizeable c.RM200m in provisions for cost overruns relating to the RM720m Janamanjung power plant extension project, which was completed with outstanding variation order (VO) claims. The stable performance of other divisions which only made up 28% of the group’s pretax profit was insufficient to offset construction's weak numbers. The 32% yoy decline in revenue was in line with its falling order book, while the 6 sen full-year DPS was below our forecast of 9 sen. Earnings risks re-emerging We are turning more cautious on the earnings outlook in view of 1) depleting domestic orders, 2) shrinking tender book, 3) declining construction margins, and 4) the delayed India IPP cash flows. We cut our new job assumptions by 40-50% to RM500m to RM1bn p.a. to reflect the group's more selective stance in bidding, and impute thinner construction pretax margin assumptions of 4-5%, from 8-9% previously, due to delays in higher-margin new power plants and selective highway projects. India IPP faces further delays and logistics risks New updates on the Indian IPP venture suggest that the commercial operation date (COD) for Unit 1 (360 MW) has now been delayed by about three months to mid-2015. Land acquisition issues for the spur rail line to transport coal supply was another negative surprise and may cause further delays. We now forecast a base-case group net profit of RM49m for FY15.
Downgrade from Hold to Reduce More challenges than expected. We have been cautious about Mudajaya's weakening earnings prospects since FY13 but were hopeful that a recovery phase would be underway in view of the group's niche position in higher-margin highway and power plant construction. We are disappointed about the persistent delays in tenders for those segments since 2013, as it suggest that the recovery in construction margins is likely to be even more long-winded, capped by a lower success rate of less than the estimated historical range of 20-30%. Nevertheless, we are rather comforted that the group remains bullish about growing its regional IPP ventures for recurring income, but the size and scale of new prospects appear insufficient to offset the falling construction profit, which makes up over 80% of the group’s net profit. Also, investors' perceived execution issues with the 26%-owned Indian IPP could make other new IPP ventures less interesting at this juncture. RNAV slashed by 29%. We believe there is still a fair chance that Mudajaya can secure new jobs in 2015. However, they are likely subcontract works which are not sizeable in value, and probably include a revival in a potential land-swap deal which was mentioned last year. MRT 2 prospects going into end-2015 should support our RM1bn new job assumption for 2016. The lower construction margin of 5% assumed (9% before) on the back of RM700m construction revenue for FY16 and the update of balance sheet items anchors the 29% cut in our RNAV/share from RM2.98 to RM2.10/share. Our target price falls from RM1.70/share to RM1.26/share, still based on a 40% RNAV discount. We expect the share price to reflect the negatives from FY14 results, a more subdued guidance on construction outlook, and slower-than-expected earnings recovery prospects with increased delay risks for its Indian IPP.
What comes down will go back up. Dont worry guys, have faith.
We can't claim KYY for his call on this. Many factors that could lead the price to dive so sharply. I have a feeling funds / insiders are pushing the price down and asking all the banks to downgrade their counter so that they could collect more. Now is the time for panic seller to sell.
I keep on average down and hopefully the sell down will be over soon. Price is all time low and nobody would want to sell at loss.
0.50 will be defensive line for mudajaya this few days. If broken, will drop further to 0.05 ,target below RM1.00 to collect, waiting...may be wait long long la... maybe not
possibility of entering PN17? take back your cash even if half better than nothing....
very sad company. if i were u i would sell at whatever price and use the money to buy whatever ACE counters no matter at what price level at least i see hope.
this mudajaya is like a 82yrs old man.... die soon.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
kudamuda
293 posts
Posted by kudamuda > 2015-02-27 14:06 | Report Abuse
http://announcements.bursamalaysia.com/EDMS/edmsweb.nsf/all/26726785E9DF0BFE48257DF90018FF24/$File/MUDAJYA2014Q4Notes.pdf very heavy interest expenses..