as I have pointed out that Hevea is fairly priced in now and there is no margin of safety to invest in it...
just see what SleepyBryant said.. do some basic ev/ebit or ev/ebitda valuation u will know...
but for idiot and kindergarten level loser like sxckperformer, can we expect him to understand these valuations/formulas?
haha... acted and talked like sifu in fundamentals but when i showed him free cash flow yield calculation, he said he did not understand and these are financial jargons..
haha... see, typical loser...
A said: 1+1=2 Sxckperformer: dun use financial jargons, useless.. bcoz i am dumb and i dun understand so they are useless..
see.. this kind of "not willing to learn new things" and "always wanna win and think he is right" attitude, can have any success in life?
haha... dun say i dun put money in his pocket... FOC one....
Upcoming result is the Quarter No. 4 which is ending the Financial year. All current short-term debts MUST BE SETTLED and Evergreen does not have enough cash money to settle it therefore it needs to raise more debts to fund the settlement. Check below:
SHORT-TERM LIABILITIES: 107,633,000 (Short-term borrowings) 41,400,000 (Trade payables) 89,985,000 (Other payables) 3,716,000 (Provision for taxation) 10,000 (Derivatives) = 242,744,000 TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES
NOW TOTAL CASH BALANCE: 141,018,000
141,018,000 - 242,744,000 = (-101,726,000) short of this amount.
Even the upcoming profits also cannot cover this amount. Can Evergreen earn more than this amount in the coming result? That is why more debts will be seen in the upcoming result.
Which facts that I manipulated? If u can answer and point it out then I want to see if u are a liar. Truth is I never manipulate facts....all data are taken out from quarterly/annual reports. So u are saying ur company is reporting fake n false?
let me give him more example since he is kindergarten level..
let's say Short Term (ST) Debt (at Dec 31 2016)= 1million - this means company have to settle this 1million in 4 quarters (or one year) Lets say Company paid 200K on Jan 20, 2017, then borrow ST debt 120K on Feb 6th.
At Feb 6th, the short term debt balance is revised to be 1million - 200K + 120K = 920K...
see? it is a live thing, keeps changing and the "balance" should be settled in one year, not in Q4...
WOW u must be deeply stuck here. Can classify u as BIAS already for whatever good-good stuff u said about Evergreen. Be neutral mah. Unlike u, I've always welcome comments. Ha ha!!
It will be reflected in the balance sheet soon. U will lose ur credibility. U better keep low profile now because later u will be shamed when the quarter 4 report announced.
what is free cash flow, what is free cash flow yield, what is ev/ebit, what is ROIC, what is discounted cash flow valuation, what is discounted dividend model... these are jargons to u...
Did I hide all details about Hevea? No mah. I talked about it too. Both u said nasty things about Hevea also I welcome because the balance sheet of Hevea is so solid and managed well. Debts is so low in Hevea but too bad for Evergreen has RM 200m++ debts. Just ask urself simple question.
FOR EVERGREEN, HOW MANY PROFITABLE QUARTERS ARE NEEDED TO REPAY IT'S GIANT DEBTS?
102.573m / 5 = 20.5146m median average of NP for latest 5 quarters
RM 216,585,000 (Total debts) / RM 20,514,600 (NP: Median average) = 10.5x times
That means Evergreen needs at least 10-11 quarters or more just to break-even with the total debts while most competitors are already in net cash position! I have not taken into consideration of the interest charges of the giant debts over RM 216.585m so it will definitely take longer than 12 quarters just to break-even with that mountains of debts.
12 QUARTERS = 3 YEARS needed to break-even with giants of debts. That's if they do everything right & net profit does not fall further per quarter. Remember that it's NP has been falling for 5 consecutive quarters!
*Long-term borrowings interest: If based on 6.85% interest rate. RM 108,952,000 x 6.85% p.a. = RM 7,463,212 p.a.
(RM 7,463,212 p.a. / 12) x 3 months = RM 1,865,803 interest payment to banks per quarter. This will add up to the NP be reduced further hence longer period or more quarters just to break-even with the giant debts!
and more importantly.. the capex will end (will stop and no longer need more money to expand at certain point).. but the effect from expansion will get into more and more mature with higher and higher margin from time to time (of course will then stop too)...
but what i said here is.. the margin still has room to grow, but the capex will reduce
U keep saying me manipulate facts? WHICH EXACT FACTS that I manipulate? If u cannot tell then u are blindly accusing and scolding just because of your anger. Keep cool mah. Share price fall is not caused by me, okay! Ha ha!!
There are many stocks that seems to have good fundamentals and with share price about one fold below NTA. You may want to reconsider not to enter into it because the downward pressure may push it to 0.68
Remember that this is a downtrend stock.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Dolly_Chai
738 posts
Posted by Dolly_Chai > 2017-02-10 12:22 |
Post removed.Why?