Goodwill amortisation ends in FY15 SBC’s pretax profit would have been much higher in the past few years if not for the amortisation of goodwill arising from the acquisition of a stake in the property firm, Mixwell S/B. SBC’s amortised goodwill was RM5.5m in FY12 and RM5.4m in FY13. In 9MFY14, SBC’s amortised goodwill was RM5m. The outstanding goodwill amortisation should end in FY15, resulting in an immediate pretax profit boost in FY16.
Healthy balance sheet In Dec 2013, SBC completed a 1:2 bonus issue and a 3:5 rights issue, which raised proceeds of RM49.4m. This lowered the company’s net debt to RM62m or 0.2x net gearing. Most of its borrowings are used to fund its working capital needs as its current landbank was acquired many years ago. Land cost for Jesselton Quay will only gradually be paid to Suria Capital once SBC’s sales launches start.
Dividend policy Earlier this year, SBC declared a dividend policy of at least 20% payout of its net profit annually. Based on this, the company could pay a DPS of around 5 sen (2.8% dividend payout ratio) from FY15 onwards.
VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATION 5.1 Under-researched SBC is under-researched as only one research house currently covers the stock. We believe that this is mainly due to the company’s low profile. However, management is cognisant of this and aims to raise the company’s profile. In addition, the Jesselton Quay project is expected to start this year. We think that it is only a matter of time before SBC is on the investors’ radar screen.
Residential development focused on mid-range segment We anticipate strong demand for SBC’s residential projects, Kiara East and Bandar Ligamas. The average selling price of only RM0.3m-0.8m per unit in Bandar Ligamas is affordable and comparable to the prices of similar mid-range properties in the Klang Valley. As for Sabah, we think that there will be robust demand for Jesselton Quay and The Peak condos due to their strategic locations in Kota Kinabalu.
Highest GDV/market cap ratio Among the property stocks under our coverage, SBC offers the highest GDV/market cap ratio at 22.1x, followed by E&O at 16.6x. In our view, this shows that the stock has potential value to be unlocked.
SBC is trading at a huge discount of 72% to our RM6.60 RNAV/share estimate and a 52% discount to its current RM3.89 net assets/share. We initiate coverage on SBC with an Add rating and a target price of RM3.96, based on a 40% discount to its RNAV. This is broadly in line with the 30-40% RNAV discounts we apply to other small-cap property stocks. Big-cap property stocks under coverage are valued at 0-30% discounts to RNAV. We think that it is only a matter of time before SBC’s RNAV discount narrows as more investors come to understand the company’s potential. The potential catalysts for the stock are the start of the Jesselton Quay project and the current huge discount to its RNAV/share.
SBC’s monthly chart shows that its share price uptrend is expected to continue and the next major resistance trendlines are only at RM2.60 and RM4.20.
The weekly chart shows an immediate resistance trendline at RM1.83, which was recently taken out, which is positive. The next resistance trendline is at RM2.60.
Suspect Q2 results have to come out before rally again... for msia since so biasa inside news... expect any rally/drop just 1-2 weeks prior to Q2 results announcement...
If you take this as a value stock, you must try to ignore the short term movement, otherwise, you may as well be a speculator and probably cutting loss now.
This is a cash rich company,for longer term side,the ROE indeed generate high percentage,only fluctuate throughout short term period,if can place in longer term,should not be a problem. Shott term analysia,the 20SMA still on uptrend,and it is still above 50 SMA,so i think it is just temporary but not panic selling,even though PSAR is showing sell signal,but it just short term
Chart showing downtrend....Support is seen @ 1.55...1.31...
On the current date Sbc Position is Long - Moderate Buy based on Medium Term analysis and is Long - Strong Buy based on Long Term. Asset "Volatility Risk" is Medium and "Liquidity Risk" is Medium - High. In the Medium Term, Possible begin of a bearish phase only if a reversal happen. In the Long Term, Possible exaustion of the bull cycle. The stock is still moving upwards but Its strenght is decreasing.....Good Luck...
Market players should try to differentiate between small cap with strong fundamentals and those which are ramped up on speculative reasons. However, during period of heavy sell down on other stocks, negative sentiments will prevail through out and therefore need to be have steady heart. :)
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Joel
4,580 posts
Posted by Joel > 2014-04-23 19:49 | Report Abuse
Goodwill amortisation ends in FY15
SBC’s pretax profit would have been much higher in the past few years if not for
the amortisation of goodwill arising from the acquisition of a stake in the
property firm, Mixwell S/B. SBC’s amortised goodwill was RM5.5m in FY12 and
RM5.4m in FY13. In 9MFY14, SBC’s amortised goodwill was RM5m. The
outstanding goodwill amortisation should end in FY15, resulting in an
immediate pretax profit boost in FY16.