Well,looked like there other pertinent market factors that forumers may have missed out!.Otherwise how to explain the ASP is up from the lower range and has stabilised since the beginning of this year as disclosed by Edward123(with thanks).Maybe or is it because of: 1.Increase in gas prices for steel smelters? 2.Other new production capacity coming on stream-increased competition? 3.Increase of price for graphite electrodes and increase cost burden to steel smelters? 4.Others- regulatory,export restrictions,exchange rates,slow rollout of mega-projects,pending GE14...?
One or cumulatively may have adversely influence the price movement for the steel stocks.I am still finding for a right answer...
I checked the charts, every time after it hit below RSI 30%, the following 10-40 days are up by 20% easily. 100% consistency since Sept 2016. Hope this is no exception.
hng33, you always buy when it drop, and sell when it gain back, earn the difference of few cents. As your volume are big, so the difference of few cents could be a significant amount.
But just wondering, if let say after you sell, if the share continue to go up (i.e. from 2.12 all the way up till RM2.80, every day up 8-10 sen), would you chase back? or you will put aside this counter, and focus on other counters.
For those who worry about the last Friday US market big drop, here are my view and advices:
1. First you need to understand the reason of that correction, US stock markets have surged significantly after election without even a minor correction, and this kind of minor correction (weekly 3.9%) is long waited by most of the analysts. As you know healthy correction is key to fuel the longer bull run. Never in the history any bull run without any correction along the way. 2. US economy is getting stronger as expected. Job market looks promising, wages continue to go up, that will eventually result in economy expansion. Never in the history crisis happened during this kind of economy booming. 3. Someone might worry about the bonds yield, if you check the bonds history, current yield level is still very low, it's not going to cause any real impact to economy, overall borrowing cost is still low, EU and JP still in QE, we are still "very far" from monetary tightening. US inflation is not even stay at 2%, JP still struggling to achieve their inflation goal. In short, cheap money still in glut. 4. The recent drop is mainly due to repositioning. Fund managers are getting out from bond market and get into stock, commodities markets. This is very common during economy booming cycle. Check the history, any market expansion will make bonds look less attractive and strong momentum in stocks and commodities. 5. The last time Dow dropped more than 600 points (and that's 3.4%) is during Brexit in Jun 2016, and the turbulence from Brexit is much bigger than current situation. What happened next? Dow bounced back strongly the next days, the next week. And what's the real impact from that big drop? If you are panic selling during Brexit time you will missed all the strong rally after that. 6. Think carefully, is there any real impact to steel manufacturers business? Not at all. Economy booming is real good things for commodities, and steel companies will be beneficial from there. 7. Most importantly, ask yourself before panic selling. Do you borrow money to buy stocks? Do you expect to get margin call? If you are real value investor and having adequate holding power, there's nothing to worry about. The only thing you may concern is where to get more money to buy stocks during such a great Sales time. Look back my post in 2weeks time from now and you will understand how ridiculous people react towards market turbulence.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
JayC
1,302 posts
Posted by JayC > 2018-01-17 23:03 | Report Abuse
may i know the latest rebar prices?