klci drop, sure am glad I hv kFima to hold, strong, steady, robust, cash rich, will move up fast when market goes north. in these times, fundamentally strong stocks are a treasure.
Not a good timing to collect any good stocks now. I rather wait until after election. It is uncertain now. Foreign investors are exiting these 2 days. I already called to exit the market since last week when the KLCI having a bear divergence signal. I already leave the market, good luck guys.
Fandi, "be greedy when everyone is panic" only qualify to say that when the whole market collaps like end of 2008. Now the market is high and most of the stocks's prices are over value. Even market rebound but it can't sustain for sure. KLCI mid term target may falls to 1500 and worst case is 1300. Mid term could be 2 to 6 months time.
Yuzuki,steady. I do not know why the Board has not announced the merger between Kfima and Fima Corp. May be they want to push it down first so that they can collect also.
thanks Fandi , serious i am also a great supporter of Kfima good company... thanks also to S&P for threatening to downgrade ... thank to Mario (of ECB) & thanks to FUN-MGR for pushing up DOW yesterday
Today push down Petdag and Pgas sudah cukup. This is a real conspiracy act to push down CI first before they push up again. Ask the GLC's guy and they will tell you why.
What is the effect of a corporate exercise involving Kfima and Fimacorp? The following is just my speculation of the benefit of a possible privatization of Fimacorp by Kfima. For year ended 31 March 2012, Kfima made a net profit of RM116.5 m. After provision of profit for minority interest in the amount of RM35.6 m, the net profit attributed to the shareholders is 80.9 m. This works out to be an earnings per share of 30.5 sen. If Kfima takes FimaCorp private and pays off the minority shareholders with cash, then all earnings of RM116.5 m of Kfima will belong to the equity holders of Kfima. This will boost the earnings per share of Kfima to 44 sen, or 44% more. The PE ratio of Kfima will be reduced to only 4.8 with its closing price of 2.13 on 7/9/12. Isn't it dirt cheap for a company with great historical and potential future earnings and cash flows and healthy balance sheet. Of course Kfima would have to come out with a sum of cash to pay off the minority shareholders of FimaCorp. How much is involved? At the closing price of FimaCorp at RM6.15 on 7/9/12, its market capitalization is RM507 m. Hence Kfima has to come out with at least RM203 m to pay off the 40% minority shareholders in FimaCorp. Let us assume that Kfima pays a premium of 20%, or RM243 m. As at June 2012, Kfima has a net cash of 257 m. This means that Kfima can pay off the minority shareholders of Fimacorp at 20% above the market value of Fimacorp, and also pay off whatever debts now, Kfima is still in a net cash position. Shouldn’t Kfima’s share price rise by 44% at least from RM2.13 now to RM3.07 with the rise of EPS of the same magnitude? Of course it is not necessary, but it may. Investment is not so simple as arithmetic. Alas, it is just some market talk about this Kfima corporate exercise. There is no confirmation from the company so far. However, my discount cash flows analysis shows that even without the corporate exercise, Kfima at its present form, it’s intrinsic value is still substantially above this RM3.07 we are talking about.
KCCHONG, you are spot on. Both Kfima and Fima Corp are sitting in a huge cash pile of whopping RM500 million and both stocks are trading at dirt cheap P/E 6.00. These are the stocks than one can sleep with peace. I would be very worried if huge gearing and very high P/E company formed most of my portfolio.
Very detail analysis. Well done KC Chong. Hope to get more people like you here so that we can have more fundamental analysis before buying in a stock.
I agree with KC Chong and now let us see whether the support level of RM2.07 is broken or not.The strong support level should be Rm2.00.I have seen the potential of this stock but you must have the holding power.To me market up or down if you have Kfima we dont have to worry.AGM is on the 25.9.2012 see you guys.
heehaa just want to take it out on me. his nick previously is 1M168 and ckinsg. even MPHB in his holding is losing more than 30 sens when he first recommended. So he is angry!
you must see him recommend when got interim dividend. nearly die of laughter.
in short, and i quote the twit: "interim dividend ar, you know or not, it means ar still got dividend next time! must buy MPHB, still interim dividend, so more more coming" kah kah...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
KC Loh
13,701 posts
Posted by KC Loh > 2012-09-04 15:42 | Report Abuse
money in pocket, all that matters for a 2 day work! :)