Speculate so much no point...just wait and see where it ends this year end and we will know who win :) ..personally hopes that there is more time to accumulate more.
Every one have their own opinion. I used to have padini when it is 60 cent and sold off last few month. I am not saying I am expert or this is a bad counter but base on current market,their margin is pretty low. ( refer to Q report), competitive in Malaysia.(but this is not a main reason) if you look back 8 years. they are doing a lot of expansion outlet locally. WHY Q report can improve ? you need sale right ? yes if you have better margin that will be better. Imagine If the expansion speed comparing 8 years ago and today. I think if you think properly and do you own estimation. you will have your answer. UNLESS, they make it very well in Indo(if I am not mistaken, they doing expansion over there.) but when you start a new business at oversea. it is consider a new brand. Not that simple in the beginning. this counter used to give 2 cent per Q. that mean RM80 per year. current Q they given RM 25. based on the current earning. Do you you will get 2.5 cent every Q or (RM100) per year. I have putting a lot of Question here. calm down and think .. again every one might not have the same answer. :) but this is what I though and I would share to you.
jeffkenneth, I am not sure about this but may be you could share more of your opinion about "US recovering soon" any thing to do with clothing counter ? but what if QE stop.. and I think investor worry when every where is their outlet. because investor need see improvement.if you check back to last 3 till current margin and the sale not impressive. I think H&M and unilo is in the picture huh ?! I think they are comming very aggressive in Malaysia market. any way .this is my though. I might be wrong too. just share with every one here since is a forum.
Hooi. this guy is very good.. at padini. :)may be need to see his advise but I think quite some time he did not comment on Padini. once padini slowly when down.. at fundamental padini have a very good and strong management team.
My personal opinion, this is a very good business. Just look at their historical ROE which has been consistently above 20%. Then look at their free cash flow, which is pretty amazing compared to many companies.
FA = Hold, TA = Neutral, Pattern = formed triple top at RM2.37, i will buyback Padini directly(invest Padini indirectly through my investment in Icap) when Padini oversold.
Shopping Spree coming soon... @hepitrade, it's abit costly to enter, but no worries, good news came and I'm sure next year you will break even with the following news.
@hepitrade I bought since 1.73 -> 1.75 -> 1.78 as per usual, my track record for Padini is fabulous as what I consider to myself, I've earn at least 20% from this counter every year including the dividend and high price selling...
For me, this is a good counter and cash business ... Mainly I love their warehousing system operation as they do not keep dead stocks for too long, that's a good management style for a retail business.
@hepitrade, the price might likely lift up abit on the current 1.75. estimate the dividend to be 0.02 sen per share as per reference to their previous dividend on same month...
I'm still holding on this stock as it's stupid to sell at a loss(bought slightly higher) since the dividend alone is attractive. However, personally I prefer h&m.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
KWTAN
109 posts
Posted by KWTAN > 2013-10-13 18:27 | Report Abuse
with GST implementing soon, i dont see any upside of this counter