i3i2i1, (based on technical only n disregard the fundamental) azrb swing up since early aug n re-firm bullishness by the current up cycle which forming small break for short while...so next cycle up is probably final show n could go as low as 92ct n as high as rm1.43.... hold on n good luck....
the same cycle is happening earlier to farmbes n farbes-WB, n now likely about to spring up....
talk still a talk, for malaysia market, even u r a super gem, wont move means wont move. see those top volume share all is shit stock. anyhow, tiny inverted hammer has been seen
anyway, what is important is that AZRB has got all the good great stuff mentioned in the CIMB report... and, I think it is very fair that CIMB has a FV of RM 1.48 for AZRB...
CIMB:: AZRB has at least 103% upside from current price. ...
AZRB fits squarely into the category of a smaller-cap pure contractor with decent order book growth and new recurring income assets, and that is hugely undervalued relative to its RNAV. Longer-term recovery prospects are underappreciated, in our view. AZRB is worth double its market value. AZRB is the concessionaire of the RM1.6bn EKVE whose DCF value is arguably almost equivalent to AZRB's market cap. Today, investors would be paying for its construction and oil & gas bunkering businesses, but getting its other assets for free. The stock trades at a massive 75% discount to its RNAV. A 50% RNAV discount implies 103% upside.
AZRB is the concessionaire of the RM1.6bn EKVE whose DCF value is arguably almost equivalent to AZRB's market cap. Today, investors would be paying for its construction and oil & gas bunkering businesses, but getting its other assets for free. The stock trades at a massive 75% discount to its RNAV. A 50% RNAV discount implies 103% upside.
Matching the bigger boys
AZRB's business structure is similar to the likes of Gamuda and IJM Corp i.e. an order book-driven construction earnings, backed by stable and predictable earnings from property development, with more lucrative margins coming from other segments like its oil & gas bunkering facilities. There are also inherent values from its property and plantation land banks.
New profits from 2016
Construction and oil & gas are the two major profit generators for AZRB, with contributions coming in at an equal split. Clearly, AZRB's underappreciated potential growth in net profit is a function of execution.
Drivers are
1) realisation of new construction profits from the RM1.6bn EKVE as early as mid-2015;
2) new property development profit from 2015-16 from its over 300-acres land bank;
3) another concessiontype recurring income stream from the hospital concession from 2017; and
4) the potential breakeven/ turnaround of its plantation division, likely from 2017.
75% discount to RNAV
AZRB currently trades at a massive 75% discount to its RNAV. This is a huge gap vs. the 27-49% trading discount to RNAV for the contractors under our coverage. Its share price is a big laggard compared to the share prices of other small-cap contractors or other small-cap stocks in general, which have surged or even doubled YTD. Potential catalysts are job wins, start of works of EKVE, and investors' greater appreciation of deep-value laggards.
nordi... 1 thing i dont know why but few... few counters have reports/info from research house about new higher, much higher TP but.... not updated into system and some seems/said as unofficial... confused lar...
i3i2i1, yes i also just like u confuse....but read between the line as if cimb is holding alot azrb to dispose that why probably they put very rosy figure to catch all small investors like us....as what i wrote earlier now azrb is at the 2nd small up cycle re-firming the bullish crossing of the 1st small up cycle and likely to go side way for short while ranging from 72ct to 75ct before having strong big up cycle movement....
i3i2i1, normally the 3rd big up cycle will take 3 weeks to 1 month from the last 2nd small cycle consolidation to reach the big top...azrb is also in the same situation now but farmbes is occurring a week earlier....good luck...
nordi......the RNAV in CIMB report is not the same as the annual report probably because CIMB really RRRRRRRRRRed its RNAV value by..... for example using the present value of the toll concession's cash flow but not so in the annual report.... CIMB's RNAV would be more RRRRRRRRRed, you get what I mean?
you are business minded! another project needs it right? i just completed TGUAN ICULS... pls not from AZRB now... no cash liao.. unless i unload all FIAMMA..
so looking at the construction news just now seem like the bull is good for another 6 months may be purposely adjusted for listing 1MDB in qtr 1 (based on the star bizz news)...so potentially dec 2014 early 2015 would be cash out time for stockist n fund mgr to chase 1MDB listing...so be careful don't be at the wrong side....trapped in the some ambiguous heavenly news.....kikiki
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
i3i2i1
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Posted by i3i2i1 > 2014-09-17 08:56 | Report Abuse
Nordi, why you say within a month from now? FBM is getting better?