i believe those who are here believed in ARB's good fundamentals so far. so yes guys, lets remain positive in outlook and today if can, try to average down. waiting for fundamentals to show its magic takes time
Wait long long for Fatty Liew to push.. The time needed could be after Fatty Liew slim down . Arbb is good fundamental by the look now. If the new auditors Deloitte found something similar to Serba Dinamic of the issues of Trade Receivable, no 3rd party confirmation, then Arbb really be 0.10. For it to be 0.60, at first I think its likely, now I think the highest could be 0.39...as the Sellers may dump as much as they could once slightly up. See today volumes, so high, who can dump so much shares out at such low price? Or to them, they forsee more downwards? First to change the co name..then possibly attract real investors and foreign investors...
But the good thing is unlike Serba Dinamik which requested to change from KPMG to BDO, the Company has changed its auditor from RSM to Deloitte. This has built credibility to its financial reports.
My only advice is to stop predicting what price is lowest or highest, you will only malu yourself /your sifu later. Just buy below 30sen is a good entry price...lower the better la of course...
@gozilla88 your statement is wrong, according previous pattern market , ARBB is uptrend on previous MCO which is a big wrong on what you showing. Not good to predict market. Even Warren Buffet make wrong decision.
guess ARB price will remain as this until next QR? so hopefully there is consistent if not explosive growth announced next. sometimes i also dun understand, how come good fundamentals but get ignored?
Jan 2019 – RM20m ERP Solution – Yes’s Comm. Enterprise Sdn Bhd (“YESS”)
Estimated gross merchandised value (“GMV”) of RM20m. The contract is valid on a yearly recurring basis.
ARB to provide a marketplace platform to YESS to sell and market their products efficiently by implementing a customized ERP System and System Integration Solution (“SIS”). The SIS features include real-time sales tracking, real-time sales and inventory sales interlinking, inventory management, assortment selection and forecast, warehousing, and logistic optimization.
Based on checks, we understand that YESS markets and distributes electronic products via several outlets in Klang Valley.
Author’s remark: A price tag of RM20m for the deployment of an ERP solution seems absurd. No details were shared on what does it mean by RM20m GMV. How much revenue is ARB expected to recognize from the project? What is the quantum of expected yearly recurring income? The lack of disclosure raises our concerns on the management trustworthiness and genuineness of the contract. To date, no information was shared by the management on the progress of the project. Mar 2019 – RM78m IoT Solution (Smart Home) – Perkasa Selalu Sdn Bhd (“PSSB”)
The total contract sum of RM78m comprises IoT works, RM27.3m (35%), and outsourced construction works, RM50.7m (65%). ARB assists with identifying and outsourcing construction work to third party/(ies).
The contract involves the development of a single tower serviced apartment comprising 39 commercial and 286 residential units.
Based on disclosures, PSSB incorporated in Perak in 2014 has a paid-up capital of RM2 only. The directors are Chin Kok Hoong and Chin Kok Foong.
Author’s remark: Like above, RM27.3m for implementation of IoT solution for 325 units seem overly inflated at about RM84k per unit. Even so when compared to the estimated construction cost of ~RM170k per unit. Furthermore, PSSB’s director, Chin Kok Foong is believed to be Dato’ Sri Chin Kok Foong. Dato’ Sri Chin has personal ties with Dato’ Sri Liew as they both are the current executive director of Ageson. Similarly, no information was shared by the management on the progress of the project to date. May 2019 – RM18m IoT project (Smart Home) – IJ Ventures Sdn Bhd
The total contract sum of RM18m comprises IoT works, RM6.3m (35%) and outsourced construction works, RM11.7m (65%). The contract involves the construction and deployment of IoT for 130 units single-storey terrace houses in Perak.
Based on checks, IJ Ventures is a company involved in construction works, building contractors, and property development.
Author’s remark: RM6.3 million for the deployment of IoT for 130 houses would be equivalent to RM48.4k per house. The amount seems overstated. If IJ Ventures themselves are building contractors, why would they need to appoint ARB to outsource a portion of construction works when they have their own expertise/network? Similarly, no information was shared by the management on the progress of the project to date. Jul 2019 – RM600m IoT project (Smart water filtration system) – Shuifa IoT Tech Co., Ltd
The project involves the application of IoT-enabled hardware and software to the printed circuit board of household water filtration system to enable data exchange and remote control of water temperature etc.
The project value of RM600m was arrived at on the estimation of 300,000 households. Tenure is 2 years for implementing the first phase (300,000 households) of the project. No further disclosures were made on the project location and project progress etc to date.
I had previously said, coupled with a link to the above website (which were deleted by someone), that I was tempted to invest in ARBB but came to the conclusion the 2 analysts reports smelled of a ramp so I declined. I stumbled across an alternative view, as above, which confirmed my view.
I've had my fingers toasted with Serba (and similarly with SCIB). One of the main issues with Serba is plenty of receivables (RM800+m increase over a year) but little cash coming in. ARBB appears to be in the same predicament and their management are exceptionally quiet on the matter. Possibly tellingly, none of them appear to be buying shares at this allegedly "bargain price".
Neither are they selling. At this price it's not bargain. As long as they have enough to control the company, buy extra for what? Sometimes company prospects is not everything.
There can be a world-wide crash which has nothing to do with ARBB.
Anyway, never marry a position. Must have appropriate risks management in place.
Somewhere ard mid of Mar 21, I believed Liew converted aome of his ICPS to become the mothershare...I read it somewhere (correct me if I am wrong).. It is much cheaper for him to convert his ICPS than to buy from the market...
The large receivables is a prime concern, so you should pandai pandai manage your risk, take profit frequently and be ready to cut if it is flagged by Deloittes during the next audit.
Liew sold a big chunk of ARBB then converted a big chunk of ICPS (the last time he reported to BURSA few months back. Could be March. I too lazy to confirm).
ICPS is a method to gather funds without getting a loan from back which u hv to pay with interest. issuing icps means ARB is expanding. what the others said is right also. there are some underlying risks. as to trade receivables, we do need more clarification. lets see how it goes in the next 1 month
Not much worry for Arbb as their previous year 2020 annual report was done audited and for sure they should also verified for the 60+m trade receivable under non-current asset. For what i see why arbb trade receivable would be high is because of their business model. For ERP, they are providing software services, as this might be in term of 5years service and they might enter into some agreement, payment would only be paid after the service (if it is satisfaction). For IOT smart building, this is more obvious that it would categorize in trade receivable and would be under non current asset (most probably) because their system would only available at the very end of the completion of 1 building, so they might need to wait for the high rise building to be almost complete, they just able to provide their services and install their stuff. Normally one high rise building would take 4years to build up. The trade receivable occur to be after they make partnership with China Unicom, so it might be one of the reason why their trade receivable increase because of getting some big IOT contract with this company.
Back to serbadk, as you all can see its last quarter report havent out yet due to unverified item. Becareful on SCIB as well because its QR also havent release yet. For Kpower, it is out, but you all can see it is audited till 30/6/2020 only. Quite fishy. Not like arbb already audited till 31/12/2020. This you can find from the latest QR when they making the comparison with audited report.
By the way, this is just my own thought. Is your own choice to choose to invest or not. Hope that all of you have a great journey on investing. ^^
I remembered earlier there was a gozilla saying he will get 0.095 sen by the end of the week.. wondered what happened to him/her? Mayb went back to zoo negara to hide...Lesson: Dont predict prices, you will only malu yourself saje.
After the issue of serbak, people start to look into the trade receivables more heavily. This company is making good results just like serbak, and their trade receivables position is also like serbak. Serbak still have EPF as the back, this company...
fyi from rakuten's update - BRIEF: For the three months ended 31 March 2021, Arb Bhd revenues increased 48% to RM49.5M. Net income remained flat at RM6.8M. Revenues reflect an increase in demand for the Company's products and services due to favorable market conditions. Net income reflects Other operating incomes increase from RM170K to RM507K (income), FINANCE COSTSdecrease of 25% to RM6K (expense), offset by Administrative expenses increase of 92% to RM3.4M (expense).
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Fundamentaler
350 posts
Posted by Fundamentaler > 2021-05-31 09:52 | Report Abuse
Not affected.. revenue n sales increase on mco.. making profit.. wait time to go 60sen