This company have good and stable ROE if compared with other chicken businesses. Generally, this year should be a good year for all chicken businesses.
Price have jumped 52% in the period of one month. My only regret is not finding this stock earlier. I wonder how long can this counter remain low profile?
I did compare with LTKM and Lay Hong, and I personally feel that Teo Seng is better with stable ROE for the past 5 years (above 15%), better profit margins and growing earnings. As for the others that you've mentioned, I'll need to do some homework.
I did some homework and found out that among so many other companies, only QL Resources can be compared to Teo Seng. The rest are really doing badly but their prices remain in the uptrend due to much speculations.
Hi Shinado, i am forecasting based on discounted earnings, with the assumption that teoseng will grow 3% per year for the next ten years. Whats your figure?
greddym3, LTKM is currently recovering from a bad FY12. FY13 was OK for them but not too great either. On the average, they score higher profit margins in the last 5 years; however, they lose out on ROAE as Teo Seng registers at least 15% ROAE yearly while LTKM at best was a 10%.
Shinado, it depends but we have to be realistic. Teoseng has a good growth prospect considering their capex ratio is 90+%. I like to go the more conservative way. Warren buffet buys a stock considering the market would be closed for the next 5 years. Assuming if there is no growth for the next 5 years, what would be your IV?
Considering no growth for the next 5 years, the price will fall back to 0.66. My valuations have been doing OK for me so far (for other counters) but I do get your point. I might go for slightly less risky valuations the next time. I do employ Margin of Safety though. Cheers :)
TSC is more ambitious, focused and bigger than LTKM. The latter does not invest in capacity expansion but instead has bought property investment and marketable securites with extra cash to earn interest income. LTKM's latest quarterly EPS include revaluation surplus of RM4m.
Higer egg prices and lower feed costs combined to drive the latest quarterly profits to record high for both companies. TSC has made good progress on feed management technology.
I note however that salaries of directors in TSC are high especially among the family members but they are more aggressive and likelier to deliver good results with economy of scale, which nonetheless also depends a lot on feed costs which are currently at depressed level, all said.
Another risk is that the egg business is all domestic, and it seems quite difficult to set up and manage foreign farms. So, the scope of business growth may seem capped.
I believe the egg producers, esp TSC, have good pricing power, limiting profit downside in case feed costs jump.
The great results in 2013 which continue into 2014 may or may not last. LTKM management feels the prospects of the industry are challenging while TSC thinks otherwise, provided selling price remains stable.
Congrat to all shareholders of TSC for the 50% gain in the past 1 month.
They have been integrating upward to minimize their cost. The group has also identified and stated clearly what they could do further to minimize the cost in the annual report. To me, It shows clear sense of goals and directions therefore a pretty good management team.
But having said that i do agree they are paid quite high between the familia. Its a family business anyway.
Both ltkm and teoseng have their pros and cons. i prefer ltkm because their omega 3 eggs is perceived as premium eggs. which is why their operating profit margin is very high. also i can see their eggs selling fast in every supermarket. i am very satisfied with my return in ltkm. anyway, both stocks are winner :D
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
poyo
108 posts
Posted by poyo > 2013-08-02 17:58 | Report Abuse
buy this