See_research aka sourgrape_conresearch was promoting TSH earlier this year. Then he also promote KGB warrant in Calvin's eagle group, causing massive losses to the groups member. Causing disputes in the group, sourgrape_conresearch was kicked out of his group. Then he come to TSH online keep saying bad things about Calvin. In addition, he sold TSH at RM1.78, after he sold and when TSH price going down, he change his positive opinions of TSH into negative opinions. Anyone who is saying positive things in TSH, he will regard them as Calvin's accomplice.
before Earnings is released, the greatest promoter is very confident promise that the share price will react afterwards, now HOW? Promoter, any more accuse? how come SOP is so good earnings , how come Bplant as he day and night non stop quoting, now HOW? because of what? HE IS HIDING QoQ drop!!!! Why QoQ drop is important to plantation stock?
This is What that promoter quote: "nothing wrong at all as we are given opportunity to average down cost to Rm1.16 now at Rm1.14 is two cents less , Aug results will easily propel prices much much higher Nov 2022 results will be another Catalyst for price surge"
My replied to him:
Please keep this your post untill end of Aug2022(when 2Q earnings is released) AND NOV 22. Please dont delete it. I will keep you update your above statement. To be fair to you also, we make today FCPO RM 4,300 as reference AND TSH @ RM 1.14-0.01
@PlantBull AND @ Calvin , Regarding SIMEPLANT “ 3.3 million actress” . Simeplnt IR side just replied me:
Thank you for reaching out with your query. As reported in our latest Annual Report and as per the information provided on our website https://simedarbyplantation.com/investor-relations/operational-information/ . SDP has total landbank of approx. 744,630 Ha (equivalent to approx. 1.84 mil acres) out of which:
i. 579,708 Ha is planted with Oil Palm; ii. 12,013 Ha is planted with Rubber; iii. 5,637 Ha is planted with Sugarcane; and iv. 139 Ha is planted with Coconut.
The claim of SDP having 3.3 mil acres is incorrect as the planted area sits within the company’s total landbank as such it would be incorrect to add the two together to get the company’s total landbank. As you rightly pointed out the total landbank in acres should be 1.84 mil.
Fed hawkish remark slam the stock market but commodity like grains food and energy rally.
Shortsighted policy
The short-term case against commodities playing out in these corrections is the decision by central banks, most notably the Federal Reserve, to prioritise inflation-fighting over growth. Just as Paul Volcker did in the early 1980s, Fed chairman Jay Powell has decided that maximum sustainable employment must for now play second fiddle to the war on prices.
Panadol solution
But there is a longer term case for commodities, made by resources bulls like Goldman Sachs’s Jeff Currie. It pre-dates and will outlast current recession fears.
He argues that Fed-induced slowdowns can only ever tame the symptom — inflation.
They are INCAPABLE of addressing the underlying driver of sustainably higher commodity prices, which is underinvestment in the production of sufficient energy and other resources. The imbalances causing the cost of living crisis are physical and supply-driven. They cannot be resolved by destroying demand.
The world is anyway very different from that of 40 years ago. When Volcker jacked interest rates up to choke off the inflation which had scarred the previous decade, he did so after years of rising capital investment.
The fall in demand that he engineered combined with adequate supply to quickly bring the market back into balance. That is not the case today after years in which capital has for too long been directed away from real physical assets. We are reaping the harvest of that misallocation.
A key risk facing policy makers now is that the higher interest rates required to stifle demand will at the same time prevent the investment in new capacity that might solve the supply shortage.
This is a recipe for stagflation — persistently higher prices caused by inadequate supply and flagging demand as central banks double down on their attempt to tame inflation.
Populist policy
And it is not just monetary policy that risks worsening the supply-demand balance and stoking persistent inflation. Fiscal policy, driven as it is by political rather than economic imperatives, is pushing governments to simultaneously support the hardest hit consumers (thus slowing or preventing the required demand destruction) and to impose politically palatable but blunt windfall taxes that reduce the incentive for companies to solve the supply side of the equation.
Greenflation and clmate change
Another reason to expect commodity prices to remain elevated for the foreseeable future is that demand will stay high for reasons that have nothing to do with the economic cycle but instead reflect the unstoppable clean energy transition.
One of the ironies of the move to a more sustainable energy framework is that in the short to medium term it will be extremely resource intensive. Demand for both hydrocarbons (in the form of plastics and other refined products) and for many metals — principally but not exclusively copper — will remain high for many years to come. Unless there is a meaningful supply-side response, the impact on prices is just Economics 101.
Post qe in 2008, between 2010 to 2014 crude oil maintained average around 100 for 5 years. Probably this time will last 7 years. 2021 to 2027. High Crude oil lasted 5 years while high palm oil (2k to 4k) lasted 12 years before broke new high again in 2022. Crude oil went to negative in 2020(worst in history) but palm oil remain in 2k region never went back to 800.
This is just the beginning of the revenge of old economy. And all the big fund are gradually moving out from new economy where they had been for the past 15 years.
Any FCPO kaki here, i wonder why the spot price for the FCPO is so low?
I though we are having food crisis and oil limitation yet why the spot price is low. Does anyone has a say?
I have been trading for quite sometime, this round the deman doesn't tally with the price action somehow or the market heavily manipulated by BIG GUYS>
Does anyone here has exposure towards Indonesia palm oil stock? Please give me the ticker name and would go and do abit of analysis. Should have sold it when the price was way higher that time.
According to statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics, in 2019, China's diesel consumption in the transportation sector was 98.67 million tons. According to the EU region's 10% biodiesel addition ratio, China's biodiesel demand space can reach 9.867 million tons. According to the 5% addition ratio of B5 biodiesel piloted in Shanghai, there is also nearly 5 million tons of increase in China's biodiesel demand. According to the current price, the domestic demand + export potential market size of China's biodiesel industry in 2030 is close to 100 billion yuan. If China's biodiesel addition policy is successfully implemented, China will turn from an exporter of biodiesel to a huge demand market and importer.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Investformilkmoney
968 posts
Posted by Investformilkmoney > 2022-08-28 18:39 | Report Abuse
Also, he made up stories about Calvin's losses too.